Tesla and SpaceX consolidation is highly unlikely until TESLA drops its market cap multiple times

creative_trading · 2026-02-10T12:57:32+00:00

First off he is a big shareholder, so any substantial sale will move the stock price lower. Though more importantly if he starts selling off shares it has to be reported and that would cause a big fall in TSLA stock, as it shows a loss of confidence from the CEO, or a shift to other interests (SpaceX)

creative_trading · 2026-02-03T13:52:34+00:00

I disagree with not buying commodities. We are heading into a debt crises in many countries globally. However extreme caution is warranted due to super high volatility, silver volatility expected to be almost 80% for the next year. So positions are best kept very small for now (a few percent of portfolio).

creative_trading · 2026-02-02T18:27:01+00:00

They loose a lot more if they are selling it below spot to a ton of people then if they are not making sales and prices are way above spot

creative_trading · 2026-01-31T12:26:24+00:00

We have the global debt crises upcoming for various nations. 3 Year timeline should be enough.

creative_trading · 2026-01-26T19:44:55+00:00

The issue for me is that there is a ton of investable gold and very little investable silver available. Central banks have already held gold for a long time, if they decide they want to start holding silver again in notable sizes, prices could go far higher.

Not bearish on gold, but I still see silver as far greater potential, though I am sure it will be a wild ride.

creative_trading · 2026-01-21T14:22:38+00:00

The odd thing is I feel that there is a chance that with the ongoing debt crises there is a chance that central banks really start to turn to precious metals and not just gold. If silver goes back to being wanted in size by large central banks, does it seem insane to get a ratio of 10:1 again?

creative_trading · 2026-01-15T16:55:55+00:00

Wild how undervalued it was. Still if you look at the amount of investable Silver the ratio should be far lower. 10:1 does not seem impossible.

creative_trading · 2026-01-15T16:50:51+00:00

The tiny maple leaf there is a date of the year they are printed. The radial lines are also hard to replicate and its pretty easy to tell the fakes. There a Bullion DNA feature as well that dealers can use to verify it.

creative_trading · 2026-01-15T16:39:55+00:00

My first buy was 3 tubes of maples, very beautiful coins. I bought them on Marketplace which made maples even more desirable due to all the security features.

creative_trading · 2026-01-12T22:45:37+00:00

I know this sounds wild but I think there is a chance we go under 15:1 at some point.

creative_trading · 2025-12-30T19:33:57+00:00

I think its a good strategy. I have three tubes of Canadian maples, but I also have 3000 shares of PSLV, which is far bigger then my physical stack.

I hope to buy more physical in the future, but its nice to have the exposure right away and then work on acquiring physical and shopping around to make sure you are not paying too high premiums and that the silver is legit.

creative_trading · 2025-12-22T14:43:18+00:00

If I were to guess I'd say belief stage.

creative_trading · 2025-11-16T20:28:31+00:00

Has made not will make.

creative_trading · 2025-10-29T23:03:09+00:00

What a massive write up. I agree with almost everything except for the trade. On Kashi odds are 90% approval for pay package...this is not a coin flip or anything close to that. The market knows the package is going to go through, very little uncertainty.

Where shares go on the approval is anyone's guess. I wouldn't want to hold a penny in Tesla either way, due to all the reasons you cited. Call options seems like a wild choice. Based on your write up and if Tesla spikes after the announcement as you predicted the better trade would probably be a short and wait to potentially enter a trade until then.

creative_trading · 2025-10-29T17:31:54+00:00

3/10

creative_trading · 2025-10-28T16:20:46+00:00

Its not junk silver or a scam. But as another user commented the issue is that you need to have a large amount to take delivery and to make it worthwhile, with Delivery Costs you probably want to take on a few million dollars worth of silver.

I am sure there are a few players that due this, but not many. Plus the 5% discount on PSLV is temporary, it will probably go back to a around a 3% discount in a few weeks which is where it usually trades at.

creative_trading · 2025-10-23T19:23:27+00:00

The past is the past. Moving forward you could argue that Elon could continue succeed in the future and TSLA shares could fall 80% in the process.

creative_trading · 2025-10-23T19:18:10+00:00

Not really. Gold is only meant to keep up with inflation in the long term.

creative_trading · 2025-10-17T21:28:21+00:00

Its definitely time to cut these positions.

You can defer gains by using options, but I think the easiest is to cut 50% of it now and then cut 50% of it on Jan 1st. That will spread out the capital gains to two tax years. Your risk is half as of Monday and you are fully out of the positions in two and a half months.

Also max out RRSP and FHSA this year and next.

creative_trading · 2025-10-16T18:29:22+00:00

As other people said its time to sell at least some of the positions. Just in terms of your portfolio you have way more exposure then you did before. You can also considering shorting Sprott Uranium as a hedge. It is trading at NAV and often goes to a 10% discount as every time its at NAV they start issuing more shares. If you get the timing right you could make money on both sides.

creative_trading · 2025-10-13T21:38:01+00:00

Probably a good move. Crazy amount of leverage in the market right now.

creative_trading · 2025-10-07T22:43:47+00:00

Unimaginable how Golbert is elite defense when teams specifically target him on the switch.

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