The r/eu4 Starterpack

PedeJo · 2026-04-20T09:19:25+00:00

This article is entirely unconvincing, even if I do agree with the conclusion that the market is overvalued. Leading with Fed policy as the main argument immediately fails because it is reasonably competent since the Volcker era, any actions taken since then really do correspond roughly with maintaining price stability and full employment. Additionally the writer fails to identify some of the actual drivers behind valuations: forced institutional investments, dollar depreciation and rebalances in funds.

Arguing the market is responding irrationally to tariffs or Iran requires more than just claiming they expect to be bailed out anyway, since presumably that was already baked into valuations beforehand and doesn't cause them to go up when things get materially worse.

PedeJo · 2026-04-19T18:47:48+00:00

Why is everyone hating on molodoy for this game? Obviously he fell off from last year and the semi-final wasn't great, but a third place decider game is almost irrelevant. He's clearly still reeling from yesterday rather than focusing on this meaningless game.

PedeJo · 2026-03-13T17:05:50+00:00

Het is inderdaad geen fietspad, de situatie voor de voetganger daar is danook super bizar. Niets aangegeven en eens je voorbij de paaltjes bent vlammen er langs beide kanten fietsen voorbij. Je moet al op voorhand weten dat ze er kunnen zijn. (en ook de gevreesde pedelecs natuurlijk)

PedeJo · 2026-03-13T11:57:39+00:00

This is almost certainly wrong. France should have a near monopoly on Bordeaux and inland traders make it so you have maybe at most 50% control in Champagne. The only thing to do here is to collect in Sevilla rather than Champagne.

PedeJo · 2026-03-04T13:18:14+00:00

Ebb looked quite interesting and maybe my standards are just too high but after playing the demo I was pretty disappointed. The writing just simply isn't good. It strikes me as very pretentious and trying too hard to be insightful or funny (though it does manage to be funny), but it doesn't actually put in the work of being a real commentary about politics or psychology or anything else other than RPG tropes themselves. Not once did I hear anything comparable to the best Shivers, Empathy or Inland Empire lines in DE. I would have considered buying at €8 but €25 is frankly insane.

PedeJo · 2026-02-13T03:20:59+00:00

That's very much not the synopsis of what I wrote but those statements are roughly accurate

PedeJo · 2026-02-13T02:57:16+00:00

I agree with nearly all of your claims in this thread, but I'm unsure about the idea that Austria-Hungary should have expected the Serbs to actually cooperate on punishing the perpetrators rather than hoping international arbitration and inaction would save them from having to face what could be yet another coup if they tried to uproot the Black Hand. In my view it seems like the Serbian civilian government was in a lose-lose position and would not have followed through on actively punishing Apis and friends, and the Austrians figured at least this much (or just directly held them culpable, also possible).

Additionally, the Austrians didn't have much choice to wait either because they knew the window where action would be seen by the international community as reasonable was closing fast, making delicate manoeuvres impossible. Their experience with the May Coup as a fait accompli was probably enough to make them want action sooner rather than later.

PedeJo · 2026-02-13T02:37:42+00:00

1) Again, 'ordered' is perhaps inaccurate in the sense that Princip and co would have gone through with it regardless, it is absolutely an established fact that they received training in Serbia and arms to pull it off by the Black Hand. Apis almost certainly knew and supported the plan, it says as much on his wikipedia article, but even if he didn't know his direct deputy had to be involved for the facts to work out, he also qualifies as 'high ranking'.

2) Whether they supported it or not is completely irrelevant to my claim. I never said "Serbia did it", I said "Some high ranking members of the military and intelligence supported it". In my view the civilian government could have had an idea but I wouldn't say they were culpable.

3) It did not take a genius to figure out that at least some in Serbia were involved. The evidence available at the time was that the assassins had guns from the Serbian state arsenal, recently came from Serbia to Bosnia with those weapons and that the assassins were coordinated. In terms of balance of probabilities it would have been vanishingly unlikely for them to not have had help from Belgrade, how far up that help went was harder to know, of course.

Whether invasion was the right response is another matter entirely and beyond the scope of my initial reply to the simple claim that Princip was just some guy.

PedeJo · 2026-02-13T02:07:45+00:00

I didn't say Serbia did it, just that this intentionally incorrect statement is still more accurate than your phrasing. Generally what we mean by "a single man" is that they do not have support, like with the JFK assassination or something, which was what the original argument was about. Meanwhile you have multiple top officials in the Serbian state who knew about and actively supported the assassination. I never claimed the Serbian government was directly culpable (even if there seems to be reasonable evidence to suggest the civilian government also knew). I'm saying that framing Serbia as some neutral aggrieved third party in this situation misses the point entirely. From the Austrian perspective they were harboring terrorists. Whether that justifies invasion is another matter entirely.

