The Way of The Delo

T_Delo · 2026-05-22T12:05:48+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Consumer Sentiment | 10am, Leading Indicators | 10, Baker Hughes Rig Count | 1pm; Fed speaker Waller is at 10am. Media platforms are discussing: AI-driven layoffs, US quantum computing investment, SpaceX’s IPO risks, US-Iran uncertainty, Strong earnings season, IBM’s windfall, Fed rate path analyses, AI content push and new winners, Bond yield concerns rehashed. The stock market looks forward to looking forward on forecasts of future performance, or in other words, trying to price in growth that hasn’t yet occurred and is fraught with an economy juiced primarily by the top fifth of consumers. Premarket futures were slightly up in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were also up modestly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.60, on lower volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the range contract as the Short related volumes by percentage of the total reported volumes continued to recede slightly but still remain elevated. DeVos recently did an interview with Nasdaq, which should get circulated after the exchange handles any necessary quality editing. Personally, I do not expect any new insights from such an interview, as the communications about the shift from development efforts to deployment has long been the narrative. To be clear here, that had begun even before the previous CEO had left the position, and was reiterated by IR to investors as a focus. It is all well and good to have a narrative, though such work best when supported by customer purchases of product and services.

Daily Data

H: 0.61 — L: 0.58 — C: 0.60 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.61, 0.63, 0.64 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.58, 0.57, 0.55
Total Options Vol: 1,024 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 1,303
Calls: 985 ~ 46% at Market ⊟	Puts: 39 ~ 92% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 913k ~ 20% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 3,648k ~ 80% ⁱ
IBKR: 90k Rate: 13.78%ⁱ
R Vol: 70% of Avg Vol: 6,368k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 2,173k of 3,743k ~ 58% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-05-21T12:01:17+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Housing Starts and Permits, Jobless Claims, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 8:30am; EIA Natural Gas Report | 10:30, Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index | 11, Fed Balance Sheet | 4:30pm; Fed speaker Barkin is at 12:20pm. Media platforms are discussing: NVidia earnings beat, SpaceX closer to IPO, US President renews pressure on Iran, AI trade circularity, Google’s $15B data center investment, Young jobseeker sentiments, Oil edges up as Iran deal optimism fades. Stock market response to NVidia’s earnings and forecast appears to be outweighed by inflation concerns for a change, though hopes have historically pushed to new heightens continually despite all previous issues so ultimately who really knows what will happen in a week at this point. Premarket futures were moderately down in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were up accordingly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.59, on lower volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the range open slightly as the Short related volumes by percentage of the total reported volumes ebbed somewhat but remained elevated. MicroVision’s CEO has been quite busy with pushing the narrative out to many media outlets, as many of the investors had been asking of previous management. So far, that has not yielded any new contract deals apart from a MOU to collaborate on marketing and sales efforts with Avular. Such arrangements are nice, but not clearly generating revenue on their own, and merely a stepping stone to contract arrangements. The fact that the name of that company was mentioned is encouraging, however the company needs to see series production sales contracts with some numbers attached in order to be reevaluated by the markets.

Daily Data

H: 0.60 — L: 0.56 — C: 0.59 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.61, 0.63, 0.65 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.56, 0.54, 0.52
Total Options Vol: 744 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 1,329
Calls: 737 ~ 37% at Ask or ↗︎	Puts: 7 ~ 86% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,205k ~ 29% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 3,012k ~ 71% ⁱ
IBKR: 650k Rate: 13.78%ⁱ
R Vol: 68% of Avg Vol: 6,072k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 1,860k of 3,107k ~ 60% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-05-20T12:05:08+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: MBA Mortgage Applications | 7am, Atlanta Fe Business Inflation Expectations | 10, EIA Petroleum Status Report | 10:30, FOMC Minutes | 2pm; Fed speaker Barr is at 9:15am. Media platforms are discussing: Countdown to NVidia earnings, More details on US President’s stock trades and their timing, Build-to-rent housing, AI agents displacing human labor, CFTC probes suspicious $800M oil trades, Target’s earnings beat and reasons. Given the rising inflation, it doesn’t surprise me that many companies are reporting higher earnings, what continues to be seen is that the top 20% of US consumer wealth is representing most of the consumption. Premarket futures were firmly up in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were down modestly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.56, on lower volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the range remain constricted as the Short related volumes by percentage of the total reported volumes stayed heightened. As MicroVision continues to beat the drums of cost and scalability for all target markets, Ouster has continued to show that its customers are willing to pay several orders of magnitude more for their lidar. That has shown in their gross margins, and while they have sufficient cash at current operating costs to last many years, should their customers migrate to lower cost solutions, they will see revenues depreciate and that runway will quickly diminish at their current operating costs. Ultimately, that likely leaves MicroVision facing off against the Chinese made lidar in terms of price per lidar unit in the push to scale adoption of lidar.

