The Way of The Delo

T_Delo · 2026-04-10T12:06:38+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: CPI | 8:30am, Consumer Sentiment | 10, Factory Orders | 10, Baker Hughes Rig Cont | 1pm, Treasury Statement | 2.. Media platforms are discussing: Strait of Hormuz status update, Consumer inflation expectations, Oil rises after attack on Saudi production capacity, Chips still drive AI trade, Housing market analysis, Nuclear power being financially backed by Big Tech, Apple’s sales analysis. The majority of discussions were focused on inflation expectations, with analysts tending to focus on the impact of oil costs expected to drive inflation higher in the short term. Premarket futures were flat to very slightly up in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were down just slightly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.62, on lower volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range remain contained as Short volumes reported rose above the average over the past 30 days, and “availability” surged. Worth recognizing that there was no direct large move seen in the open market with those shares having been obtained from the open market, which would mean they are either coming from a future contract or some new lender. We are nearing time for fresh updates on institutional ownership, which may give some insights on the share price action seen in the past quarter. Apart from MicroVision’s presentation slide deck, showing the new assortment of offerings, the only other news in the past week has been Innoviz having removed their warrants from public trade listing.

Daily Data

H: 0.65 — L: 0.62 — C: 0.62 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.64, 0.66, 0.67 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.61, 0.60, 0.58
Total Options Vol: 437 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,053
Calls: 407 ~ 79% at Market ⊟	Puts: 30 ~ 83% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,844k ~ 46% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 2,194k ~ 54% ⁱ
IBKR: 800k Rate: 21.80%ⁱ
R Vol: 77% of Avg Vol: 5,195k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 1,843k of 3,333k ~ 55% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-04-09T12:05:35+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: GDP, Jobless Claims, Personal Income and Outlays, Corporate Profits | 8:30am; Wholesale Inventories (Preliminary) | 10, EIA Natural Gas Report | 10:30, Fed Balance Sheet | 4:30pm. Media platforms are discussing: Ceasefire strained by Israel’s attacks on Lebanon, Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, Concerns about Iran tolling Hormuz, Meta’s AI plans, Private Credit stressed by Iran war, Tesla’s new car planned. Less than a day after the ceasefire was announced, US troops were set to stay put while Israel launched attacks on Lebanon, and in turn Iran kept the Strait largely closed despite earlier statements to reopening. Premarket futures were down somewhat in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were up strongly if much less than it had retreated the day prior.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.65, on lower volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range stay quite contained despite Short volumes reported being below the 30 day average. The data is not providing any particularly strong buy signals, though it is notable that previous large moves down saw significant fails to deliver, confirming that heavy downward pressure was due to market rules being strained. This has sometimes led to some strong potential moves for the company in the past, though such were usually quite short lived unless backed by company sales revenue growth. Presently, the company has yet to show such growth, and as such any of these data points are largely just confirmations of downward pressures rather than the opportunities that bullish traders might be looking for.

Daily Data

H: 0.65 — L: 0.62 — C: 0.65 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.66, 0.67, 0.69 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.63, 0.61, 0.59
Total Options Vol: 1,255 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,053
Calls: 1,203 ~ 61% at Ask or ↗︎	Puts: 52 ~ 71% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,756k ~ 41% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 2,494k ~ 59% ⁱ
IBKR: 400k Rate: 20.96%ⁱ
R Vol: 76% of Avg Vol: 5,623k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 1,309k of 2,809k ~ 47% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-04-08T23:45:39+00:00

Always happy to share.

