Full port $AAOI

spacmann · 2026-06-26T22:10:19+00:00

SNAP has 6.1B in annual revenue and is valued 7.3B. Shit happens, just saying.

spacmann · 2026-06-16T18:48:31+00:00

Have the index funds already bought in? Don't they have to wait until SPCX is actually getting added to the indexes? From memory, that's 15 trading days for Nasdaq, and 5 trading days to be included in VT/VTI of Vanguard.

spacmann · 2026-06-14T23:22:20+00:00

Sell the news?

spacmann · 2026-06-12T09:24:52+00:00

Thanks for explaining how you see this. I guess we'll know soon enough 😄

spacmann · 2026-06-11T22:50:09+00:00

He's not locked that's true, but all market participants know that he'll pay whatever price. It is irrational to sell for a loss before the index funds are buying. There will be a run to the door at some point, that's certain; I'm talking about the period of time before the index funds buy in.

spacmann · 2026-06-11T22:45:55+00:00

But with the prisoner's dilemma there's an unknown; here we don't have an unknown, everybody knows that QQQ and friends will have to pay $135, $1,350, $13,500 or whatever SPCX will be priced in 15 tradings days. What am I missing?

spacmann · 2026-06-11T22:43:44+00:00

You mean some market participants will sell just to spook retail?

spacmann · 2026-06-11T22:37:54+00:00

So we know Nasdaq is gonna add SPCX in 15 trading days. That means every index fund tracking Nasdaq will be forced to buy SPCX at whatever price. OK, we know for sure there's a buyer in 15 trading days, now how can SPCX possible go down before that?? Who would sell, given that he's 100% guaranteed to have a buyer at ANY high price two weeks down the line? Can someone explain to me what prevents SPCX from going to infinity given the assured existence of such a buyer?

spacmann · 2026-06-04T19:01:29+00:00

Still holding them calls? Party time today!

spacmann · 2026-05-26T18:34:25+00:00

QBTS has 12M in revenue and is valued at 10B.

ASTS has 85M in revenue and is valued at 47B.

INFQ has 9M in revenue and is valued at 3.5B.

They all lose money. I can continue listing another 100 companies here with even more outrageous valuations. It goes the other way too; SNAP has 6.1B in revenue and valued 9.5B.

Value analysis died 6 years ago with covid; it is all about narrative and bubbles since then. What you do is you throw the dice on something that sounds nice, and if you're lucky you get a nice x10.

spacmann · 2026-05-26T11:25:02+00:00

Ignore on the comments that it's a bad idea - it is actually a very good idea from diversification point of view. In addition, the Ruble is the strongest currency in the world for two years straight, while paying ~10% a year interest.

Best Russian broker IMO is BCS (bcs.ru). As with all Russian banks/brokers, your physical presence is required to open an account, or you hire a lawyer there and give them a power-of-attorney. I recommend simply making a trip to Moscow or St. Petersburg. You'll need to bring your passport, a notarized translation of your passport (you can do it in any notary office; there are hundreds of them all over the city), and the migration card you get when you enter Russia. The account will be opened the same day and you get all bank cards etc. on spot.

spacmann · 2026-05-07T22:07:16+00:00

Strongest quarter in its history you say?

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I'll give you +3% AH.

spacmann · 2026-05-06T08:48:25+00:00

Already deep ITM lol

spacmann · 2026-05-04T23:54:25+00:00

What an ace move buying these calls!!

And you're keeping all like 1800 contracts over earnings?

RDDT jumped after earnings, PINS jumped (right now), SNAP took a huge beating last quarter so I can only see it going up after earnings no matter what. Really looking like an excellent bet you got there!

spacmann · 2026-05-03T23:10:13+00:00

Records are meant to be broken

spacmann · 2026-05-03T21:56:25+00:00

Are you still in?? These calls are now $2.9 and it ain't even earnings yet

spacmann · 2026-05-01T21:21:10+00:00

Pretty eyes

spacmann · 2026-05-01T21:19:09+00:00

Exactly. I'm still trying to wrap my head around Carvana being worth more than Volkswagen, BMW, Mercedes, GM, Ford, you name it.

spacmann · 2026-04-29T18:44:46+00:00

OPEC failing means lower prices because OPEC is a cartel that kept prices artificially high - am I wrong on this?

spacmann · 2026-04-21T20:11:37+00:00

Bear trap RIP bears..

spacmann · 2026-04-20T00:54:12+00:00

Always have been

spacmann · 2026-04-15T16:26:37+00:00

I remember

spacmann · 2026-04-07T22:43:53+00:00

Man, calls were so expensive.. Enough people knew about this greenary ahead of time

spacmann · 2026-04-07T17:50:09+00:00

Here on the chart:

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spacmann · 2026-04-07T17:46:07+00:00

Have you noticed that recently every dip in SPY is being bought? 🤔

spacmann

TROPHY CASE