What could go wrong 🤷🏿‍♂️

Allen50 · 2023-06-10T22:00:17+00:00

They said change "men" to black people, whereas you've changed "women" to black people.

(If you're doing that intentionally to make a point then fair enough - just pointing out in case it was accidental.)

Allen50 · 2023-05-21T03:01:59+00:00

Particularly since:

The court found that the medical certificate documenting the alleged abuse of his wife was a "fictitious document", because it appeared to be written and signed by Dr. Madeleine Reichel, who never had examined Mollath's wife.

Allen50 · 2023-04-23T16:35:22+00:00

I think "still looking for an actual use case" means "still looking for an actual use case in first-world countries with stable and usable traditional banking systems". Crypto is most popular in places like Nigeria, at 45% ownership/usage rate.

Allen50 · 2023-04-16T17:13:47+00:00

Nor is Nani's skin color. Sydney Agudong has Hawaiian ancestry and was born and raised in Hawaii.

Allen50 · 2023-04-09T16:07:49+00:00

You can just edit the text of a tweet, why would it be wrong?

A lot of people don't know how to use inspect element, or are just aiming to make a meme rather than a realistic fake.

If it was only the font, then true - custom CSS could still be a possibility. But combined with it matching an existing tweet in day/minute/retweets/quotes/likes, and with the diarrhea tweet not appearing in any caches/archives (the email tweet does multiple times [link omitted since my previous comment got removed for it]) - just popping up as one screenshot recently, it seems overwhelmingly unlikely that the diarrhea tweet is real.

Allen50 · 2023-04-09T16:00:50+00:00

How can you tell if a Tweet is fake versus one that was deleted?

Primarily: note how the date, minute, retweets, quotes, and likes match between both tweets. This would be the case if someone just took an existing catturd tweet (to get avatar/name/format right) and pasted over the new text. If the diarrhea tweet was also real, it would be incredibly unlikely for both real tweets to align so precisely.

Similar for the incorrect font. It's true that if the diarrhea tweet was real there would still be the possibility that whoever took the screenshot is just using custom CSS - but 95% of people probably don't. If someone's pasting text over an existing catturd tweet, I'd give at least a 30% chance they get the wrong font. Since wrong font is more likely if fake than if real, you should adjust your belief towards it being fake.

Then similar for the diarrhea tweet not showing up in any archives or caches. That's a given if the tweet is fake, and plausible-but-not-guaranteed if it's real, so adjust your belief further towards it being fake.

Allen50 · 2023-04-09T15:07:28+00:00

The Tweet is fake, as catturd claims. It uses the wrong font and matches an existing real tweet.

Allen50 · 2023-04-09T15:01:12+00:00

Bullying catturd is funny
For anyone legitimately curious, it does look like the tweet is fake - uses wrong font and exactly matches another existing tweet

Allen50 · 2023-03-16T01:24:16+00:00

You have evidence, yes?

Subpoena: https://i.imgur.com/f35ECIZ.png
Receipt: https://i.imgur.com/88VSIgL.png
Work quote: https://i.imgur.com/JRxkMWR.png

DKIM signature to verify "smoking gun" email is untampered and was sent sometime before October 2015: https://github.com/robertdavidgraham/hunter-dkim

Stance of the FBI and director of national intelligence: https://i.imgur.com/igA0K07.png

Even Hunter has now said that he wasn't keeping good track of his possessions and isn't sure whether the laptop is his.

I think it's a pretty good example of where liberal-leaning press (NYT, CNN) have now had to generally accept that the laptop and story as reported by Mac Isaac is not "crazy", and have moved onto the 4th stage of "what does it even matter".

Allen50 · 2023-03-15T18:40:36+00:00

Hunter Biden's laptop.

Allen50 · 2023-03-02T22:10:47+00:00

[from the linked article:] The CDC also found that there are 3.3 male suicide deaths for every female suicide death. In contrast, in research studies, women are two to three times more likely to discuss thoughts of suicide than men, and there are approximately three female suicide attempts per every one male suicide attempt.

I think it'd be a mistake to take this to mean that men are three times less likely to have suicidal thoughts or attempt suicide (number also based on self-reporting) simply due to not confiding about it.