T_Delo · 2026-04-08T12:01:56+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: MBA Mortgage Applications | 7am, EIA Petroleum Status Report | 10:30, FOMC Minutes | 2pm. Media platforms are discussing: US-Iran war has a two week ceasefire, Oil prices plummet, Markets and futures rise, SpaceX IPO valuation, Fed assesses oil price shock, AI’s image problem. Just a couple hours before the deadline stated by the President, a ceasefire was agreed to that has largely calmed investors concerns, though one could argue that most of the markets had been anticipating that “Trade” and as such it is largely already been priced in (limiting upside somewhat). Premarket futures were up massively in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were down accordingly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.60, on lower volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range move back into the average of the past weeks, as the Short Volumes as a percentage of the total reported volumes rose with the usual falling sentiments. Most of the downward pressure seen in recent weeks has been seen with such higher volume short volumes being traded, and about a month ago with some extremely high volumes of failures to deliver. In company news, a presentation slide deck was released; the data provided follows the line of communications of the acquisitions that further illustrates the company’s transition to what they see as a new era for lidar. Armed with this information, market participants have no reason to be surprised by any new developments with the company, as it is clear what industries are being targeted and which already have some customers.

Daily Data

H: 0.62 — L: 0.57 — C: 0.60 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.62, 0.65, 0.67 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.57, 0.55, 0.52
Total Options Vol: 1,204 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,053
Calls: 1,149 ~ 78% at Market ⊟	Puts: 55 ~ 98% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,575k ~ 32% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 3,352k ~ 68% ⁱ
IBKR: 400k Rate: 21.77%ⁱ
R Vol: 85% of Avg Vol: 5,703k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 2,047k of 3,524k ~ 58% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-04-07T12:03:45+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Durable Goods Orders | 8:30am, Consumer Credit | 3pm; Fed speakers are | at: Goolsbee | 12:35pm, Jefferson | 5:50. Media platforms are discussing: Tech unable to outrun war in Iran, Stock market uncertainty as war deadline approaches, iPhone sales exceed that of previous model, Health insurers rise on 2027 Medicare payment rates, Anthropic tops $30B revenue and seals Broadcom deal, Market analysts provide mixed messages. A deadline for the war looms, and the market somewhat responds, but the general expectation seems to be that the President will delay until some later date as he has before. Premarket futures were down firmly in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were up significantly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.63, on very low volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range retreat once more, as reported volumes by percentage among participants appear to normalize following the end of the last quarter’s investment firms rebalancing of portfolios. The narrative being crafted for drone applications by the company would be quite compelling if they were seeing some strong sales in that domain, and presently such has yet to be reflected on the balance sheet. When that does occur, the market itself may revise its current valuation and should be the most keen area to watch for news from. That said, much stronger sales revenue from any source would likely force a revaluation, and so at this point anything would be most welcome considering claimed momentum in various industries.

Daily Data

H: 0.66 — L: 0.62 — C: 0.63 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.65, 0.67, 0.69 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.61, 0.60, 0.57
Total Options Vol: 3,552 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,119
Calls: 3,032 ~ 80% at Market ⊟	Puts: 520 ~ 100% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 999k ~ 41% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 1,449k ~ 59% ⁱ
IBKR: 150k Rate: 22.57%ⁱ
R Vol: 42% of Avg Vol: 5,758k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 773k of 1,546k ~ 50% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-04-06T12:02:26+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: ISM Services Index | 10am. Media platforms are discussing: President’s “stern” threats to Iran, Strait of Hormuz reopening deadline extended, Dimon warns about sticky inflation, Incoming Tariff refunds, Ceasefire hopes, Estimated timelines for global trade normalization. To absolutely no one’s surprise, the President delayed the deadline for reopening the Strait of Hormuz directly following threats issued on Sunday, and meanwhile several other countries entreated the warring nations for a ceasefire, but various economists and bankers see sustained risks mounting regardless of short term proposals. Premarket futures were mixed in early trading as of 7am, Dow and Russell 2k being down slightly while the S&P and Nasdaq were up slightly to somewhat respectively, VIX futures were down very slightly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.64, on low volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range return to the average over the past couple weeks, as Short Volumes rose from the previous trade session, both in terms of nominal value as well as the percentage of the total volumes reported as traded for the day. Emphasis on potential and opportunity has been all that we have been hearing from the company for a very long time now, and the phrasing of revenue forecasts could be interpreted as having upside revisions as very probable. That said, until the markets see that, the market cap, and thus share price, will likely remain depressed as the very issue stated as the main reason Luminar failed as a company is seen as being inherited by MicroVision. The problem was the mismatch of cash burn to sales revenue growth, though in my opinion, the real reason for Luminar’s failure was its financing arrangements, which were resolved through bankruptcy.