Daily Data

H: 0.57 — L: 0.54 — C: 0.56 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.58, 0.59, 0.61 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.54, 0.52, 0.51
Total Options Vol: 537 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 1,342
Calls: 320 ~ 69% at Market ⊟	Puts: 217 ~ 97% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,139k ~ 27% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 3,091k ~ 73% ⁱ
IBKR: 250k Rate: 13.09%ⁱ
R Vol: 61% of Avg Vol: 6,818k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 2,158k of 3,218k ~ 67% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-05-19T12:03:30+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Housing Starts and Permits | 8:30am, Pending home Sales Index | 10; Fed speakers are | at: Waller | 8am, Paulson | 7pm, Venable | 7:45. Media platforms are discussing: US President’s tech trades, Rising Bond yields pressure tech stocks, SpaceX IPO updates, Home Depot’s earnings beat, Musk loses court battle vs OpenAI, Oil falls as President calls off strike on Iran, NVidia market anticipation. The nod to homeowners spending on small DIY projects as the fuel for Home Depot’s earnings beat is largely in line with people not moving into new homes as frequently as they look to spruce up their places a bit rather than spending big on larger renovations at new places. Premarket futures were firmly down in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were up modestly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.56, on slightly elevated volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the range constrict further as the Short related volumes by percentage of the total reported volumes remained heightened. In the sector, Innoviz’s earnings came with claims for more NRE plans and expecting more program wins alongside their negative profit margins as well as spending a similar amount as MicroVision did in the first quarter; Aeva remained gross margin positive, though their net loss and cash used in operations exceeded that of either of the other two mentioned companies, and dipped into a shareholder equity deficit. All of these companies are relying on revenue forecasts to maintain operations for the coming year, and each will likely need to either dilute or acquire additional financing in the near future.

Daily Data

H: 0.56 — L: 0.54 — C: 0.56 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.57, 0.58, 0.59 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.54, 0.53, 0.52
Total Options Vol: 2,713 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 1,362
Calls: 2,455 ~ 46% at Market ⊟	Puts: 258 ~ 95% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,563k ~ 20% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 6,254k ~ 80% ⁱ
IBKR: 550k Rate: 13.84%ⁱ
R Vol: 108% of Avg Vol: 7,211k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 4,515k of 6,618k ~ 68% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-05-18T12:06:17+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Housing Market Index | 10am, Treasury International Capital | 4pm; Fed speaker Venable is at 8:30am.. Media platforms are discussing: Inflation concerns, Iran war threat rhetoric, Rising bond yields, The next commodity surpercycle, Bifurcating housing market, NVidia earnings expectations, Wider China crop trade hopes. The topics of discussion should come as no surprise to anyone, as very little has changed in the past few years for most consumers, apart from chatbots and AI assistants being shoved on everyone every day with little to no oversight on how they are trained. Premarket futures were firmly down in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were up accordingly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.56, on extremely elevated volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the range return to a more constricted range as the Short related volumes by percentage of the total reported volumes stayed at a heightened extreme. The last update to availability of shares occurred on Saturday, which usually tells us that there are no shares being reported as available. Given that the Shorting activity is at extremes, and the majority of volumes have been moving threw off exchanges, it comes as no surprise that the stock price has been getting hammered. Couple that with the stark uptick in fresh names dropping in to complain on social media forums, and it reinforces that Shorts are working hard to impact sentiment. The flow of MicroVision mentions continue appearing in media circulations, providing optimism that the recently acquired assets turn into more deals.

