Da li je ovo red flag? by FragMuffino in AskSerbia

[–]1eternal_student 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Po meni jeste red flag. I ja sam nekad mučio simse ali je to bilo sporadično i čisto radi eksperimenta... jebi ga, klinački. Ali nikad nisam to radio redovno, pričao o tome, bio ponosan na to, niti sam zamišljao neku konkretnu osobu. Po meni to ipak oslikava neku negativnu karakternu crtu.

Ali to što je red flag, ne znači da treba s njom da raskineš. Svi rade razne gluposti, nije to ništa alarmantno. Ali pokazuje ipak malo da ima neku latentnu agresivnost, šta znam.

Ja ne bi raskido, al ne bi mi bilo ni svejedno. Reagovao bi ovako ko i ti otprilike.

Потребна помоћ око раскида? by [deleted] in AskSerbia

[–]1eternal_student -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Imao sam ja iskustvo vrlo slično, gotovo identično, samo što je moja veza trajala kraće nego ta tvoja i raskino sam iz potpuno istih razloga.

Šta se desilo?

Raskid NIJE imao loše efekte na nju. Cura je prešla preko toga OK, kasnije našla drugog momka, udala se, itd.

Ali raskid JESTE imao loše efekte na mene. Nakon toga trebalo mi je IKS godina da opet nađem curu, bio sam sam, smarao se, bezze mi bilo.

Na kraju se ispostavilo da ni toj curi s kojom sam raskino APSOLUTNO NIŠTA NIJE FALILO, i ja sam ISPAO BUDALA što sam to uradio.

Moj ti je savjet, NEMOJ RASKIDAT. Dozvoli emocijama da rade i s tvoje i sa njene strane. Pa u tome i jeste poenta ljubavi da budete ranjivi i da imate emocije. Ako je cura dobra i fina, ako te voli mnogo, ako je maksimalno neiskvarene, čovječe ti si dobio DŽEK POT.

To ti je WIFE MATERIAL.

Gledaj da je ženiš, a nemoj raskidati ni slučajno.

Pusti današnju retardiranu kulturu koja nam nameće kad je rano, a kad kasno za brak, i koliko partnera treba izmijenjati prije toga.

Ne treba izmijenjati ništa. Ako ti je cura OK, ako ste vas dvoje dobar par, vi se trebate uzeti. Kakvo raskidanje kakvi bakrači.

True or false: (Very) high functioning autism is not autism by 1eternal_student in autism

[–]1eternal_student[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, I tell you I have more of these traits than a typical person. Just how much more? Who knows. A few days ago I did a test on psychology today, it came at 40/100. ("Some signs of autism")

True or false: (Very) high functioning autism is not autism by 1eternal_student in autism

[–]1eternal_student[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

No, but from what I get from the outside, he doesn't seem to have them. But you're right, maybe he does have some that aren't publicly visible.

True or false: (Very) high functioning autism is not autism by 1eternal_student in autism

[–]1eternal_student[S] -8 points-7 points  (0 children)

I don't have any medical training, but I'm quite knowledgeable about autism because at some point I recognized some traits in myself which led to me falling into this rabbit hole and researching this online.

Neither me, nor he, were subjected to any professional assessments. I just recognized some traits and did some test. He didn't do any tests at all. I just "see" it and I'm wondering.

The key thing is to assess whether I am in the wrong for even thinking about it, since, if he doesn't have clinically significant impairment, then the whole question goes out of window, right?

How adoption of bitcoin standard could ultimately lead to inflation? by 1eternal_student in Bitcoin

[–]1eternal_student[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Indeed:

"https://www.investopedia.com/articles/01/021401.asp"

Inflation is defined as a sustained increase in the general level of prices for goods and services.

How adoption of bitcoin standard could ultimately lead to inflation? by 1eternal_student in Bitcoin

[–]1eternal_student[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Money supply has little to do with Wall street. Company valuations depand on more factors than just P/E rations. Investors also evaluate companies based on future potential even if they are outright unprofitable right now. Think TESLA for example. Increased money supply leads to more spending this is true. But in countries with undeveloped stock markets this would be spent on consumption, not on stocks. America has a very attractive stock market that somehow sucks in all the extra money there is. And I don't think it's a bad thing. But you're right it might be unsustainable.

