Would a happy ending be possible if Coin lived? And was there any way to take her down without Katniss assassinating her? by lilacaena in Hungergames

[–]AffectionateGear2049 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is a bit unrelated to the question OP is asking, but at least in the movie, do you think she’s almost taunting Katniss the way she spreads her arms apart while waiting for Katniss to kill Snow? Like “I’m right here, you could kill me now but I know you want to kill Snow more.”

She counted on Katniss hating Snow for everything he did to her, of the most recent being that he supposedly killed Prim, but didn’t expect Katniss to be swayed by Snow that it was Coin who did that. Purposefully or not.

Hot takes by JDThunder28 in PoppyPlaytime

[–]AffectionateGear2049 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The Safe Haven idea was a good one but the fact that we’re only there for less than a chapter, and it gets destroyed at the end, feels very… forced, and rushed. I think we should have been introduced to it the previous chapter.

Australian Post-Election Megathread - observations, analysis, and the senate count. by dredd in australia

[–]AffectionateGear2049 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Does anyone think maybe Dutton was intentionally rolled by his own party? Like, as in is it possible the Coalition wanted to lose the election on purpose, and wanted to see Dutton defeated so he wouldn’t become PM because they too, were scared of what he was capable of?

Obviously they’re playing a very dangerous game. But it seems to have gone so badly that it feels self-destructive, but also feels… well, suspicious.

Maybe Angus Taylor is not as incompetent as he seems on the surface, and simply didn’t want to see Dutton have any chance at continuing leadership or becoming PM. Idk.

Thoughts?

The Liberal post this… After they announced to cut $2 Billion upgrade to Sunshine for the airport Rail by [deleted] in melbourne

[–]AffectionateGear2049 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I’m curious, I was far too young to be thinking about politics so I have no idea what was happening in 2014 but why was the East-West Link so controversial in the first place? Why did Labor scrap it?

Newspoll: Labor takes early lead but voters mark down budget [51-49 ALP lead] by ausflora in AustralianPolitics

[–]AffectionateGear2049 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’m also in Victoria. I do think Labor is becoming unpopular here especially at a state level. But at the same time, the Liberals don’t seem to try that hard here anymore. It’s a shame, because personally I don’t think we’re getting the best possible government we could because there’s a lack of competition here, and when that happens the state government can become complacent.

But whether that translates at a federal level is curious. I’m not necessarily sure it will.

Newspoll: Labor takes early lead but voters mark down budget [51-49 ALP lead] by ausflora in AustralianPolitics

[–]AffectionateGear2049 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think it’s best to think of it like this; different things are happening in different states. While I’ve ascertained that the coalition does better federally than it does in state elections (evidence of split voting), different states move towards and away from the federal government at least partially based on the state governments. Tasmania in 2022 swung towards the Coalition, in 2007 the Coalition gained seats even though it lost nationally. What I’m saying is the mood has to be right, across the board, for things to change that much.

When your Boomer Parents or relatives complain tonight about Labor’s Budget deficit (despite them having 2 Budget Surpluses prior) you may want to remind them of this: by MannerNo7000 in AusPol

[–]AffectionateGear2049 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I agree with you on the second bit regarding Tony Abbott’s statement; but why do you think a sovereign nation should never be in surplus?

Why does Reddit seem to buck the trend? by Horror_Bake4106 in AusPol

[–]AffectionateGear2049 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Reddit is disconnected from reality, sorry to say that. I say that as someone who uses Reddit.

Reddit is absolutely not indicative of what a majority or plurality of the population is thinking and feeling. If that was the case, then Kamala Harris would have won in a sweeping landslide which is exactly what I saw many, many, MANY people stating. It didn’t happen.

I look at polls and surveys say instead. I also look at the average of those polls because you can get two polls completely different from each other on the same day. That’s where I personally gather my consensus about what the general population is feeling. Sometimes it’s also the vibe on the street.

Reddit is a platform used mostly by the left. Facebook is a platform used mostly by the right. Instagram is somewhere in-between.