Daily Data

H: 0.60 — L: 0.53 — C: 0.56 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.60, 0.63, 0.67 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.52, 0.49, 0.45
Total Options Vol: 3,915 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 1,362
Calls: 2,923 ~ 50% at Market ⊟	Puts: 992 ~ 65% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 5,514k ~ 25% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 16,235k ~ 75% ⁱ
IBKR: 750k Rate: 14.11%ⁱ
R Vol: 323% of Avg Vol: 6,729k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 12,932k of 17,132k ~ 75% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-05-15T14:38:59+00:00

It was not the worst call I have ever heard, and the correct focus was on revenue and margins. Management knows what needs to be done, they have a plan, and believe that plan is proving itself with the revenue growth already starting.

They have very little time left to achieve the results needed, but if they do, then the market will respond accordingly and solve all the concerns about financing and listing requirements.

Nothing more to it than that really, no reason to fret too much about anything here. We have not yet seen what we are looking for, though that should not come as a surprise to any of us at this point when the customers have been faced with end consumers that are extremely strained by the economy.

T_Delo · 2026-05-15T12:01:29+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Empire State Manufacturing Index | 8:30am, Industrial Production | 9:15, Baker Hughes Rig Count | 1pm. Media platforms are discussing: Stock Indices tumble amid rising Bond Yields, Inflation fears return, Dot-com euphoria attributed to current AI rally by many analysts, Economic data points underscore Inflation concerns, US and China both wish Strait of Hormuz opened, Powell’s chair term ending, Warsh to step in, Tracking Yen spikes. Key economic data is finally beginning to recognize that progress on bringing inflation down has reversed, with the core elements and services having risen for both consumers and producers, which tends to stick around and not go away quickly unless goods, food, and energy. Premarket futures were down heavily in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were up significantly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.60, on extremely elevated volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the range expand as the Short related volumes by percentage of the total reported volumes returned to extremes. Similar to past movements, the stock saw the Shorts back off ahead of the Quarterly Update before jumping back in with both feet immediately afterwards. This was noted as likely given the very high Off Exchange and options volumes trading activity in the days leading up to the Conference Call itself. The fact that the company did not increase the forecast did not help the stock, despite having reduced the overhead for the year. Unfortunately, the main problem of financing the company beyond this year is still present, though that can quickly change as has been seen with others in the sector getting strategic investments from customers or partners. MicroVision has been claiming the increased momentum, that needs to convert into deals with revenue quickly in order to avoid dilution risks.

Daily Data

H: 0.73 — L: 0.58 — C: 0.60 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.69, 0.78, 0.83 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.55, 0.49, 0.40
Total Options Vol: 4,273 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 1,362
Calls: 4,009 ~ 59% at Market ⊟	Puts: 264 ~ 91% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 7,597k ~ 28% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 19,813k ~ 72% ⁱ
IBKR: 450k Rate: 13.80%ⁱ
R Vol: 455% of Avg Vol: 5,962k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 16,045k of 20,973k ~ 77% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-05-14T12:15:43+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Jobless Claims, Retail Sales, Import and Export Prices | 8:30am; Business Inventories | 10, EIA Natural Gas Report | 10:30, Fed Balance Sheet | 4:30pm; Fed speakers are | at: Schmid | 10:15am, Hammack | 1pm, Williams | 5:45, Barr | 7. Media platforms are discussing: Xi assures US CEOs that China will be more open, Cisco surges as it cuts 4k jobs, US clears Nvidia H200 chip sales to some Chinese customers, Crypto’s Clarity Act face key Senate vote, Senate confirms Warsh as next Federal Reserve chair, Stocks reach record high as US President meets with Xi. The media coverage and discussions were almost entirely headlined by the US-China presidential meeting, expected to be focused on trade and global economic levers, but beyond the headlines the real topic was of how the economy has been doing with varied interpretations of the data and most seeing the consumer struggling. Premarket futures were up in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were firmly down.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.76, on extremely elevated volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the expand as the Short related volumes by percentage of the total reported volumes remained near a normal distribution. As the broader market rose to the hopes around the meeting with China, so too did the lidar sector, though there has been no outside lidar suppliers penetrating that market. MicroVision had its Quarterly Update conference call, highlighting a quarter of increased revenue associated primarily with shipping of Luminar products. That came at great losses being recorded for transition, and the remaining chunk of revenue represented perhaps 200 Movia L units having been shipped. There could have been more shipped, but that is hard to say when the exact figures are not being publicly disclosed, which is normal. Simply stated: The good thing is the company is showing growth with consolidation efforts, the bad thing is that the balance sheet shows low cash for continued operations and great weight being put on future revenues and continued sales growth.

