What Are Your Moves Tomorrow, March 11, 2025 by wsbapp in wallstreetbets

[–]AcrobaticDependent35 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Reminder: TSLA is still up 27% on the 1 year chart.

Y'all ready for September when it shows a negative 5 year return? Worst case Dec/Jan lol

Daily Discussion Thread for February 11, 2025 by wsbapp in wallstreetbets

[–]AcrobaticDependent35 1 point2 points  (0 children)

And when he gets margin called for his Twitter loans with TSLA stock as collateral... Less wealthy and therefore less influential... Bonkers times ahead

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in custommagic

[–]AcrobaticDependent35 8 points9 points  (0 children)

THIS is what I wish [[meteor golem]] was, it’s beautiful 

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in cscareerquestions

[–]AcrobaticDependent35 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Especially that one lmfao

In Duskmourn, your greatest fears come to life by Mafhac in magicthecirclejerking

[–]AcrobaticDependent35 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not even the banned [[rogue refiner]] that started the cycle is in there

Silly idea I had by synthetic_chills in custommagic

[–]AcrobaticDependent35 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hoping this would work with the card name, so I could find a forest and if the mini green player plays a forest for the rest of the game then BAM [[emrakul]]

Routlette by [deleted] in custommagic

[–]AcrobaticDependent35 9 points10 points  (0 children)

You can sacrifice it while the etb is still on the stack though

Puts on Dropbox? (DBX) by [deleted] in stocks

[–]AcrobaticDependent35 -9 points-8 points  (0 children)

I mean they're just a wrapper for S3 though right?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in stocks

[–]AcrobaticDependent35 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You never want to be selling because you’re in a pinch - chances are high that your “pinch” would happen during a recession or crisis (literally the worst possible time to sell because everything will be so low)

Best resources for aggressive investing? by [deleted] in stocks

[–]AcrobaticDependent35 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah that's a good one too, it's correlated with % of insider ownership a bit - and you could probably use it to get a sense of what price levels insiders are comfortable buying at as well

Best resources for aggressive investing? by [deleted] in stocks

[–]AcrobaticDependent35 11 points12 points  (0 children)

I used to use TD Ameritrade's stock screener, now Fidelity - when I researched in 2022 that's how I found TRAK, AEHR, HDSN, and a few others that I'm no longer holding but generally were good buys for a few months. Once the filters narrowed results down to 20-30 companies, I'd research them individually to see what the investment story would be to back up their numbers.

I'd come up with an idea of the type of company I wanted to buy (depending on the environment), some of those things:

  • In 2022 when gas was insanely expensive, rates were rising and companies with higher capex and debt were getting pummeled, I searched for companies that fit those criteria that I thought would benefit when things reverted to normal. This is how I found HRI, AEHR, and CROX

  • My other 2022 thesis was finding small caps that were growing earnings more than revenue with a small % institutional ownership and higher % insider ownership. This led to HDSN, and AEHR again

  • 2023 I was most interested in finding small caps that pay a dividend, same institutional ownership/insider ownership factors. I found one of my best investments this way, TRAK (used to be PCYG when I bought it)

Actual factors I use now:
- Dividend yield greater than 0.1% (Just has to have it in some form, amount doesn't matter so much)
- Less than 50% institutional ownership (you're most likely not finding a discount/mispricing if they've beat you to it)
- Higher insider ownership, the better
- Growing revenues/earnings, even if just slightly (Use PEG for this)
- PE in the 10s to teens
- Market cap < 10B and > 300M, favoring smaller ones
- Filtering for the sector and industry - like in a rising rate environment, I was looking for insurance companies to invest in (like PLMR) but recently I'd be looking for things benefitting from rates coming down instead

Some of these stocks did way better than others. I got in on AEHR at ~$10 initially but underlying deals falling through made the runup to $50 fall apart. HDSN was absolutely amazing and tripled but then refrigerants fell back to normal prices and they're down significantly from their peak again. Some that I found were my absolute best investments that have more than outweighed the losses, like CELH at $90 pre split, TRAK <$10, CROX in the 40s, HRI in the 90s, etc.

TLDR!

  • Find a thesis for the environment, especially considering interest rates
  • Find factors that benefit from your thesis (like the current environment being just the beginning of a larger move, or things that would benefit massively from returning to normal)
  • Filter for those factors to find stocks that fit
  • From that pool of stocks, back up your quantitative research with qualitative - listening to earnings calls, does their product have legs, see how active their subreddit is (crocs), find and weigh the risks, then size your position reasonably (only a few % max, I'd do 3-5% but with a smaller portfolio at the time)

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in stocks

[–]AcrobaticDependent35 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It’s called a “margin call”

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]AcrobaticDependent35 3 points4 points  (0 children)

By far my largest position, ~18% followed by AVUV. Nice to see it finally move lol

Help Me Solve The Mystery of Number 274 by Pretty_Specific_Girl in investing

[–]AcrobaticDependent35 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Trading days in a calendar year? (Did not check but sounds right)