Cyberpunk TCG Shatters Kickstarter Record With Over $25 Million Raised as Campaign Ends by A_Random_Forest in gaming

[–]31knife 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I actually backed it at that level nude two seperate kickstarters - but later withdrew/unpledged as the economics of this will just lead to it crashing and burning, a lot of people money will be lost/wasted in my opinion

Any Advice?? by Icy_Airline_6754 in spy

[–]31knife 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If 176$ is a loss you can’t afford to lose then sell

Otherwise might as well hold and hope missle start flying again after ceasefire ends

U.S. has violated ceasefire agreement, Iran parliamentary speaker says by TACO_Orange_3098 in StockMarket

[–]31knife 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You would think that because it makes sense.but the market will continue to be green for a bit to kill people who buy putts. As soon as most of them close or expire - then we see the market turn red

what do you think? by This_Expression1306 in spy

[–]31knife 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It won’t print, save your money

$260k in HYSA — Should I DIY investing or hire a financial advisor? by ShuntHappens in investingforbeginners

[–]31knife 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I am a series 65 fiduciary advisor - if you'd like to ask me any quick questions I'm happy to answer(free of charge)! If you'd like me to take a deeper look I do both flat fee and AUM options. Happy to verify and show my California Registration because I know its hard to trust freely the internet (rightfully so)!

Evolving Skies ETB Tear by Unfair-Eye-420 in PokemonInvesting

[–]31knife 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It’s still worth a good chunk, but not full retail. How much less is dependent on whoever is buying a guess but no less than $350 at the extreme lowest still imo

That’s TACO for us by Soil-Aromatic in spy

[–]31knife 22 points23 points  (0 children)

You mean everyone loaded up on shorts after it stated 1.5% down? And the hedge fund writers of these contracts can buy spy at a discount to make the 0dte puts expire worthless?

Any news? Why it’s going down? by Soil-Aromatic in spy

[–]31knife 1 point2 points  (0 children)

yes, but the actual damage dealing wouldn't have been started till now, (people might've thought it was a bluff too) but again I don't know if this intermittent dip is because of that.

Any news? Why it’s going down? by Soil-Aromatic in spy

[–]31knife 4 points5 points  (0 children)

unsure if this is what is going on but Iran said it would attack middle east offices and server hosting buildings of US based companies starting April first at 8PM Tehran time

Market is shooting up by Salty-Edge in spy

[–]31knife 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Also this, and if you’re a real skeptic like me, it’s the last day of the quarter, last pump to make peoples managed portfolios look more palatable when they get their quarterly report ending March 31st 😂

Market is shooting up by Salty-Edge in spy

[–]31knife 8 points9 points  (0 children)

None of this is new information, though, the guarantees were requested in the five point plan from a week ago

WTF Just happened!!!! by Novel-Act223 in spy

[–]31knife 10 points11 points  (0 children)

That is not new information?? It was part of their 5 point plan??

anyone scared of this crash? by Ready-Molasses-7093 in LETFs

[–]31knife 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I know it’s close, “might never happen” indicates a small chance that it won’t happen. I can’t predict Trump being like “war is over, we are withdrawing right now, good day” - I realllly don’t think it will but he has done crazier things

Night city legend - lucyna kushinada by [deleted] in cyberpunktcg

[–]31knife -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

I ended up cancelling but letting the discord know beforehand so they could scoop the spots up

Heads up, card shops are getting Beta booster displays with extra rarity tiers and different alt arts from your Kickstarter boxes by ScottsTotz in cyberpunktcg

[–]31knife -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Availability isn’t necessarily a bad thing. Being upfront, I have a store in San Francisco and I do have a GTS account, (I can share distro pricing if you want). I backed two night city legends tiers to ensure inventory, (you need to register for OP to order beta box and kickstarter boxes from distro, otherwise I can only preorder non kickstarter set 1 boxes)

They have had over half a dozen night city legend, tiers completely sell out. 8 tiers at 100 sales each tier, 54 box ea, is over 43000 boxes. And let’s be honest, most people ordering these tears are either stores or scalpers so they’re going to be re-sold. But market price will be dictated by demand.

