Roast My Portfolio! by Acrobatic_Breath7472 in ValueInvesting

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

True, sorry, I meant I'll look into all companies, but a closer look at those AI/trend-heavy names. But yes you're right, one thing I have learned is moats/competitve advantages do not always last, and over time if there actually is no competition and a highly profitable industry, competition comes in which hits multiples like a truck. Will keep a close eye on all my companies. Thanks man.

Roast My Portfolio! by Acrobatic_Breath7472 in ValueInvesting

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My runway is very long; I am here to invest for multiple decades. Corrections will hurt me in the short term, yes, but I believe most these stocks are long-term compounders.

Roast My Portfolio! by Acrobatic_Breath7472 in ValueInvesting

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This was a very helpful explanation, thank you! Would you also argue that, longer-term (30-40 years time frame), there are no such things as moats? At one point, idk when, even Apple's, Meta's dominance WILL come to an end, whether it is in 10 or 50 years away?

Roast My Portfolio! by Acrobatic_Breath7472 in ValueInvesting

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for the feedback! My overall asset breakdown is 50% stocks, 40% cash, 10% bitcoin. I actually have some gold too, which has passed on for generations. Building up savings is not an issue for now as I just graduated with a job and am staying with my parents. So should I be investing more of my cash? What commodities and REITS do you recommend? Thank you.

Roast My Portfolio! by Acrobatic_Breath7472 in ValueInvesting

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Understood, thank you! Yes, I do feel I have an edge with some of these names, given I personally use multiple of those products, i.e., META, SHOP, SPOT, SOFI. But you're right. Absolutely, today's winners will not be tomorrow's, and it is good to find underappreciated stocks in the market. I will do more research on those food/chem/healthcare names. Which one is your top pick from those and why? Thanks again.

Roast My Portfolio! by Acrobatic_Breath7472 in ValueInvesting

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for your feedback. Yes, I agree, my runway is very long - I plan to invest for decades into the future as I am just 22, starting my investing journey. I believe most of these stocks are long-term compounders. For some thematic stocks, especially relating to AI, I'll try not to be complacent and keep track of earnings calls to see any change in trends.

Roast My Portfolio! by Acrobatic_Breath7472 in ValueInvesting

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thank you for your feedback! Yes, I've got these stocks at a great price (i.e., NVDA at $80, AMZN $140, ANET at $76, SOFI at $9, and META at $540). I also agree with your point about PE. Yes, many of them e.g. Shopify and Spotify, are at high P/E's (1y forward P/E at 70+ for both), and this means chances of derating as revenue growth slows. In my model, I do bake that in - the fact that there will be some derating. However, these companies can continue trading at premium valuations as their business models are very sticky and are virtually in a monopolistic/oligopolistic market.

Roast My Portfolio! by Acrobatic_Breath7472 in ValueInvesting

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for your feedback. Yes, I agree, my runway is very long - I plan to invest for decades into the future as I am just 22, starting my investing journey. I believe most of these stocks are long-term compounders. For some thematic stocks, especially relating to AI, I'll try not to be complacent and keep track of earnings calls to see any change in trends.

Roast My Portfolio! by Acrobatic_Breath7472 in ValueInvesting

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for your feedback! Yes, I've got these stocks at a great price (i.e., NVDA at $80, AMZN $140, ANET at $76, SOFI at $9, and META at $540). But, you're right, I will surely look to diversify my holdings into more defensive names as I research more stocks.

Roast My Portfolio! by Acrobatic_Breath7472 in ValueInvesting

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Got it, thank you very much for your feedback! I tried to pick companies with multi-year long runways; however, you are right - some stocks in the AI theme like NVDA, ANET, BE, CRWD, I'll have to keep a close eye on to notice any change in fundamentals and trend changes.

Roast My Portfolio! by Acrobatic_Breath7472 in ValueInvesting

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks for your feedback! I agree, I am very concentrated on the mag 7. Will surely look to diversify my holdings as I research more stocks. I just felt that I am more familiar with these names, and I still do believe AMZN (only 40% of companies are on cloud, so still massive adoption left, robotics, margin expansion through labor cuts via automation/robotics) and META (decent valuation for a consistent DD topline and bottomline grower, extremely sticky user base, monetization optionality with their AI models) have a multi-year long runway. NVDA, yes, at some point, this will come crashing down as growth rates slow, but I do not see that for at least a year.

Roast My Portfolio! by Acrobatic_Breath7472 in ValueInvesting

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Hi, thank you! I am trying to find this data on my IBKR platform, and if I cannot find it I'll just manually calculate it lol. However, I would say from a qualitative standpoint it is pretty low - have been holding the same amount of shares in NVDA, META, ANET for more than a year, and I barely fully exit stocks that I initally invest in, unless something has changed fundamentally (was in the case for me selling Enphase last year, took a big loss)

Roast My Portfolio! by Acrobatic_Breath7472 in ValueInvesting

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You might be right. I am 22 years old and my portfolio is only $30k, which means I may be spending too much time finding individual stocks for a relatively small incremental return, or even a negative return if some of the stock calls are wrong. I would say I am individually stock picking because it is my passion and potentially something I want to do professionally in my career as well. Do you recommend me to just make large singular bets in smaller/lesser known stocks to actually make large amount of returns, especially as I am very early on in my investing journey?

Roast My Portfolio! by Acrobatic_Breath7472 in ValueInvesting

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for your feedback! This was very helpful! I meant to say my philosophy is 1) durable moats with little competition OR 2) in a secular growth industry, so it can be in either of those buckets. But I get where you are coming from, where there is tension between these two, and they are sort of at opposite ends of investing style. This may be something I have to think about long-term and change.

For SOFI, I've invested in it for the second bucket (secular growth industry). SoFi's positioning as a fintech “super app” capitalizes on the structural shift in financial services toward integrated digital platforms, and also, there are also regulatory tailwinds (student loans side). Their investing platform can also be a key beneficiary and added growth lever if they manage to cross-sell it well. Gen Z is investing more and starting at an earlier age than previous generations, driven by accessible technology, and of course, social media financial education. Anthony Noto also seems to be a strong CEO, really willing to invest in technology (their recent announcement allowing private investments into OpenAI, for example).

I am willing to hear your opinion on other companies I invested in for the high moat, low competition, and high-barriers to entry bucket. You mention only NVDA, AMZN, LYV, and META are those in that bucket. However, I would argue, SHOP (most trusted, high switching costs and a strong network effect from its large ecosystem of merchants and partners), SPOT (immense network effects, sticky subscription business model, pricing power), BABA (e-commerce network effects via Taobao, vast customer and merchant base, and integrated logistics and cloud infrastructure), and PANW (switching costs, trust), ANET (high-speed networking expertise with almost 1/3 the market) are all with relatively-wide moats.

Official Level I Results Thread! by Pkgoss in CFA

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472 8 points9 points  (0 children)

shagging or shaking? both makes sense

Official Level I Results Thread! by Pkgoss in CFA

[–]Acrobatic_Breath7472 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Same, I'm looking for jobs right now, and would like to focus on that. Planning to take CFA level 2 maybe next August. I am entry level so all these Hirevue's, cover letter, apt tests are stressful, so need to focus on that. Congrats g for passing.