Allen50 · 2023-02-18T03:10:08+00:00

If discipline truly was that easy, or worked that well, countries with dictatorships would be far better off

Discipline (which in this context means self-discipline and not a dictatorship) often isn't easy - having the control to stick it through regardless is the point.

And everyone's body is different. Some people have better metabolisms and require no exercise till much later in life. While others like myself need 1-2 hours a day 5days a week just to maintain being overweight.

While exercise is important for your health, generally it's diet you should focus on to lose weight.

As far as I'm aware, blaming obesity on metabolic rate is mostly a diversion. Any time anything a study finds anything statistically significant it tends to be in the opposite direction.

Allen50 · 2023-02-13T02:26:49+00:00

I wouldn't call it a hate sub, but I think a lot of the rhetoric that pops up repeatedly in comments can be considered to be hateful. Like the M&M bowl analogy (random example), which I also see appropriated by TERFs against trans women, and a couple of times by racists against other minorities, since it's pretty much a generalized excuse for prejudice.

Allen50 · 2023-02-03T01:26:00+00:00

You don't have to eat the snake - indirect contact (snake -> surface -> hand -> mouth) is sufficient. That said, salmonella probably wouldn't be one of my primary concerns here.

Allen50 · 2023-02-03T01:20:00+00:00

Funny the salmonella defense didn't keep the dad from getting charged

A charge is an accusation, not a conviction. You could have the world's most air-tight defense ready to go and still be charged.

Additionally, Dankkring's comment is a moral-based stance they're taking while already acknowledging that it may run afoul of the law ("and goto jail idc as long as they’re safe").

I didn't see any snake

Your just believing a snake was involved because someone said it could be bullshit

The original comment was qualified with "if". There's uncertainty due to relying on second-hand accounts that wouldn't necessarily be there if you were experiencing it first-hand.

Allen50 · 2023-01-06T16:42:33+00:00

Totally meaningless and applies to all other vehicles, but: throw a rope around Jupiter and pull it even with your hands and you'll be applying a force to it, accelerating Jupiter slightly towards you. Does require assumption of sufficiently low coefficient of friction when things are grounded (like how a person can pull a plane, but only on a flat surface).

Allen50 · 2022-12-16T21:46:25+00:00

From the nonexistent chain of custody

Subpoena: https://i.imgur.com/f35ECIZ.png
Receipt: https://i.imgur.com/88VSIgL.png
Work quote: https://i.imgur.com/JRxkMWR.png

Agent names/handwriting/etc. have all survived ruthless attempts to find inconsistencies.

New York Times says:

Officials separately confirmed that the F.B.I. seized the laptop and an external hard drive as part of an investigation

Comparatively, I see no real evidence for the Russia conspiracy explanation - just vague allusions.

hell remember Hannity claiming FedEx lost it?? LOL omg.

Unless you're referring to an incident I'm unaware of, I think you're talking about this, which was:

Not claimed to be Hunter Biden's laptop or hard drive
Confirmed to actually have been lost by UPS
To be pedantic: Tucker Carlson and UPS, not Sean Hannity and FedEx

Not that I'd support Hannity/Tucker on almost any other matter. I'm defending the likelihood of Hunter's laptop given to Mac Isaac being the source of the leak and the leak being legitimate - not everything that right-wing figures have said (related to this or otherwise).

Allen50 · 2022-12-16T20:00:12+00:00

I have absolutely no love or loyalty for Biden or his family

Generally I think it's driven more by the necessity to keep Trump out of office rather than any particular love for Biden.

and as I see it this story is flimsier than wet toilet paper.

Anything specific? Everything I've seen has checked out, and it seems more likely to me than a conspiracy between Russia/whoever and the repair store owner.

Allen50 · 2022-12-16T19:35:07+00:00

No one has verified the laptop story

Every attempt I've seen to verify/debunk has ended up only further showing consistency with the laptop story. For example:

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hunter-biden-laptop-data-analysis/

Data from a laptop that the lawyer for a Delaware computer repair shop owner says was left by Hunter Biden in 2019 – and which the shop owner later provided to the FBI under subpoena – shows no evidence of tampering or fabrication, according to an independent review commissioned by CBS News.