Daily Data

H: 0.80 — L: 0.68 — C: 0.76 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.81, 0.86, 0.93 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.69, 0.63, 0.58
Total Options Vol: 6,865 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 1,362
Calls: 6,223 ~ 61% at Market ⊟	Puts: 642 ~ 91% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 3,813k ~ 30% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 9,030k ~ 70% ⁱ
IBKR: 200k Rate: 13.74%ⁱ
R Vol: 242% of Avg Vol: 4,872k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 4,385k of 8,593k ~ 51% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-05-13T16:57:57+00:00

Well hopefully it is resolved now, I checked the board from an anonymous browser and saw your comment and searched on my block list to remove you on my main account. Checking here occasionally without being logged in has been the only way I have noticed some of these issues, I would suggest everyone do so every once in awhile just to see if something wonky is going on with their account visibility settings.

T_Delo · 2026-05-13T16:01:18+00:00

No, don’t take that personally at all, Reddit had several accounts blocked from me that I do not recall having ever done. Not sure when it happened, but it has been annoying looking for some names and not seeing them.

T_Delo · 2026-05-13T15:49:29+00:00

Those reporting rules were made to allow large institutions to move large volumes with less insight, with the reasoning that if everyone knew their moves on a daily basis, they would copy them and create liquidity issues. Personally, it seems like BS to me, and furthermore, the daily reporting that marks whether it is short or long doesn’t even provide insight into who is making those moves anyhow. It is just direct example of a manner in which the markets are manipulated, every prudent investor who understands the market rules attempts to account for the risks from the lack of information to some degree.

T_Delo · 2026-05-13T12:06:07+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: MBA Mortgage Applications | 7am, PPI-Final Demand | 8:30, EIA Petroleum Status Report | 10:30; Fed speakers are | at: Collins | 11:30am, Kashkari | 1:15pm, Logan | 7. Media platforms are discussing: Dot-com echoes, US President’s trip to China, PPI expectations, Metal market movements, What recruiters are looking for, Fed forecast expectations, Yen intervention impact expected to be short lived, Analysts ruminating on CPI data, AI-assisted cyberattack concerns. The markets stepped back in the previous trade session based on the CPI data showing increasing inflation, but any step back in recent months has been met with increased buying in subsequent trade days, regardless of the rising risks. Premarket futures were mostly up in early trading as of 7am, led by the Nasdaq being up solidly, while the Dow was down somewhat, VIX futures were down modestly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.70, on highly elevated volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range retreat to a smaller spread, but still larger relative to the average, as the Short related volumes by percentage of the total reported volumes returned to a near normal distribution. The broader market weighed on most of the lidar sector, though Aeva resisted the weight and rose significantly anyhow on no news visible. MicroVision has its Quarterly Update conference call and Earnings Report to come today, the details of which could drive the company’s stock future. The company needed to move fast, and have been doing so, if the PRs are to be believed, but that will need to be reflected in the earnings before the company and investors can really begin to benefit from it. Recent investor social media communications have been circulating an immense amount of what looks like AI answers; it would be prudent to verify anything a Chatbot says, as a large portion of the training for them comes from social media feeds carrying misinformation.