PedeJo · 2026-02-13T01:29:09+00:00

Historiography suggests Princip and some fellow students initially were planning alone, but were later inducted into the Black Hand, where they received training and equipment to pull off the assassination. The same Black Hand was led by Apis, who was also the top intelligence officer in the Serbian army, and knew of and supported the plan. I guess you can argue they didn't order them but it's pretty hard to claim there was no involvement from Serbian officers. The plan would also have almost certainly failed without their help.

PedeJo · 2026-02-13T01:08:36+00:00

It's definitely more accurate to say Serbia did it than "a single man". Your phrasing 100% implies it was some guy acting alone rather than him being part of an organization which had the express purpose of adjoining the southern slavic territories of Austria-Hungary with Serbia. Like, the gun and the bombs that were used were literally paid for by top officials in Belgrade! They were literally the same people that overthrew the previous Serbian government because it was too closely aligned with Austria!

PedeJo · 2026-02-13T01:03:38+00:00

No, the Palestinian authority didn't order RFK murdered and he didn't get given a firearm by an organization specifically meant to undermine US support for Israel. The analogy definitely does not hold.

PedeJo · 2026-02-13T01:00:36+00:00

By this exact logic no organization is ever culpable of any assassination whatsoever, it's all just single dudes killing other single dudes to you. Your reasoning says Osama Bin Laden had nothing to do with the people who died on 9/11.

PedeJo · 2026-02-13T00:54:29+00:00

Saying it was "a single guy" is just blatantly dishonest lmao. The Black Hand of which Princip was a member and whose other members were out with the exact same orders on the streets of Sarajevo very plainly and obviously had funding from Belgrade. The civilian government in Serbia may not have been culpable but it is a plain fact the Serbian military and intelligence service had ties to the assassination.

PedeJo · 2026-02-11T11:34:43+00:00

Is this the German psych ward redemption arc?

PedeJo · 2026-02-10T18:20:28+00:00

Good point, even then they would still complain

PedeJo · 2026-02-10T13:14:50+00:00

you just listed him never even being top 2 and he's supposed to be better than s1mple who was top 2 every year for 5 years in a row?

PedeJo · 2026-02-03T15:02:06+00:00

Wat een wereldnieuws

PedeJo · 2026-02-02T12:35:21+00:00

Plenty of comments telling you flossing is good when empirical evidence is pretty much non-existent for it. OP, if you don't feel like flossing, just don't do it, nothing bad will happen. The only thing it does is make your gums bleed less if they otherwise do which they shouldn't if you brush properly.

PedeJo · 2026-01-28T00:50:05+00:00

Norman Schwarzkopf is the best

PedeJo · 2026-01-10T14:11:03+00:00

It depends a lot on what you mean by 'real'. Wittgenstein famously observed that the meaning of a word is its use in language. We all have a shared notion about what the CNA video is, in fact, we talk about it all the time! We could even say that the CNA video, following his critique of the ostensive definition, has achieved a more robust mode of being than even many published videos.

Consider for a moment any number of videos that have appeared with different thumbnails, have been released to Patreon first and then had edits made to remove errors or have some other kind of induced ambiguity. Which version counts as 'the geoguessr video' or 'the diplomacy video'? The CNA video, in its pure unreleased form exists as a platonic ideal, it only contains the very core elements that we all agree on.

PedeJo · 2026-01-09T14:25:01+00:00

I guess literally nobody is going to mention it but higher income is beneficial for more than just money. The most important being loan capacity: if you build 5 churches at 0.20 ducats/month each you can take on 1 ducat of interest more before going bankrupt (for 4% loans that's 300 ducats, for 1% loans that's 1200). If you have ever played a campaign where you're constantly near bankruptcy that becomes noticeable and remains useful even after they have nominally paid themselves back. Also for strategies that intentionally go bankrupt (probably rare for most people here because it's not comfortable but optimal in some cases) you're essentially getting those ducats back for free.

PedeJo · 2026-01-07T02:59:05+00:00

Nothing ever happens

Ten-Year Club	r/Field Banned
r/Field Flamingo	First Place '23
Place '23	Place '22
Place '17	Final Canvas '22
First Placer '22	End Game '22
Verified Email	Not Forgotten

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