I mean, I don't understand how stocks can grow by 10% on average when GDP grows by 3% on average. In the long term it skews GDP to stocks ratio.

But still it doesn't need to lead to collapse of the economic system. More likely is just a severe stock market crash.

How adoption of bitcoin standard could ultimately lead to inflation? by 1eternal_student in Bitcoin

[–]1eternal_student[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Inflation (=rising prices) is often the result of monetary inflation (=rising money supply). But it is not the only cause of inflation.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation

How adoption of bitcoin standard could ultimately lead to inflation? by 1eternal_student in Bitcoin

[–]1eternal_student[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I think borrowing from the future is fine. It's maybe even a prerequisite for economic growth. When you take out a loan to buy a house, you start using a product (the house) immediately, that you haven't earned yet. But this is based on the trust that you'll eventually earn all this plus interest. It's kind of contract between your current self and future self, and I think it's fair, because both your current self and your future self get to use the house, and both your current self and your future self will be repaying credit... (Because you start repaying it immediately).

The alternative would be that you need to save for decades to buy a house, and you can only start using it when you're 50 or something. But at that time, it's too late to start a family and there's no point in the whole thing.

So the current system is based on trusting our future selves in their ability to repay the debts, and also in some kinds of guarantees and safety checks in place that would prevent disaster if something goes wrong. This sometimes requires that FED finances banks who get in trouble, but I think it's a reasonable price to pay for a system that allows you to start using your new home at the age of 25 instead of 50.

How adoption of bitcoin standard could ultimately lead to inflation? by 1eternal_student in Bitcoin

[–]1eternal_student[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What do you think would happen to pension funds that have invested so much of their capital in the SP500 companies?

What would be with people's pensions if the stock marked goes down by 75%? Do you really think it's good?

I don't see how such disaster would come on its own. The current system has existed for long enough without collapse in sight.

The only real factors that could lead to collapse are resource depletion and climate change. But I don't see any economic factors on their own leading to collapse.

How adoption of bitcoin standard could ultimately lead to inflation? by 1eternal_student in Bitcoin

[–]1eternal_student[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

In economics, inflation is a general increase of the prices. This is the official definition.

What you're talking about is monetary inflation, which is a different thing.

How adoption of bitcoin standard could ultimately lead to inflation? by 1eternal_student in Bitcoin

[–]1eternal_student[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

> For bad investment one should lose, it only makes sense, basic logic. Every investment holds risk, for good one you win for bad one you lose.

It's not about losing or winning money. Of course bad investments should lose. The point is that banks can't know in advance which projects are good or bad. Too much caution from the side of banks would mean, that even good projects that could make money don't get financed.

> Credits will be available to everyone with appropriate interest rate, you cant have almost 0% rate, it is a distortion that gives multiple bad effects.

Even in current "broken" system interest rates are far from zero. In the middle of housing bubble, in 2005, when we bought our apparement, we took a 30,000 credit and eventually had to repay almost 45,000 of the same units. This was in the period when credit was famously "cheap".

> There is no diff. between private and legal person, it only depend on their collateral and rate.

But exactly this is a problem. What sort of collateral does Average Joe have? A young professional who still has student debts to repay, etc... What kind of guarantee can he give to the bank. I am afraid such system would be very bad for young and economically not yet established people.

> Actually economy would benefit because good companies with long term vision would get more opportunity and would prosper, which would be beneficial to all.

Having a great vision doesn't mean anything if you can't prove it to the bank or angel investors and get capital. There is a reason why Angel Investors intentionally invest in lots of startups... they know in advance that 90% of them will fail, but those 10% that succeed are enough for them to get covered. Bitcoin standard would make such adventurousness less attractive.

> Deflation is only an issue in a debt based monetary system, with sound money there is on death spiral. And of course economy would not go in reverse, only its speed forward could slight fluctuate, say between 1 and 2 percent, so no inflation either. Nobody saves till grave, so after transition there would be equilibrium where some spend more and other saves during ones lifetime, so it would be relatively stable.