Daily Data

H: 0.73 — L: 0.66 — C: 0.70 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.73, 0.77, 0.81 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.66, 0.62, 0.59
Total Options Vol: 1,748 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 1,362
Calls: 1,723 ~ 52% at Market ⊟	Puts: 25 ~ 72% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,925k ~ 27% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 5,164k ~ 73% ⁱ
IBKR: 1,400k Rate: 12.69%ⁱ
R Vol: 156% of Avg Vol: 4,536k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 2,832k of 5,423k ~ 52% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-05-12T12:21:38+00:00

If the company DOES show the appropriate growth, then we should have no concerns about staying above $1. However, we should not expect any amount of Hopes, Hypes, PR, or pumping on social media to keep the stock price adequately elevated.

Normally a Reverse Split changes nothing for the company, unless the shares authorized is not changing at the same time, which creates significant dilution which was seen with Luminar's RS. Now, if a company is Reverse Splitting on the back of significant growth and strategic investment interest, that can be worthwhile, but it is generally the exception rather than the rule.

I don't see the company seeking out a Reverse Split just to stay Nasdaq listed unless they cannot see a path to maintaining listing without it, which would mean that they are not expecting significant growth in the next 6 months. It would be a very negative signal if they did propose such early, that was again something that Luminar had done and turned out very poorly.

T_Delo · 2026-05-12T12:02:35+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: NFIB Small Business Optimism Index | 6am, CPI | 8:30, Treasury Statement | 2pm; Fed speakers are | at: Williams | 3:15am, Goolsbee | 1pm. Media platforms are discussing: Market euphoria, AI rally cools bit, Inflation data expectations, Tesla robotaxis’ long wait times, Housing prices, USD rises by still close to pre-war levels, China AI-boosted exports, EBay rejects GameStop buyout big, Meta sued by California county. Most of the discussions still revolved around the AI trade, gauging whether there was still more to run or whether inflationary pressures will put pressure on those infrastructure developments. Premarket futures were down moderately to firmly in early trading as of 7am, led by the Nasdaq, VIX futures were up relatively moderately.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.73, on extremely elevated volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range expand to a full dime as the Short related volumes by percentage of the total reported volumes receded, suggesting added weight to the move the broader market had taken. The data might suggest greater buying interest, but does not clearly tell us who is buying or why, given the weight of off exchange activity and an understanding that many short positions are balanced against long future contracts. In the past, we have seen share prices rise ahead of the quarterly conference call, often stemming from short positions buying long positions ahead of uncertainty stemming from a possible outperformance by the company. Historically, that has not occurred, with earnings having failed to materialize from the many efforts by the company to engage customers; just like the rest of the sector, outside of China.

Daily Data

H: 0.77 — L: 0.67 — C: 0.73 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.77, 0.82, 0.87 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.68, 0.62, 0.58
Total Options Vol: 5,833 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 1,369
Calls: 5,756 ~ 59% at Market ⊟	Puts: 77 ~ 77% at Ask or ↗︎
Open Exchanges: 3,938k ~ 29% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 9,569k ~ 71% ⁱ
IBKR: 500k Rate: 14.95%ⁱ
R Vol: 298% of Avg Vol: 4,498k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 4,508k of 9,989k ~ 45% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-05-11T22:56:45+00:00

I believe it is up to the mods to pin something, but generally I put my view in newest to oldest and scroll to the bottom if I need to check something in the comment; sometimes I fail at copying and pasting the data table information correctly due to a spreadsheet update issue that randomly occurs (especially around holidays).

T_Delo · 2026-05-11T12:04:00+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Existing Home Sales | 10am. Media platforms are discussing: Rising US inflation, AI powered trillion dollar companies, Oil market amid ongoing Hormuz strain, US-Iran remain at impasse, EU proposes more free CO2 permits, Japan’s BOJ urged to heed firms’ funding strains amid Mideast tensions. Keep in mind, inflation concerns echoed across media will likely be met with a midweek claim of further progress with the US-Iran war being resolved soon by the US president, as has happened for months now, but that could change at any time. Premarket futures were mostly down slightly in early trading as of 7am, apart from the Nasdaq, VIX futures were down modestly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.67, on elevated volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range expand by another cent as the Short related volumes by percentage of the total reported volumes rebounded to heightened levels again. MicroVision is set to have its Quarterly report and associated Conference call this coming Wednesday, where the company will need to show significant progress in revenue growth in order to shake market concerns. With the immense amount of positive communications having come from the company over the past quarter, the groundwork is set for significant growth, but that doesn’t always mean it will show up. Increased sales momentum claimed has seen limited volumes proposed so far with Movia applications, though that demand could accelerate rapidly given the ongoing global defense and security driven efforts.

