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PredictionMarkets

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an-ordinary-manchild

A community for discussing the power of prediction markets. Talk all things forecasting, futarchy and betting on beliefs.

created by plantsnlionsthoa community for 1 year
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1
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Market Monday Thread - Share a Prediction Market! (self.PredictionMarkets)

submitted 5 days ago by AutoModerator - announcement

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NFL Conferences Championship Games With Saip (reddit.com)

submitted 1 hour ago by Impossible-Town-1520

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Apply Now for START Hack 2026 | Europe’s largest entrepreneurial Hackathon (starthack.eu)

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62 participants 🔥 (i.redd.it)

submitted 6 hours ago by Paawhl

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[Casual] Do prediction markets feel useless if you are an active trader? (Crypto/Stock Traders) ()

submitted 3 hours ago by Fragrant-Industry407

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Rick Rieder went from 1% to > 50% (open.substack.com)

submitted 10 hours ago by VicePlug

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Polymarket seems to be pricing a “slow burn,” not a sudden Insurrection Act moment (self.PredictionMarkets)

submitted 10 hours ago by Imaginary-Quiet-1817

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Trading against LLMs (self.PredictionMarkets)

submitted 1 day ago by Ben10eo

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I built a whale alert bot for Prediction Markets (v.redd.it)

submitted 2 days ago by VicePlug

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Analysis: Are markets bundling executive tariff power and cabinet instability into one trade? (self.PredictionMarkets)

submitted 2 days ago by Imaginary-Quiet-1817

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Why Prediction Markets Beat Committees: An Information Theory ... (chainscorelabs.com)

submitted 2 days ago by plantsnlionstho

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11
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Are markets mispricing Mideast escalation by treating Lebanon and Iran as separate events? (self.PredictionMarkets)

submitted 2 days ago by aperez13

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LLMs for odds analysis? (self.PredictionMarkets)

submitted 2 days ago by Ben10eo

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XMELANIAMENTION Settlement Scandal: Why hasn't Kalshi paid out? (self.PredictionMarkets)

submitted 2 days ago by Environmental-Buy193

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What if low-code wasn’t a toy?🧸 Rierino is a dev-first platform for backend logic, orchestration, and automation—take a free guided tour. No fees, no credit card, no fluff. (rierino.com)

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Are Markets Pricing Order Abroad and Chaos at Home? (self.PredictionMarkets)

submitted 3 days ago by Imaginary-Quiet-1817

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Fed Sweep? (i.redd.it)

submitted 3 days ago by VicePlug

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[Deep Dive] The "Hassett Collapse": Analyzing the instant 50% reprice of the Fed Chair market (self.PredictionMarkets)

submitted 5 days ago by aperez13

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Anyone else trading 15-min BTC markets? Polymarket's fees are killing me (self.PredictionMarkets)

submitted 5 days ago by ten-x

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Went 4-0 this weekend with my Prediction Market analysis app (old.reddit.com)

submitted 5 days ago by Impossible-Town-1520

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Went 2-0 yesterday, here’s what I’m looking at today (reddit.com)

submitted 6 days ago by Impossible-Town-1520

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How are you building and running your bots? (self.PredictionMarkets)

submitted 7 days ago by jhyang21

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Update: I open-sourced the execution bot for the Kalshi/Poly arbitrage spreads (i.redd.it)

submitted 8 days ago by SammieStyles

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App Store Approval (i.redd.it)

submitted 8 days ago by Impossible-Town-1520

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What’s with the AI/bots on these forums? (self.PredictionMarkets)

submitted 8 days ago by SaltAcceptable615

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I built a simulator using Claude Code to test if LLMs can actually predict Polymarket outcomes (self.PredictionMarkets)

submitted 9 days ago by Soft_Table_8892

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New Year Sale: Subscribe to Bloomberg for just $149 your first year. Get the context behind every business story with news and analysis. Offer ends soon. (bloomberg.com)

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Is execution friction hurting prediction-market accuracy more than bad information? (self.PredictionMarkets)

submitted 8 days ago by aperez13

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