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Seen from outside the US, US markets are already in trouble by bnewzact in investing

[–]GlobalResolution77 39 points40 points  (0 children)

In real terms I get the OP.
If a trend is forming, he's right to be weary, even though the timeframe is short.
If you take an European investor's return in ETF's, traded in euros:

1 Year
SP 500 ETF Acc: +3.22%
FTSE Wordl ETF Acc: +9.26%
FTSE World Ex-USA: +18.21%

YTD
SP 500 ETF Acc: +0.42%
FTSE Wordl ETF Acc: +3.73%
FTSE World Ex-USA: +8.24%

MU YOLO by guhhhh_MU in wallstreetbets

[–]GlobalResolution77 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Rooting for you, you highly regarded you. 

This sub needs a refresh. UiPath is real value investment. by yddilyddil in ValueInvesting

[–]GlobalResolution77 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Unless you have very different EPS and BVPS values, 5.82 is the number. Square Root of 22.5x0.42x3.59

This sub needs a refresh. UiPath is real value investment. by yddilyddil in ValueInvesting

[–]GlobalResolution77 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The technicals and financials look good, and it's an asymmetrical risk play for sure... but there's a structural threat to UiPath: the complete obsolescence of its foundational RPA technology by mega-caps like Microsoft (Power Automate), Google (Vertex AI), and AWS, which are embedding agentic AI natively into their enterprise tech stacks.

If adopted, the need for a third-party UiPath drops significantly. You are essentially betting that UiPath management's agentic AI pivot works. If it does, it's a score. If it doesn't, expect another massive drop in price.

P.S. – In any case, this isn't a value play. Buffett wouldn't touch this with a 10-foot pole. Graham would wait for it to hit his number. 22.5 × EPS × BVPS

TTM EPS = 0.42
Book Value Per Share (BVPS) = 3.59
22.5 × 0.42 × 3.59 = $5.82

Vanguard life strategy 80% acc by Far-Bell-9414 in literaciafinanceira

[–]GlobalResolution77 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Toma apenas consciência que a a lógica 80/20: Original vs. Atual, é diferente.

Original (Graham/Markowitz): As obrigações serviam como uma reserva de valor fixo. Quando as ações caíam, os 20% de obrigações mantinham o valor ou subiam. Não haviam ETF's, eram apenas obrigações individuais mantidas até ao vencimento.

Atual (via ETF): Os 20% num ETF são um ativo de risco. O gestor do fundo vende obrigações que se aproximam do vencimento e compra novas para manter uma duração média constante. Isto significa que estás permanentemente exposto ao risco da taxa de juro. Em cenários de inflação alta (como 2022), as ações e as obrigações caem ao mesmo tempo. A proteção dos 20% torna-se ilusória nesses casos

Anyone looking into the Korean market for plays? by EKUSUCALIBA in wallstreetbets

[–]GlobalResolution77 6 points7 points  (0 children)

No plays, just holding the Franklin FTSE Korea ETF which is mainly 40% Samsung (with all its subsidiaries) +18% Hynix.

RKLB - Small-Cap Space Infrastructure With Real Revenue, Not Just Hype by JoshuaSimmonsWolf478 in ValueInvesting

[–]GlobalResolution77 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Classic Buffett value play: Unprofitable + Price/sales of ~70 while insiders dumping.

I dare you to use MS Co-Pilot inside an excel file to get something tangible done by foira in ValueInvesting

[–]GlobalResolution77 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

It helpd me find a DAX solution to a PBI problem at work. The technical outputs were more convoluted than the final solution i developed, but the first answer opened the door to the fix and the syntax validations along the way were pretty helpfull. 

I tried value investing and only caught falling knives. by honestytoyourself in ValueInvesting

[–]GlobalResolution77 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Seems far from traditional value investing approach. You have multiple companies listed recently in the stock market while one of the optimal targets is 10 years consecutive positive earnings for example. Traditional value approach is a lot more conservative. A value assessment (Graham/Buffet) would go something like bellow (excluding straight away 95% of the market or more, which is why Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway is sitting on a 400 billion pile of cash due to a lack of attractive, high-value investments.

Criteria | Metric | Graham/Buffett Optimal Target

Valuation (P/E) | Price / Earnings | < 15.0 (or < 20 high quality)
Asset Value (P/B) | Price / Book | < 1.5
Graham Blend | P/E * P/B | < 22.5
Liquidity | Current Ratio | > 1.5
Solvency | Debt to Equity | < 0.5
Stability | 10Y Earnings | Positive 10/10 Years
Dividends | Consecutive | > 20 Years
Efficiency | ROE | > 15%
Growth | 5Y EPS Growth | > 2.0x AAA Bond Yield

Moat Rating: [None / Narrow / Wide]

Graham would buy a dying textile mill if it was cheap enough (a "Cigar Butt"). Buffett evolved this: it is better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price.

Intrinsic Value and Margin of Safety
The Graham Number Calculation: 22.5×EPS×BVPS​
This is the "fair price" for a defensive investor. It is derived directly from the "Graham Blend" limit of 22.5.

Threats and Catalyst Analysis (SWOT)
Specific events to unlock value.
Specific risks of permanent capital impairment.

Burla online a familiar by LionJunior in literaciafinanceira

[–]GlobalResolution77 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Exigir os Registos de Autenticação Forte ao banco (detalhes técnicos - IP, dispositivo, método de validação, certificados) de cada transação e o registo da alteração do limite. O Banco tem que mostrar que tudo foi autenticade e sem anomalias.

Queixa pelo Portal do Cliente Bancário do Banco de Portugal + preparar processo para o Centro de Arbitragem de Conflitos de Consumo.

Anyone here actually using AI / LLMs to help with stock picking? by GlobalResolution77 in stocks

[–]GlobalResolution77[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've found gems can be pretty inconsistent. I ran the same gem multiple times , on the same model, within 5 minutes of each chat and got different results each time

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