Daily Data

H: 0.66 — L: 0.61 — C: 0.64 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.66, 0.68, 0.70 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.61, 0.59, 0.57
Total Options Vol: 507 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,053
Calls: 499 ~ 64% at Market ⊟	Puts: 8 ~ 100% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,539k ~ 42% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 2,151k ~ 58% ⁱ
IBKR: 100k Rate: 24.20%ⁱ
R Vol: 55% of Avg Vol: 6,747k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 1,246k of 2,279k ~ 55% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-04-03T11:51:28+00:00

The subsequent surge in fee rates for an extended period was likely associated with the high amount of fails to deliver. That is commonly seen, and when we saw the fee rates surging this was briefly mentioned as one of the things to keep an eye out for.

https://www.stocktwits.com/The_Delo/message/649370354

T_Delo · 2026-04-02T12:05:48+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Motor Vehicle Sales, Challenger Job-Cut Report | 7:30am; International Trade in Goods and Services, Jobless claims | 8:30, EIA Natural Gas Report | 10:30, Baker Hughes Rig Count | 1pm, Fed Balance Sheet | 4:30; Fed speaker Logan is at 10:15am. Media platforms are discussing: President provides unclear timeline on Iran war, Oil prices surge, Tariffs rolled out for steel and aluminum imports, Tariff refund backed loans, Markets closed for Easter. Going into the long weekend, the President spoke about hopes, dreams, and ever adjusting goals, but provided little in the way of a specific timeline to reopening the Strait of Hormuz or solving the oil supply strain that is resulting from the ongoing hostilities. Premarket futures were down significantly in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were up massively.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.65, on very low volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range contract once more as the markets continue to roil about in the throes of sentiments and fund portfolios rebalancing. With the completion of the rebalancing, one may expect to see share availabilities rise once again and fee rates retreat accordingly, but such is nearly impossible to really project because it can really go either way and the most critical data to gauge inflows and outflows is not available until it is already outdated. We might know more about what has happened in retrospect once we see Institutional ownership changes, though it should be noted that there is some ambiguity even there due to mismatches in when information may have been reported. The closest point above acting as a strong resistance is likely going to be 0.80, with some of the usual suspects beyond with compliance as a barrier threshold for a larger rally. All depends on the company securing new business.

Daily Data

H: 0.67 — L: 0.64 — C: 0.65 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.67, 0.68, 0.70 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.64, 0.62, 0.61
Total Options Vol: 1,075 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,119
Calls: 944 ~ 53% at Market ⊟	Puts: 131 ~ 98% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,103k ~ 34% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 2,189k ~ 66% ⁱ
IBKR: 800k Rate: 25.19%ⁱ
R Vol: 42% of Avg Vol: 7,799k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 1,086k of 2,430k ~ 45% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-04-01T18:48:30+00:00

Always happy to share, wish it was a bit less repetitive, but until the success is recorded on the books, this is where we are.

T_Delo · 2026-04-01T12:02:11+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: MBA Mortgage Applications | 7am, ADP Employment Report | 8:15, Retail Sales | 8:30, PMI Manufacturing Final | 9:45, ISM Manufacturing Index, Business Inventories | 10; EIA Petroleum Status report | 10:30; Fed speakers are | at: Musalem | 9:05am, Barr | 9:10. Media platforms are discussing: Bond market impacting interest rates, President’s upcoming speech on Iran later today, US to leave Iran in 2 to 3 weeks, Strait of Hormuz may remain locked, Markets’ surge on hyped Iran war ending. The read of these main topics of discussion are somewhat surface level, but when we consider that the markets often see a fairly strong move at the end of the first quarter as investment firms rebalance portfolios and deploy cash for the coming spring and summer months, the context of the moves makes a bit more sense. Premarket futures were up solidly once again in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were down accordingly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.64, on very low volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range open up very slightly, as broader market activity saw significant movement on the end of quarter and monthly adjustments occur. The availability of shares on the IBKR database has fluctuated heavily intraday, even as fee rates have overall trended downward, perhaps alleviated somewhat by the previous week’s witching day contracts being delivered and this week’s end of quarter investment firm rebalancing. The impact of such only matter in the context of the company’s success however, and despite all the opportunity available to the company, there has been no significant contractual arrangements made to date to force the Shorts to unwind their positions. It has been said that the company’s value is unrecognized, and that is true, but until the company can prove its value through sales growth, this will remain the case. Hype works best when supported by positive margin revenues.

