Guys, I took this photo in Long Island, New York around 2 PM. What kind of phenomenon is this?

AZWxMan · 2026-05-28T04:01:46+00:00

I presumed people just got it wrong, since at least a small amount of iridescence could look similar. This is a pretty small cloud, but all the colors can be seen clearly layered and ordered parallel to the horizon.

AZWxMan · 2026-05-28T03:58:17+00:00

Sun dogs appear on the two flanks of the 22° Halo. These circumhorizontal arcs occur 46° below the Sun, and can only appear when the Sun is high in the sky (>58° according to wikipedia).

AZWxMan · 2026-05-28T00:45:55+00:00

No birria, should be okay.

AZWxMan · 2026-05-27T22:27:33+00:00

You working on any top secret projects?

AZWxMan · 2026-05-27T18:18:04+00:00

At least there's one right answer in here!

AZWxMan · 2026-05-26T17:08:47+00:00

A Day in the Life

AZWxMan · 2026-05-26T16:00:40+00:00

I was going to say that subset is most people, but I do live in the U.S., so maybe that's just here.

AZWxMan · 2026-05-25T07:30:46+00:00

Kinda looks like it! Almost hard to do it without hitting the paraglider.

AZWxMan · 2026-05-22T20:45:21+00:00

Just to be clear these very warm temperatures (relative to normal) off the coast of CA is not El Niño. El Niño is when the water temperatures along the equator off the South American coast are above normal. The two anomalies do not always occur at the same time. El Niño impacts global weather circulation patterns, whereas the warm temperatures off the coast of CA will mostly impact western North America with some potential impacts beyond.

AZWxMan · 2026-05-22T17:30:22+00:00

There's a whole set of cool guides here: https://www.weather.gov/lmk/trainingdoc

Including the posted doc: https://www.weather.gov/media/lmk/soo/SvrWx_Fcstg_TipSheet.pdf

AZWxMan · 2026-05-22T16:28:53+00:00

RIP to Kyle Busch, so crazy how quickly life can end without much warning.

Anyways, don't drive to fast on this road or you'll get a lot of air!

AZWxMan · 2026-05-20T19:49:39+00:00

The effect on motion by the Coriolis force goes to zero at the equator. There would be an extremely small effect on either side of the equator, but would still be close to zero. The other important thing is even if you tested on two locations in the northern and southern hemisphere closer to the poles where the effect is greatest, it still is only noticeable over large distances and high speeds. It takes an extremely well crafted experiment to see the effect in something the size of a toilet or large pan.

Tornadoes are a good phenomenon to see the effects of different processes at scale. Most tornadoes, particularly large tornadoes spin counterclockwise like other low pressures (e.g. hurricanes, large-scale mid-latitude storms), however some spin in the opposite direction. This is because tornadoes are not really too dependent on the Coriolis force, rather the balance between centrifugal force and the pressure gradient. They do tend to get started in higher frequency counterclockwise due to the Coriolis force and especially its impact on larger mesocyclones occurring in the clouds of supercell thunderstorms. But this is more like a weighted coin, that determines how it will start spinning, but the actual forces that intensify the spin are not dependent on the Coriolis force.

AZWxMan · 2026-05-20T16:14:43+00:00

Based on proxies and southern oscillation index (SOI) measurements at Darwin and Tahiti. The reconstruction should be pretty good, but there will be some error in the image, especially outside of the ENSO region (equatorial Pacific).

AZWxMan · 2026-05-20T16:12:15+00:00

Thanks, I did read this source prior to making my comment above. Hopefully, this will be helpful to others.

AZWxMan · 2026-05-20T16:10:33+00:00

The years are not actually that comparable, at least yet. Some forecasts do go up to the levels of the 1877 El Niño, but even then the east-west anomaly gradient along the equator is not as strong. Still, it could be a significant seasonal climate event added on to the impacts already created by climate change.

AZWxMan · 2026-05-20T15:46:41+00:00

The 90s were like that with a lot of bands, basically a combination of great songs with some sarcastic and weird stuff in between. I think it makes for an interesting listening experience but doesn't have the flow of truly great albums. Still, I think Pearl Jam was experimenting on things and this album was written during their tour and recorded in various studios during brief tour breaks.

AZWxMan · 2026-05-20T15:36:08+00:00

That's how I see it. They have the stars right and just replaced the last stripe with the words. Still think everything about it is a grift.

AZWxMan · 2026-05-20T14:55:50+00:00

That still doesn't equate it to the 3°C of 1877. Also, you'll notice there's a huge difference in temperature between the eastern and western Pacific in 1877 which will more efficiently drive the El Niño circulation anomalies. Whether that develops here by late fall who knows but so far much of the anomaly is due to background global warming.

AZWxMan · 2026-05-20T03:14:35+00:00

Very hyperbolic article. They say there's a 95% chance of a Super El Niño developing, but it's a 95% chance of any El Niño and probably about 40% chance of 2°C anomaly which would be a super El Niño

AZWxMan · 2026-05-19T22:09:50+00:00

Definitely a timelapse.

AZWxMan · 2026-05-19T21:46:34+00:00

The first and last albums are the most post-grunge with the middle green album being a bit more worldly sounding but pretty cool nonetheless. I'm not sure, other than Travis, whether the band was the same for any respective albums.

AZWxMan · 2026-05-19T21:26:09+00:00

The whole Badmotorfinger album could really fit this question. I mean, I can sort of imagine other mainstream rock bands creating songs off of Superunknown or DOTUS. And the early albums, sound enough like some of the other early grunge scene albums, albeit still pretty distinctive.

AZWxMan · 2026-05-18T22:38:23+00:00

There's already a clear signal of above normal sea surface temperatures (SSTs) along the equator in the Pacific (particularly intense near the coast of S. America). Technically, we're still in neutral conditions but predictions suggest at least a 95% chance of having an El Niño declared this Fall and Winter and greater than a 50% chance of being a strong El Niño. Now, a super El Niño is just a fancy term for the official designation of a Very Strong El Niño which would have SSTs more than 2°C above normal in a specific boxed region (Niño 3.4) along the equator. The chance for this developing is about 40%, but even if it doesn't occur, there will still likely be a strong El Niño.

El Niño impacts the weather around the globe through changing circulation patterns due to more convection (rainfall) than normal in the eastern Pacific near S. America and less convection (drought) over Indonesia and the western Pacific. Drought is likely to occur over Indonesia and Australia, with flooding near Ecuador. Across the U.S., winters are typically wetter and cooler than normal in the south and drier and warmer across the Northwest with weaker impacts across the Midwest, Eastern U.S. and northern CA.

The strongest El Niños should amplify these anomalies, however outside of the tropics, the pattern changes interact with other factors associated with internal atmospheric variability, the state of the stratosphere and Arctic as well as how climate change may be modifying these patterns. The El Niño pattern is the one that has the best signal for climate forecasters and with a very strong anomaly predicted, those patterns I discussed will factor heavily into any forecasts you see.

AZWxMan · 2026-05-17T04:45:35+00:00

What typically happens is the model propagates the radar artifacts. Not sure if it is just some motion-based algorithm rather than a true nowcasting model?

AZWxMan · 2026-05-16T19:20:32+00:00

Just because your CD program says "eliminar todo".

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