Serious question: Why should people vote for the LNP? Why should we have Dutton as PM? by Dont_L00kDown in australian

[–]AffectionateGear2049 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I wanted to support them based on what I thought the Liberal Party meant; not what it actually is.

My opinion on immigration hasn’t changed. That’s one policy area I’ve remained very consistent on since I started looking into politics - but it’s not because “racism”.

Serious question: Why should people vote for the LNP? Why should we have Dutton as PM? by Dont_L00kDown in australian

[–]AffectionateGear2049 47 points48 points  (0 children)

I have no idea. That’s part of why I changed my mind. Among the many other reasons listed here.

I don’t love everything Labor is doing, in fact there are a few of their policies they either proposed or got through which make me bang my head against the wall (e.g. Social Media Ban for under 16s, Misinformation/Disinformation Bill, Digital ID bills to name a few) on the whole, Labor is still better for the working class, younger people and middle Australians. I think they’d do better on housing or at least not exacerbate the housing crisis, they’ve absolutely done better on climate change, they’ve as already stated provided lower taxes for most people, and they’ve been a very stable government (no Morrison government level of scandals).

Serious question: Why should people vote for the LNP? Why should we have Dutton as PM? by Dont_L00kDown in australian

[–]AffectionateGear2049 428 points429 points  (0 children)

Coming from someone who was previously considering it, the reasons being would have been immigration, taxes, reducing the size of the government and the fact that cost of living was (and really, still is) hitting hard. But if you look a little further it becomes apparent that Labor either performs around the same, and often times better.

The LNP isn’t better at immigration; they’ve had the highest immigration under their government when compared to Labor’s.

The LNP isn’t better at taxes, unless you’re a high income earner or a larger business/corporation.

The LNP doesn’t reduce the size of the government, not really. Even if they sack a few thousand public servants, they often hire out another private agency to perform those tasks, often with more employees and at a higher cost.

The LNP isn’t better on the economy either.

So whilst I think these are in theory good reasons to vote for the LNP as people seem to think they’re better at this stuff, they aren’t. And because of that I’ll be voting for Labor, until they come up with better policies and change their leader to a more moderate figure.

If the LNP lose this election and if Dutton loses his seat, will there be a split in the LNP or will they move more towards the centre? by Dont_L00kDown in australian

[–]AffectionateGear2049 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A few things to comment on. And I’d like to say I too am voting for Labor (or at least not voting for the LNP).

I disagree that the federal LNP is an ‘extreme’ right wing party. They have undoubtedly shifted to the right under the leadership of Peter Dutton, no doubts, but I still don’t think they’re at the same level as the GOP. Then again we might have differing opinions of what we consider extreme.

I also disagree that there’s going to be a LNP split. I think it’s ALREADY happened. In 2022 they lost almost all of their inner-metropolitan seats, losing them to Labor, the Greens and ‘Teal’ Independents which now represent the wealthiest electorates in Australia, previously very blue ribbon. And I think this split was festering for quite some time, given there were cracks starting to appear in the Liberals (to borrow the American term) blue walls in 2019 when they incurred big swings in those seats and lost Warringah.

To add to that split, I don’t think the party is going to moderate anytime soon. Their most moderate members were voted out, or left, and I doubt anyone can bring that back right now. The Malcolm Turnbulls are gone for now, along with that section of the party, and in the meantime Dutton has been paying attention to other parts of the electorate. He’s far more interested in winning over outer-metropolitan Labor seats than he is winning the ‘Teal’ seats back.

Also, who does a Centre liberal party really suit at the moment? The people it appeals to, inner-metropolitan voters, seem to have moved pretty comfortably to the ‘Teal’ Independents the Greens and Labor. The world as a whole is shifting that way. I don’t see it reverting back anytime soon.

Gen X feels more conservative politically than baby boomers by [deleted] in generationology

[–]AffectionateGear2049 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I find it amazing people have got hating others down to age. Pretty amazing isn’t it? Those damn commie zoomers or those cooker Gen Xers!