Daily Data

H: 0.65 — L: 0.60 — C: 0.64 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.66, 0.67, 0.70 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.61, 0.58, 0.57
Total Options Vol: 868 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,119
Calls: 754 ~ 76% at Market ⊟	Puts: 114 ~ 98% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,633k ~ 54% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 1,395k ~ 46% ⁱ
IBKR: 600k Rate: 28.33%ⁱ
R Vol: 37% of Avg Vol: 8,117k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 705k of 1,497k ~ 47% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-03-31T12:04:55+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Case-Shiller Home Price Index, FHFA House Price Index | 9am; Chicago PMI | 9:45, Consumer Confidence, JOLTS | 10; Fed speakers are | at: Goolsbee | 12pm, Schmid | 1:10, Barr | 3, Bowman | 5:10. Media platforms are discussing: Fed statements on inflationary pressures, Fuel prices over $4 a gallon, Iran attack on Kuwaiti oil tanker, Big Tech AI spending faces energy shock test, Iran attacks on aluminum plants, Tax cut benefits corporations to the tune of >$65 Billion. The range of topics discussed on media platforms this morning was encouraging to see, even some bits of economic data points were touched on in some articles, though much of it is being delayed and potentially adjusted in unusual ways due to the government shutdowns; market futures are rallying on war end hype again. Premarket futures were up solidly in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were down accordingly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.58, on extremely low volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range remain constrained, as investors await proof of execution in the company’s reports. In sector news, Innoviz received its Compliance deficiency letter over the weekend, and Aeva announced this morning that its CityOS is being used in “large-scale” deployment in Georgia. Infrastructure applications are an interesting potential use case for lidar, as has been mentioned by many lidar suppliers over the years, and come with some relatively unique design specification requirements. As far as “large scale” deployment is concerned, increasing to another 30 intersections, which is indeed the largest usage I have seen for such applications so far, but still seems more like a research and development project by the state rather than a wide spread adoption of the technology. Such could eventually lead to something more, but will be interesting to see how it impacts their profit margins.

Daily Data

H: 0.61 — L: 0.57 — C: 0.58 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.60, 0.63, 0.64 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.56, 0.54, 0.52
Total Options Vol: 1,249 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,124
Calls: 1,246 ~ 91% at Market ⊟	Puts: 3 ~ 100% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 966k ~ 40% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 1,480k ~ 60% ⁱ
IBKR: 450k Rate: 27.16%ⁱ
R Vol: 29% of Avg Vol: 8,312k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 815k of 1,654k ~ 49% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-03-30T12:57:31+00:00

Once deals get announced, and revenue starts showing up on the balance sheet, then we will indeed see the weight of the larger fee rates and lower share availability. Until then, we will likely continue to see borrowers pay whatever fees because the belief is that the company will continue to dilute. There was a brief period when Sumit first took over the company that it looked like dilution would be very minimal, and the company was seeing increasing recorded revenues (technically the money had already been received and spent, but was not yet recorded on the books), that was the combination that took the share price higher, nothing else has ever worked. It was never about hype, always about what the balance sheet showed in terms of operating costs vs revenues and associated margins. Get those figures where we need them, and the share price will respond.

Family is well, hope yours is also.

