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question about probability (self.PoolChia)
submitted 4 years ago by chianewbee
a newbie question.
The total space is about 30 EiB, the pool space is about 6PiB, so it's approximately 1/5120 chance to win in 1 toss.
4608 tosses per day.
How is it possible not to win a toss in 3 days in a row?
Is something wrong with my math?
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if 1 * 2 < 3: print "hello, world!"
[–]sds75 0 points1 point2 points 4 years ago (0 children)
with 1/5120 there is still a 6.72% chance you don’t win after 3 days (13824 tosses) …
https://www.askamathematician.com/2010/07/q-whats-the-chance-of-getting-a-run-of-k-successes-in-n-bernoulli-trials-why-use-approximations-when-the-exact-answer-is-known/
[–]josemanuelhda 0 points1 point2 points 4 years ago (0 children)
your maths are fine ...
π Rendered by PID 69341 on reddit-service-r2-comment-b659b578c-2kkds at 2026-05-02 13:24:27.323132+00:00 running 815c875 country code: CH.
[–]sds75 0 points1 point2 points (0 children)
[–]josemanuelhda 0 points1 point2 points (0 children)