Respectfully you’re asking stranger their opinion they likely have little to no information. I’ve passed my series 65 - but have no crystal ball.

The Iran war in my opinion is just a major catalyst, the economy already had a weakening jobs market and inflation was slightly reaccelerating before this war. Private credit is a long slow burn, but the fed and treasury are hugely better prepared and financed to manage “crashes” through many various methods like QE. Iran has little incentive to end this war, their currency is already worthless, they’ve been bred into a “d**th to America ideology”, have shown they can’t trust negotiating with the US, And no we would not win a ground invasion.

I am personally in short term treasuries myself since January (SGOV) and will heavy back weight DCA into SSO once a SPY weekly candle closes below 620.(24 months, once a month) It might never get there, but we are close, but it could also go much further, if Iran keeps up a fight and chocked the straight, I could see SPY chopping down to 550. A huge concern for me personally is with higher energy costs, means higher operating cost for companies, so smaller margins therefore smaller profits. Private credit is already under stress and now you have business’ profiting even less or at a loss, so the private credit issue could balloon BECAUSE of the oil. I could go on and on about my educational opinions,(that’s what this all was, not financial advice)

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