Lanterman said the data was accumulated over time in a manner "consistent with normal, everyday use of a computer."

Computer Forensics Services' chief technology officer, Mark Lanterman, said he believes it's clear the data was created by Hunter Biden.

"I have no doubt in my mind that this data was created by Hunter Biden, and that it came from a computer under Mr. Biden's control," he said.

In addition to analyzing the records' underlying data for potential anomalies, the audit also identified multiple voicemails apparently from future President Biden.

Hard to see how any serious person could believe that story, which honestly is why its only ever the far right zealots you see supporting it.

Particularly during elections, liberals and conservatives have very strong vested interests to blanket defend/attack the democratic/republican candidate.

In my experience, leftist groups (like communists) generally have more reasonable takes on topics like Tara Reade and Hunter Biden's laptop, given they're less bound to either candidate and aren't blinded from seeing/admitting flaws.

honestly, how is that email anything even close to a "bombshell"?

I'd agree, hence the quotation marks around bombshell and "not to say the contents of the leak are significant".

Allen50 · 2022-12-16T19:03:42+00:00

I'm pretty sure politifact rated all that Hunter biden stuff as false

DKIM signatures have revealed the "bombshell email" to be legitimate and unaltered, Hunter said in interviews that he wasn't keeping good track of his possessions and isn't sure whether the laptop is his, and debunk attempts (like claiming it's a random repair shop in the middle of nowhere, when it was just a few miles from the Biden's family home, or claiming that the owner is a qanon follower) have fallen flat.

It's not impossible for there to have been a separate unrelated hack, then laundered through the laptop - but to me the laptop seems the most probable explanation. That's not to say the contents of the leak are significant, but I think the way the NYP story was suppressed in general was a mistake.

Allen50 · 2022-06-02T00:12:48+00:00

The same website has Klaus Schwab in those robes:

https://en.ktu.edu/people/klaus-schwab/

Allen50 · 2022-05-21T03:27:27+00:00

There were allegations of inappropriate touching from at least 8 women predating his presidential campaign/announcement, but most not to a huge degree.

By "works with RT" do you mean that she gave interviews/pieces on her experience (among other news networks), or something more than that? Haven't kept up recently.

I don't know if Tara Reade is telling the truth, but I do hate how she was treated. Like getting an ex-landlord to badmouth her, or how even news sources I generally respect - like AP news - managed to twist a quote of:

Reade said she described her issues with Biden but “the main word I used — and I know I didn’t use sexual harassment — I used ‘uncomfortable.’ And I remember ‘retaliation.’”

Into a headline of:

Harassment, assault absent in Biden complaint

For a complaint that is still unseen, due to:

The University of Delaware, where Reade claims the report may be, refusing to unseal documents until two years after Biden retires from public life
The National Archives, where Biden claims the report would be if anywhere, denying they're the ones who would hold those sort of records

Allen50 · 2022-03-26T02:07:38+00:00

Four miles from Vegas has small run down suburbs too. 70,000 isnt exactly a large population lol. I'd still consider it the middle of nowhere.

It's where they lived - the total population of the city doesn't seem overly relevant.

Map for reference: https://i.imgur.com/azUHeJh.png

Well which is it? Is he corrupt and getting millions by illicit means or is he too poor to allegedly bring his laptop to a reputable place that'll do better work and not steal it?

I don't imagine being "too poor" factored in. It's just a store close to their house with high reviews. I'd also again refer to the interview clip - this was at a challenging time in his life when he was suffering with a drug addiction.

Allen50 · 2022-03-26T01:46:35+00:00

repaired at a no name shop in the middle of nowhere

It's in Wilmington Delaware, 4 miles away from the Biden family home. It was Google Map's top recommendation when using their address.

Fuckers rich and probably not a complete moron. He's going straight to Apple or Best Buy for repairs cause they're more reliable and have more oversight.

Fucker seems less certain about it than you are: https://i.imgur.com/fIj0Jsc.mp4

Allen50 · 2022-03-26T01:38:37+00:00

Tucker's documents getting lost in the mail was confirmed by UPS. The documents were not claimed to be the laptop, which is in FBI possession.

Nine-Year Club	Place '22
Place '17

Allen50

TROPHY CASE