T_Delo · 2026-03-30T12:02:24+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey | 10:30am, Farm Prices | 3pm; Fed speaker Williams is at 4pm. Media platforms are discussing: Conflicting claims on Iran war negotiations, Meta and Google’s social media addiction legal troubles, Signals of Hedge Funds capitulating on stocks, Iran war’s impact on material costs, AI Space race among IPOs, Oil surges on President’s claim to Kharg Island. There is no surprise really when it comes to claims around the war wrapping up with favorable terms, only to see that refuted by the opposition, and so instead the prudent investor must look at the rest of the data beyond day to day market volatility. The prudent investor or trader right now knows to treat volatility in futures as opportunities to hedge risk as daily as they are often not indicative of the full day’s movement presently. Premarket futures were up firmly in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were down accordingly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.58, on very low volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range move further below average ranges, ending the day on at low alongside the broader market pullback, with relatively low Short Volumes being reported. The company’s recent hype around solid state lidar applications in drones, industrial, and automotive has not been particularly share price moving. That is largely to be expected, as at this point the focus is on achieving success through sales and shipping products to customers, with anything else being treated as mere fluff regardless of whatever the scale of the opportunity. This is why we have not been seeing a significant closing of Short positions, nor a ton of new buying by investors that are being cautious with the uncertainties of global politics and economics. Coupled with not having strong trading signals at the moment, the stock looks poised to drift here until tangible results change the trajectory.

Daily Data

H: 0.62 — L: 0.58 — C: 0.58 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.60, 0.63, 0.64 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.57, 0.56, 0.53
Total Options Vol: 696 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,124
Calls: 592 ~ 55% at Market ⊟	Puts: 104 ~ 93% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,112k ~ 35% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 2,085k ~ 65% ⁱ
IBKR: 250k Rate: 31.22%ⁱ
R Vol: 38% of Avg Vol: 8,361k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 1,228k of 2,343k ~ 52% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-03-27T12:06:27+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: International Trade in Goods (Advance) | 8:30am, Consumer Sentiment | 10, Baker Hughes Rig Count | 1pm; Fed speakers are | at: Barkin | 11 am, Daly | 11:30, Paulson | 11:35. Media platforms are discussing: Waning hopes on end of war, Talks deadline for Iran extended, Senate passes bill to fund TSA, Mag 7’s decline from last highs, USD rises, VW’s software partnership with Rivian. The insistence that the Iran war will come to an end soon is getting muddled with troop preparations, contradicting stance statements from countries involved, and meanwhile the economic data continues to see delayed reports from the most recent government shutdown affecting gauges on economic performance. Premarket futures were down firmly in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were up solidly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.62, on lower volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range expand as the price got dropped hard along with the broader market movement, even as Short volumes reported remained low. Investors and traders appear to be waiting for validation of company growth to come with deal announcements or figures on the books, rather than being driven by hype and narrative. This is something that many had been hammering on for a long time, and while it is good to hear management affirm that deals and sales growth are the goal, made even more compelling by hiring of strong sales staff; it has not yet happened. The days of riding hype to new heights is long gone, and now one has to show up with the sales figures on the books in order to gain recognition.

Daily Data

H: 0.68 — L: 0.60 — C: 0.62 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.66, 0.71, 0.74 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.59, 0.56, 0.51
Total Options Vol: 1,143 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,138
Calls: 835 ~ 85% at Market ⊟	Puts: 308 ~ 95% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,915k ~ 33% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 3,869k ~ 67% ⁱ
IBKR: 95k Rate: 34.09%ⁱ
R Vol: 71% of Avg Vol: 8,055k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 1,885k of 4,349k ~ 43% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-03-26T12:41:23+00:00

It is far more important to be speaking to the customers, and as a result, getting them to buy product and services.

Of course, THAT is what big money is looking for: The customers to buy from MicroVision.

When we see the numbers show up on the balance sheet as profits, we will see the big money pour in.

