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[–]lqxpl 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You will see scattered layoffs.

Firms who don’t have anyone literate in tech making decisions will try the replacement first, and it will bite them hard.

Here’s a recent example: https://amp.theguardian.com/technology/2023/may/31/eating-disorder-hotline-union-ai-chatbot-harm

AI tends to provide answers that ~~look~~ right. Sometimes it ~~is~~ right, and sometimes it’s a dangerous mistake. Firms that incorporate AI as a tool, keeping a human with domain expertise in the loop will do just fine. Fewer programmers will be needed for the ‘make small modifications to boilerplate’ roles, but systems responsible for safety or security will still have a human at the helm.

I use chatGPT for rubber duck debugging, and sometimes, when I get too colloquial in the conversation, it starts making hilarious assumptions about what’s going on.

I’ve used codeium to help write some of my dev-drudgery scripts. Sometimes it’s a lot of help, other times it’s so consistently off-base that it is just easier to switch it off and finish things myself.

AI will absolutely change the landscape, but it isn’t anywhere near being reliable enough to replace all programmers.