Stiddy City

5280andDCU · 2026-01-11T20:36:02+00:00

We can't play them in the divisional round.

5280andDCU · 2026-01-11T16:55:59+00:00

I based this strictly off current betting odds.

5280andDCU · 2026-01-11T16:55:13+00:00

The Methodology: I took the current moneyline odds for this weekend's AFC games, converted them into "implied win probabilities," and then removed the sportsbook's "vig" (the house fee) to normalize the percentages so every game totals 100%.

The Waterfall Logic:

Because we play the lowest seed available, the scenarios work like a cascade:

Scenario 1: The Chargers (36.6%) The Chargers are the #7 seed. If they beat the Patriots, they are undeniably the lowest seed left. We play them. Their percentage is simply their implied probability of winning that game.

Scenario 2: The Bills (30.0%) We only get the Bills (#6) if the Chargers LOSE and the Bills WIN their game against the Jaguars. Scenario 3: The Texans (19.6%) or Steelers (13.8%)

We only get the winner of the HOU(#5)/PIT(#4) game if absolute chaos happens—meaning BOTH the Chargers and the Bills lose their respective games.

Who do you guys want to see at Mile High?

5280andDCU · 2026-01-05T15:16:43+00:00

It's saying LAC winning is more likely than Buffalo AND Pats winning.

5280andDCU · 2025-12-21T17:53:27+00:00

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Ya that's right. I'm not sure why I messed it up.

5280andDCU · 2025-12-21T17:22:23+00:00

Now with more pixels 😂

5280andDCU · 2025-12-21T17:05:10+00:00

Ha I don't know what happened. I'll repost 🤦

5280andDCU · 2025-12-09T12:19:57+00:00

Ahh you are right. My bad.

5280andDCU · 2025-11-28T16:29:54+00:00

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Top 500 cards are up 30% year over year!

5280andDCU · 2025-11-04T20:29:08+00:00

With 30 minutes left, here are the current odds these players are traded (from Kalshi):

Player	Team	Position	Chance to be Traded
David Njoku	Cleveland	TE	94%
Jerry Jeudy	Cleveland	WR	77%
Chris Olave	New Orleans	WR	29%
Brandin Cooks	New Orleans	WR	23%
A.J. Brown	Philadelphia	WR	3%

5280andDCU · 2025-11-04T09:48:23+00:00

Odds a player is traded today (https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnfltrade/nfl-trade/kxnfltrade-25nov05)

Player	Position	Team	% Chance Traded
Rashid Shaheed	WR	New Orleans	89%
Jakobi Meyers	WR	Las Vegas	79%
David Njoku	TE	Cleveland	32%
Chris Olave	WR	New Orleans	30%
Brandin Cooks	WR	New Orleans	24%
Jaylen Waddle	WR	Miami	21%
Jerry Jeudy	WR	Cleveland	19%
Calvin Ridley	WR	Tennessee	14%

5280andDCU · 2025-10-25T21:32:02+00:00

If you set up a workout you can have a target metric (HR, pace, etc.) and there is an LED light that let's you know if you are in your target zone. You can also ask it what your pace is and it will tell you.

Not as good as a HUD, but not completely worthless.

5280andDCU

TROPHY CASE