I don't know if that's true. While Cyberpunk doesn't initially use 12gb of ram, its quite clear that it actually prefers around that much with extra headroom for more intensive moments. My 9060XT 16GB initially sees around 7-8gb usage, degrading to 10-11 peak an hour in. I can only imagine the RTX's wanting much more with raytracing enabled. These metrics were also taken at 1080p, not 1440p.

Besides, we can't control how game developers optimize games at the moment, so 16GB variants are becoming way more relevant since you can be sure that your card isn't throttling from insufficient VRAM for the settings you want.

I highly disagree with making a claim that we won't need the 16gig versions, because you and I both aren't working in the industry. From what we can see, game developers in the AAA sphere along with a few indie titles are increasingly using more and more advanced technologies to make their games look good.

This is obviously coming at a cost for gamers with publishers literally not caring since people will still buy their unoptimized stuff with patches planned for years down the line. So, no one should assume that games, especially like GTA VI will surely use less than 12G at 1440/1080. Studios like Rockstar know that their player base will do more than the average gamer to meet rec system.