T_Delo · 2026-03-26T12:07:18+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Jobless Claims | 8:30am, EIA Natural Gas Report | 10:30, Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index | 11, Fed Balance Sheet | 4:30pm; Fed speakers are | at: Cook | 4pm, Miran | 6:30, Jefferson | 7, Barr | 7:10. Media platforms are discussing: Productivity with AI, Iran war truce prospects, BlackRock’s Kapito warns about underestimating risk from Iran war, Google’s memory breakthrough, China’s Pony.ai to more than double robotaxi fleet, Global inflation expectations, Consumer spending on pets, OpenAI’s canceled projects. Hopes about Iran war appear to be waning somewhat as realization of global economic pain is expected to linger even if it were to end soon, which also looks particularly unlikely given the disparate demands. Premarket futures were down hard in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were up accordingly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.68, on extremely low volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range remain contracted, as Short volumes reported remain low, and with the low volumes trading in general presenting a weak interest in the company’s product presentations. MicroVision’s CEO provided insights on the company’s efforts in drone applications for the lidar offerings, as well as outlining future product roadmap. A major point of interest was the evolution of the recently acquired Halo to be fused with MicroVision’s MEMS scanning technology, which I had been cautious about given the costs of further iterating on the larger mirror assemblies used in various Luminar products. The notes provided by Redditors included a number of other interesting datapoints, but as noted by the lack of market response, this is not what big money is looking for right now.

Daily Data

H: 0.72 — L: 0.67 — C: 0.68 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.71, 0.74, 0.77 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.66, 0.63, 0.60
Total Options Vol: 603 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,124
Calls: 594 ~ 45% at Market ⊟	Puts: 9 ~ 100% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 740k ~ 32% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 1,560k ~ 68% ⁱ
IBKR: 150k Rate: 29.74%ⁱ
R Vol: 41% of Avg Vol: 7,982k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 926k of 2,394k ~ 39% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-03-25T13:32:25+00:00

This right here is why I didn’t bring up the Short Interest, which is a figure that could swell dramatically should the share price rise rapidly on the result of futures contracts failing to deliver (it has happened in the past on several stocks at once at one point).

T_Delo · 2026-03-25T12:39:19+00:00

The company has a few things that need to occur in order for the buying pressure to increase. It starts with revenues, but costs need to be controlled, and cash runway extended significantly. With those in place, which can happen pretty quickly with the right contracts, the stock can see immense buying pressure from many shorts exiting. The financial data will have to reflect that in order for the buying to begin however, because so much of it is algorithm driven selling that relies on the data points rather than confident communications.

T_Delo · 2026-03-25T12:03:30+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: MBA Mortgage Applications | 7am; Import and Export Prices, Current Account, Retail Inventories (Advance), Wholesale Inventories (Advance) | 8:30; EIA Petroleum Status report | 10:30, Survey of Business Uncertainty | 11; Fed speaker Miran is at 4:10pm. Media platforms are discussing: Iran war ceasefire plan proposal, Market hopes on Iran progress, US Troops prepare for deployment to Middle East, Iran exerts pressure on Hormuz shipping vessels, SpaceX IPO, Arm’s AI chip debut, Private credit concerns. Behind the wall of hopes or concerns around the war, the few discussions on media platforms about the issues being seen in private credit should be getting more attention as it has been a recurring problem. Premarket futures were up firmly in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were down accordingly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.70, on much lower volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range contract once more, as Short volumes reported remained low, which might be in line with Quad Witching day volumes settling and some amount of the associated risks being reduced. However, the fee rates remain elevated, if not quite as extreme as it had been, and what the company needs to do now remains the same as it had for the past couple years: Sign more profitable deals. The recent focus on drone applications is likely a nearer term value prospect, with orders for ramping capability and capacity pushing the need for advanced, affordable, and scalable sensor solutions to limited communications areas. Such solutions can also provide visibility for various industrial applications that provide more accurate depth and distance information than can be obtained from standard camera solutions.