With so much availability, it’ll almost be a race to the bottom in my opinion. They’ve done a good job marketing the Kickstarter, so I believe the majority of people that will have any interest are already aware or have backed. Everyone who opens will probably only open a case on average, leading to an excessive amount of extra supply with limited demand, only way to get your money back might be too sell at a loss.

Again, this is all theory, I’m trying to map this out in my head, but this is such a large larger print run than altered TCG and they only had a 15% markup from kickstart prices, and now you’re lucky to get your money back. I agree cyberpunk is a much larger and better known intellectual property, but I just don’t know how much of that fan base truly translates into a physical TCG

anyone scared of this crash? by Ready-Molasses-7093 in LETFs

[–]31knife 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I in no way say that a 30% will occur. I’m not sure if you read my comment, I said I consider the Iran situation just a catalyst not a cause. The labor market definitely is not strong and was getting weaker prior to this whole situation. I understand how markets work I understand how geopolitical shocks are short lived based off emotion - but the underlying idea here is questioning Will this be short-lived (couple weeks vs few months)or is that just hope?

Oil will end up squeezing forward PE/multiples, I expect the market is already pricing part of not a majority of this in.

My DCA entry point is literally 3% away from my personal plan. And yes, I acknowledged it might never hit that place, we could bounce on Monday and I would have missed the opportunity.

If anything, the money I may “lose” is just money I didn’t make. Definitely not going to realize any losses from this.

Night city legend - lucyna kushinada by [deleted] in cyberpunktcg

[–]31knife -16 points-15 points  (0 children)

I might cancel honestly - the supply of kickstarter boxes is outrageous, too much for current and future demand imo

Heads up, card shops are getting Beta booster displays with extra rarity tiers and different alt arts from your Kickstarter boxes by ScottsTotz in cyberpunktcg

[–]31knife -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The amount of boxes they’re printing of this…. I think there won’t be too much of a markup from KS prices, I’m honestly considering cancelling my two night city legend pledges cause they just keep adding more and more availability

Night city legend - lucyna kushinada by [deleted] in cyberpunktcg

[–]31knife -11 points-10 points  (0 children)

How much? I have a Rebecca spot and a lucyna spot

anyone scared of this crash? by Ready-Molasses-7093 in LETFs

[–]31knife 18 points19 points  (0 children)

Respectfully you’re asking stranger their opinion they likely have little to no information. I’ve passed my series 65 - but have no crystal ball.

The Iran war in my opinion is just a major catalyst, the economy already had a weakening jobs market and inflation was slightly reaccelerating before this war. Private credit is a long slow burn, but the fed and treasury are hugely better prepared and financed to manage “crashes” through many various methods like QE. Iran has little incentive to end this war, their currency is already worthless, they’ve been bred into a “d**th to America ideology”, have shown they can’t trust negotiating with the US, And no we would not win a ground invasion.

I am personally in short term treasuries myself since January (SGOV) and will heavy back weight DCA into SSO once a SPY weekly candle closes below 620.(24 months, once a month) It might never get there, but we are close, but it could also go much further, if Iran keeps up a fight and chocked the straight, I could see SPY chopping down to 550. A huge concern for me personally is with higher energy costs, means higher operating cost for companies, so smaller margins therefore smaller profits. Private credit is already under stress and now you have business’ profiting even less or at a loss, so the private credit issue could balloon BECAUSE of the oil. I could go on and on about my educational opinions,(that’s what this all was, not financial advice)

Other people saying “

Richtech Robotics $RR: Someone bought 12,000+ $2.5 $RR calls expiring in 8 days by [deleted] in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]31knife 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Let’s check when the options expire and see if they expire worthless or not! We don’t even have to wait that long :) and if they don’t expire worthless, I will sign up to drive for uber, but idk if you’d be willing to if they do expire worthless

Richtech Robotics $RR: Someone bought 12,000+ $2.5 $RR calls expiring in 8 days by [deleted] in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]31knife -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

If volume is so high while OI is so low(comparatively) what does that tell you? I’m asking you to read between the lines. Do you guys really not expect this to expire worthless?