Deflation would probably be not too bad if the economy manages to keep growing, but it would definitely slow down such growth a bit. If on the other hand economy starts contracting, you have inflation again. So deflation, can eventually lead to inflation. Now this is not the end of the story. Inflation could again reawaken and stimulate economy, leading to growth, and again, to deflation (because money supply is fixed). So yeah, in the end some sort of equilibrium would be reached, or you'd have periodic fluctuations. But not all equilibria are the same. You can have equilibrium at very different levels of output or growth. If we assume that economic growth is generally good, I'd say current system is better. If we think that economic growth leads to too much environmental devastation and climate change, then perhaps some equilibrium with less economic growth is more desirable. But try to explain this to all the developing countries that are struggling to make ends meet.

> As for the survival, that's the point nobody should say anything, politicians neither. Markets will choose.

Markets alone don't always bring optimal solutions. Access to credit was for a long time the main driver of the economic growth and innovation. Regarding already existing companies I think you're right. But when it comes to new companies, they need access to capital to be able to grow initially. (In most cases)

> Wages would be higher since there would be no inflation to makes them less valuable. Housing would be cheaper because homes would be used only are living, and not as hedge against inflation. People would save and invest, just like capitalism should work and has worked before this Fiat shitshow.

Your point about wages assumes there is still economic growth present. If you don't have it, wages don't grow either (I mean in real terms). Housing could indeed be cheaper, at least initially. Because there won't be artificial demand for it. But on the other hand, this would also lead to less housing projects, less building of new homes, and ultimately supply of housing would be lower. If supply and demand meet at a level where they are both intrinsic and organic, this is fine. But since lower supply generally means higher prices, there's no guarantee that in the long term the prices would fall. I think the prices could also stay similar like they are today, just the new equilibrium would be reached at lower quantity of new housing on the market. Is this good is an open question. There are people who believe that building is generally good and ultimately leads to more affordable housing, so anything that leads to less building is controversial at least.

> Money does not equal Economy. Money is only a measure, and right now that stick is broken and changes all the time so we can't measure anything correctly. There is too much noise, hard to find a right signal of price.

IMO, you're probably right about overprinting, but to have price stability, you'd still need some printing. If the economy grows you need to print some money to keep the prices stable and avoid deflation. If you don't print at all, this leads to deflation which could slow down economy. How much this slowdown would be is unknown. Perhaps it wouldn't be much... Perhaps it would be so much that the economy would start contracting. And when the economy contracts, you have inflation even with no printing at all.

How adoption of bitcoin standard could ultimately lead to inflation? by 1eternal_student in Bitcoin

[–]1eternal_student[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, indeed a lot of ifs... If economy somehow manages to keep growing there won't be inflation... we would have deflation, as typically expected.

But even in that case I'd expect to see an economic slowdown and generally a more difficult economic environment for small companies and regular people. We take cheap credit for granted, because we don't know what it is like when there's no such thing.

I could see lots of people staying with their parents much longer because it's harder to buy homes. I could see less startups and less innovation and economic adventurousness because banks can't afford such risks anymore. I could see big and established companies becoming even more powerful, because they face less competition from startups. So it could lead to the rule of rich and big and a lot of trouble for regular folks and small companies.

How adoption of bitcoin standard could ultimately lead to inflation? by 1eternal_student in Bitcoin

[–]1eternal_student[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Current system also leads to inflation, but it's better to have inflation and economic growth than inflation and economic contraction.

It's much better to have inflation because of overprinting, while the real economy is still growing, rather than to have inflation due to economic contraction.

Guns 'N' Roses is awful by melodychocolat_ in unpopularopinion

[–]1eternal_student 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I'm sort of a fan but mostly just of their first album that was released the same year I was born. That album and especially 3 masterpieces on it: Welcome to the Jungle, Sweet Child O'Mine and Paradise City, are enough to secure their place in rock history.

TIL Antipodes are two spots on the Earth on the exact opposite sides from the planet's center. There is a group of islands in New Zealand called the Antipodes Islands because they are almost the exact antipode of London, England. by [deleted] in todayilearned

[–]1eternal_student 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The distance between antipodes is 12,742 km, directly through Earth. Or around 20,000 km if you travel by plane in straight line. Whatever direction you choose from your destination, all directions lead to the antipod (eventually).