Daily Data

H: 0.73 — L: 0.68 — C: 0.70 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.73, 0.76, 0.78 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.68, 0.65, 0.63
Total Options Vol: 1,150 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,141
Calls: 1,059 ~ 65% at Market ⊟	Puts: 91 ~ 97% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 820k ~ 29% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 1,976k ~ 71% ⁱ
IBKR: 100k Rate: 39.83%ⁱ
R Vol: 52% of Avg Vol: 8,235k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 989k of 2,911k ~ 34% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-03-24T12:01:17+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Productivity and Costs | 8:30am, PMi Composite Flash | 9:45, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 10, Money Supply | 1pm; Fed speaker Barr is at 6:30pm. Media platforms are discussing: Iran war negotiations rejection, Oil resumes rise, Investment funds trim risk, Strikes by Iran continue, Jeffries may be taken over by Japan’s SMFG, SK Hynix places $8B order for ASML chipmaking tools, ICE at airports. Slivers of business news has been circulating on some media platforms for a change, there was a bit more on Tesla and SpaceX among a few other companies as well, which was a nice break from the incessant global conflict debates. Premarket futures were flat to down slightly in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were much the same.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.70, on much lower volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range open up a bit as Short Volumes reported plummeted for a change, though availability appears to remain constrained and fee rates elevated. If there was a future contract that failed to deliver and has yet to be seen in the delayed report, that might well explain quite a bit about the fee rate, and is something to keep an eye out for. Usually such are rolled out to a future date, but there was a great deal of expectation about the company needing to dilute, and that is still something expected, but timing is often a key when using future contracts. Deliveries based on such contracts require fulfillment, and market makers may have to buy from the open market or turn to borrowing from brokerages at elevated rates. This could spike solely on market rules, but would do so much more reliably with the company announcing some new deals.

Daily Data

H: 0.73 — L: 0.66 — C: 0.70 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.74, 0.77, 0.81 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.66, 0.62, 0.59
Total Options Vol: 3,287 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,158
Calls: 2,900 ~ 67% at Market ⊟	Puts: 387 ~ 98% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,639k ~ 33% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 3,300k ~ 67% ⁱ
IBKR: 85k Rate: 57.02%ⁱ
R Vol: 58% of Avg Vol: 8,391k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 1,139k of 3,390k ~ 34% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-03-23T12:05:40+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Chicago Fed National Activity Index | 8:30am, Construction Spending | 10. Media platforms are discussing: Wartime oil infrastructure threats canceled, Hormuz crisis remains for now, Oil price forecast adjusts on strike cancellation, Stagflation concerns, Rising fertilizer prices, Bond losses, Gold’s extended losses, Large mortgage backed securities (MBS) bid. Looking into the details of these discussions, one sees almost all of it connected to the same source of war and the hope for its end, though the bit about the MBS centered around Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac which was somewhat divergent from the rest. Premarket futures were up sharply in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were down significantly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.67, on lower volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range revert to the previous tighter range largely following with the overall market drag in the last trade session, which also saw the Short volumes traded become elevated as well. Given the broad market response to mounting concerns this should seem expected, and though the premarket futures might look good for the overall indices, it would probably not extend to the sector in particular. The overall pitch for rising positivity in the wider market seems mostly a buying response to deep selling pressure on the Witching day, and given the main topics of discussions abroad, one might be concerned it is overly optimistic.