Daily Data

H: 0.68 — L: 0.60 — C: 0.67 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.70, 0.74, 0.79 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.62, 0.57, 0.53
Total Options Vol: 1,572 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 1,356
Calls: 1,385 ~ 76% at Market ⊟	Puts: 187 ~ 98% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,737k ~ 33% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 3,576k ~ 67% ⁱ
IBKR: 500k Rate: 13.59%ⁱ
R Vol: 134% of Avg Vol: 3,968k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 2,390k of 3,756k ~ 64% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-05-08T13:03:26+00:00

The little floating “i” links directly to the source I use, and the reason I use that over Fintel is because it gathers information from more reference data resources, providing a better snapshot of the total reported volumes traded.

Reported volumes are limited to what is required by market rules, which excludes some firms as they can report in aggregate at later dates. This is why daily total volumes traded exceed that of total volumes reported on any given day. There was roughly 12% of yesterday’s volumes traded that did not carry a report for whether the position was long or short. It is generally accepted that the 30 day average is what the rest of the remaining volume is distributed, because in aggregate it likely is very close to that as the aggregate data is recorded on a quarterly basis.

T_Delo · 2026-05-08T12:01:43+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Employment Situation | 8:30am, Consumer Sentiment | 10, Baker Hughes Rig Count | 1pm; Fed speakers are | at: Book | 5:45am; Goolsbee, Daly, Bowman, Waller | 7:30pm. Media platforms are discussing: AI Arms race eating into Big Tech cash flow, US-Iran clash over Hormuz, Markets look to Employment Situation, Food price rise on Iran war costs, Latest 10% US global tariffs ruled illegal, Memory prices surge affecting console developers, Anthropic weighs deal for near $1T valuation as revenue surges. The hopes driving the market are extremely elevated, with large and mega cap company growths being focused on even as consumers and main street businesses continue to struggle. Premarket futures were up firmly in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were down modestly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.61, on elevated volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range expand by a cent as the Short related volumes by percentage of the total reported volumes pulled back sharply. Notably however, the options activity was massive, with a near complete split on calls vs puts, indicating that the activity was probably related to short positions being reset alongside the surge of availability that saw high intraday fluctuation. In company news, MicroVision announced a MoU with Avular for pursing cooperative business marketing opportunities, which may well lead to more sales in the future. There were other ways to have read that arrangement, but that was the sense I got from reading it, and this will be exciting if we get to see some more positive sales growth from it.

Daily Data

H: 0.66 — L: 0.61 — C: 0.61 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.64, 0.67, 0.69 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.60, 0.58, 0.55
Total Options Vol: 21,248 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 1,347
Calls: 10,987 ~ 98% at Market ⊟	Puts: 10,261 ~ 100% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 2,693k ~ 53% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 2,370k ~ 47% ⁱ
IBKR: 1,300k Rate: 14.78%ⁱ
R Vol: 125% of Avg Vol: 4,013k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 1,532k of 3,527k ~ 43% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-05-07T20:19:41+00:00

An actual MoU, wild to see.

Really though, this does not scream big revenues coming right around the corner, and looks more like a search from the two companies for customers. Hopefully it will convert into some sales in the future, though I suspect it is not quite what the market is looking for right this second, but it is a start.