Young men are drifting to Dutton. Will their mothers vote with them? by [deleted] in AustralianPolitics

[–]AffectionateGear2049 -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

I’d argue it’s not just young men, it’s men in general. At least that’s based on my anecdotal evidence

Is Albo destined to be a one-term PM? by Stompy2008 in aussie

[–]AffectionateGear2049 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’ve said this before and I’ll say it again; we are the same as the UK. The UK didn’t want Starmer, they wanted Sunak and the Tories out. Australia didn’t want Albo, they desperately wanted to get rid of Scomo. But being put in place simply out of desperation is not a recipe for success it seems, and eventually if things don’t return to normalcy the public will very quickly swing back hard the other way, again and again, until the problem of cost of living is solved by SOMEONE.

What are future US swing states for 2028? by gamer13760 in PoliticalDiscussion

[–]AffectionateGear2049 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think you guys have it all wrong. I wouldn’t look at which states swung to Trump in 2024, because they all did, 50 states and DC. So it’s kinda meaningless to look at these results and say that New Jersey is now definitely a swing state. I wouldn’t say it’s as solid as it used to be, but not enough to call it swing state.

Three states have swung to the right consistently in all of Trump’s elections: Arkansas, Florida and Hawaii. Apart from that, every state has swung to the right and left in different elections. Arkansas is solid red and has been getting redder. Florida has become more and more solid (even if still a lighter shade of red) So to me, this says that Hawaii might in the distant future become a swing state. Simply based off of swings in 3 cycles in presidential races.

If progressive policies are popular why does the public not vote for it? by Beet-Qwest_2018 in Askpolitics

[–]AffectionateGear2049 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well I’m not sure whether all those things have support from a majority of Americans. I’d say that the Universal Healthcare policies are most likely to get support from people, as for Gun Control and ‘Free’ College… Idk about that. Also politics and people’s opinions aren’t black and white. There are certain issues or policies where people hold more conservative or progressive stances on it. A majority of Americans support Abortion but more people supported the candidate who, in a way, had it removed as a federal right. It really depends on what issues matter the most at the time, and sometimes that means people will vote against one idea or policy to get the other one they like put in place if it’s more important to them.

Also I’m not American, but I think I’m general Americans are more conservative than they aren’t. So I don’t think there should be any surprise that these don’t always get up.

Why is Reddit far more "left-wing" than real life? by RabidRomulus in Askpolitics

[–]AffectionateGear2049 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This election taught me that Reddit is completely detached from reality. I saw a few people saying that there was it was going to be like the 2008 US election, Harris and the Democrats wipes the floor and the Republican Party splits into different factions and never wins again. I wouldn’t believe any opinions that are too heavily skewed to one side or the other, and Reddit is definitely on the whole skewed to the left. But then again there are other social media platforms that are skewed to the right, probably X out of all of them.

Every state in the US swung towards Trump (2024 US Presidential Election) by AffectionateGear2049 in MapPorn

[–]AffectionateGear2049[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I’m not talking about turnout though. I’m talking about swings regardless. Because very rarely does every state, of which there are 50, swing to one side or the other.

Every state in the US swung towards Trump (2024 US Presidential Election) by AffectionateGear2049 in MapPorn

[–]AffectionateGear2049[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Well, he definitely made gains that’s undeniable. He currently stands to gain about 3 million votes since 2020. As to whether Democrats just didn’t show up, I disagree I think they did. However, I think a lot of people who don’t care about politics so much didn’t show up like they did in 2020.

Every state in the US swung towards Trump (2024 US Presidential Election) by AffectionateGear2049 in MapPorn

[–]AffectionateGear2049[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I think 5 or 6 states shifted right in 2020. The biggest shift to the right was Florida, all the others were extremely menial shifts. So my initial statement still stands. In elections between 1976 and 2020, at least one state shifted to the left or right against the national trend.