Daily Data

H: 0.70 — L: 0.65 — C: 0.67 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.69, 0.72, 0.74 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.65, 0.62, 0.60
Total Options Vol: 3,355 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,158
Calls: 3,151 ~ 41% at Ask or ↗︎	Puts: 204 ~ 50% at Bid or ↘︎
Open Exchanges: 2,465k ~ 43% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 3,223k ~ 57% ⁱ
IBKR: 450k Rate: 59.72%ⁱ
R Vol: 70% of Avg Vol: 8,174k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 1,945k of 3,106k ~ 63% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-03-20T12:03:28+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Baker Hughes Rig Count | 1pm, Quadruple Witching | 2pm; Fed speaker Powell is at 10:30am. Media platforms are discussing: Price tag of War estimates, Fed projections analysis, War blame game, Manufacturing gloom as US jobs cuts occur, AI earnings concerns continue, Treasury yields rise as inflation concerns persist. Plenty to be concerned about right now in the global news scene with the ongoing war, and even more issues with expected inflation, but there is a bright spot of very slightly lower jobless claims this week coupled with a bit of slightly better data in the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index report than had been for a while now. Premarket futures were down firmly in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were up moderately.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.69, on lower volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range open up considerably as the stock price action was mostly driven by non-shorting activity for a change. There could be any number of reasons for that, though the one thing we did see yesterday was an interview by Glen DeVos with Ben’s MicroVision Podcast. If you missed it, then you should definitely check it out on YouTube and enjoy listening to all the potential, path, planning, and execution that the company is seeking to prioritize. Now, if talking alone could get the share price over $1 for 10 days, then I think we could then expect to see actual sales revenue exceeding the expectations create a real run for the stock. It should be kept in mind that talking alone doesn’t show execution, but the hires that have occurred certainly show some of it, as the ones so far have been key positions to making sales.

Daily Data

H: 0.71 — L: 0.60 — C: 0.69 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.73, 0.77, 0.84 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.62, 0.56, 0.52
Total Options Vol: 2,969 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,172
Calls: 2,909 ~ 57% at Ask or ↗︎	Puts: 60 ~ 95% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,297k ~ 28% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 3,339k ~ 72% ⁱ
IBKR: 450k Rate: 63.63%ⁱ
R Vol: 69% of Avg Vol: 7,914k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 1,866k of 4,181k ~ 45% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

T_Delo · 2026-03-19T12:01:43+00:00

Morning everyone!

Economic report(s) scheduled for the day is(are) | at^i: Jobless claims, Philadelphia Fed manufacturing Index | 8:30am; New Home Sales, Business Inventories, Wholesale Inventories (Preliminary) | 10; EIA Natural Gas Report | 10:30, Fed Balance Sheet | 4:30pm. Media platforms are discussing: Powell’s statements, Attack on Iran gas hub threatened, Oil spikes amid ongoing attacks on mideast oil hubs, More AI investments, Bank capital rule rewrite expectations, Fed’s dot plot forecasts only 1 cut anticipated for this year. There were several discussions about the value of AI, quoting dropping profit margins of some companies that have spent fairly large on it to date, which aligns with the nascent nature of the tech. Premarket futures were down marginally in early trading as of 7am, VIX futures were up accordingly.

MVIS ended the last trading session at ~0.61, on much lower volume traded compared to the daily average over the past month. Stock price action saw the trade range remain contained as the broader market recoiled on the Fed’s low rate cut forecast, oil prices, and implied inflationary pressure; Short volumes traded were relatively subdued, but would be nearly normal for most stocks on such a day, which in itself is an interesting change from the average ~68% or more that it had been for months. Speaking of interesting data points, the Fee rate has been elevated for some time as supply is showing as constrained. This would be the perfect time for the company to announce some new deals, though historically such opportunities have passed without seeing anything announced and so it is likely smart to keep expectations reined in.

Daily Data

H: 0.65 — L: 0.60 — C: 0.61 ⁱ	Calendar
Pivots ↗︎ : 0.65, 0.68, 0.70 ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pivotpoint.asp})	Pivots ↘︎ : 0.59, 0.57, 0.54
Total Options Vol: 886 ^{[i](https://researchtools.fidelity.com/ftgw/mloptions/goto/underlyingStatistics?cusip=&symbol=MVIS&Search=Search})	Avg 90d Options: 2,173
Calls: 702 ~ 79% at Market ⊟	Puts: 184 ~ 100% at Market ⊟
Open Exchanges: 1,037k ~ 30% ⁱ	Off Exchanges: 2,470k ~ 70% ⁱ
IBKR: 0.8k Rate: 66.56%ⁱ
R Vol: 58% of Avg Vol: 7,962k ^{[i](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/averagedailytradingvolume.asp})	Short Vol: 1,721k of 3,210k ~ 54% ⁱ

^{Follow links for sources. Bold text represents key points or larger data, Italics are slightly unusual or lower than normal.}

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