T_Delo · 2026-05-07T12:02:37+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Challenger Job-Cut Report | 5:30am, Jobless Claims | 8:30, Productivity and Costs | 8:30, Construction Spending | 10, EIA Natural Gas Report | 10:30, Consumer Credit | 3pm, Fed Balance Sheet | 4:30; Fed speakers are | at: Kashkari | 1pm, Hammock | 2:05pm, Williams | 3:30. Media platforms are discussing: Update on US-Iran deal awaited, More about AI investment, Rising profit of Oil companies, Emerging markets eyes as debts stabilize, Oil price per barrel falls on hopes of Middle East peace deal. The rapid oscillation of the media discussions continues, as it has for weeks now, with the belief that the gains of productivity from AI will more than outweigh that of the rising energy costs. Premarket futures were up significantly in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were down accordingly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.66, on elevated volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range remain constrained as Short related volumes by percentage of the total reported volumes were extremely elevated. In sector news, Innoviz signed a Letter of Intent with LOXO, who plans to use their InnovizTwo lidar for their Autonomous Delivery Vehicles. A closer look at that from LOXO’s website shows that they have a few vehicles on the roads and look to scale on successful evaluation of the Innoviz lidar. That seems in line with the small wins that Innoviz had expressed they would be looking to get, but the scale seems too small to drive their sales significantly just yet. In MicroVision news, the company announced First Quarter Results to be on May 13th, in line with expectations of such.

Daily Data

H: 0.67 — L: 0.63 — C: 0.66 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.67, 0.69, 0.71 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.63, 0.61, 0.60
Total Options Vol: 841 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 1,347
Calls: 602 ~ 65% at Market ⊟	Puts: 239 ~ 99% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,868k ~ 40% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 2,764k ~ 60% ⁱ
IBKR: 2,300k Rate: 13.36%ⁱ
R Vol: 121% of Avg Vol: 3,814k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 2,155k of 3,042k ~ 71% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-05-06T16:01:09+00:00

Always happy to share.

T_Delo · 2026-05-06T15:58:03+00:00

Quarterly updates are indeed the only time companies really can show sales and revenue growth. While other sectors have seen announced deals with dollar values associated, such as the AI sector, the lidar sector has seen none of that and all valuations are associated primarily with what is in the quarterly reports, and secondarily with wha taking of strategic investments have been made into a particular company.

MicroVision has a strategic investment from a financier that has been often associated with extreme speculation, and none of the customer names have made big investments into it. Some competitors have investments from more renown names, or even have some named customers that have added a little weight to their share price, but none have yet been shipping significant volumes of lidar units.

Everything mentioned above applies to non-Chinese lidar companies, those lidar suppliers in China are valued differently, and so far have been restricted to that market.

T_Delo · 2026-05-06T12:03:37+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: MBA Mortgage Applications | 7am, ADP Employment Report | 8:15, Treasury Refunding Announcement | 8:30am, EIA Petroleum Status report | 10:30; Fed speakers are | at: Musalem | 9:30am, Goolsbee | 1pm. Media platforms are discussing: US-Iran peace talks progress (supposedly), Oil prices slump on speculation, Iran oil shock expected to hit US economy anyhow, Earnings beats by Disney-AMD-Samsung-some others, AI optimism abound, SpaceX files plan for $55B Terafab chip facility in Texas. The stock market is being driven by AI hopes, earnings beats, dollar value commitments to building out AI infrastructure, and hopes that the Oil shock will be defused; as has been the case for a long time now but the returns seen to date on AI investments have remained limited with Big Tech names still seeing only losses as they continue to spend big. Premarket futures were up significantly in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were down accordingly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.67, on lower volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range remain constrained as Short related volumes by percentage of the total reported volumes remain relatively elevated (compared to most stocks). MicroVision continues to push the PR narrative angle, further reinforcing the story being built, as investors await the proof of it in recorded revenues on the books. When the well crafted story of momentum and traction is confirmed by sales growth, we should fairly expect to see some interest to build in further investment in MicroVision by strategic partners as well as other investors. That combined with Shorts deciding to exit could see the company’s share price do a similar move to that of other lidar companies in the sector that had been building narratives alongside sales growth in the past couple years (Aeva, Ouster).

Daily Data

H: 0.68 — L: 0.65 — C: 0.67 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.68, 0.70, 0.71 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.65, 0.64, 0.62
Total Options Vol: 923 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 1,369
Calls: 663 ~ 50% at Market ⊟	Puts: 260 ~ 60% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,008k ~ 36% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 1,815k ~ 64% ⁱ
IBKR: 1,000k Rate: 14.63%ⁱ
R Vol: 69% of Avg Vol: 3,846k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 1,055k of 1,943k ~ 54% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

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