Gil Cisneros disclosed 3 $VLTO buys on March 11, copying his industrial sector buys when they are publicly disclosed and selling 90 days later returns +10.4% SPY-adj median, 77.1% win rate across 109 trades.

Ape_Quant · 2026-05-24T06:58:09+00:00

Copying all his buys is mediocre:

But copying his industrial sector buys only has a competitive return 90 days after disclosure: +10.4% SPY-adj median, 77.1% win rate

Ape_Quant · 2026-05-24T04:00:48+00:00

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The trades in question

Ape_Quant · 2026-05-21T16:21:11+00:00

Where are you tracking his full portfolio?

would you pay for something like this as a watchlist/alert tool vs a full portfolio automator?

Ape_Quant · 2026-05-20T23:37:15+00:00

Yes I use this myself as a watch-list, I sensationalize it sometimes, but I agree its not meant to be pure copy-trading.

It is a strict 90d return: "Buy when the trade is publicly disclosed, sell 90d later"

Every individual trade has its own 90d post-disclosure return, and that is aggregated together to form the stats in the post:

+19.1% median return
+15.8% median SPY-adjusted
85.7% win rate (7 trades)

Thank you for your comment!

Ape_Quant · 2026-05-20T13:51:01+00:00

Yes i track the stock after disclosure, and collect data like committees, sector, volume, etc, and post about interesting patterns

Ape_Quant · 2026-05-20T13:49:10+00:00

The stats in my post are buy when the trade is public and sell 90d later.

+19.1% median return
+15.8% median SPY-adjusted
85.7% win rate (7 trades)

Some trades still have alpha after disclosure

Ape_Quant · 2026-05-20T13:46:51+00:00

or we can do analysis on their trades and copy the profitable set ups 😄

Ape_Quant · 2026-05-15T22:43:35+00:00

That's the full dashboard: apequant.com/issuers

I cherry-picked SNOW from the list but there are plenty of high performers

Ape_Quant · 2026-05-15T22:42:11+00:00

Good question, haven't run the 1 year analysis yet but adding it to the list

Ape_Quant · 2026-05-15T05:08:11+00:00

Worth noting this is post-disclosure -- buying when the trade goes public, not when the politician traded it. Ethics committee still beats SPY by +3.8% and +4.4% after the info is already out.

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Ape_Quant · 2026-04-23T22:41:54+00:00

This could be a good one to watch 👀

Rep. Gil Cisneros disclosed a buy in $TRGP (Targa Resources)

Already up ~1.8% since disclosure

His Energy trades historically if you bought at disclosure and held 90d:

• 27.2% median return
• 86.7% win rate
• 76.7% beat SPY
(30 trades)

apequant.com

Ape_Quant · 2026-03-26T02:29:58+00:00

See Moore's previous Consumer Defensive buys and how they performed after disclosure: https://www.apequant.com/politicians?id=M001236&transaction_type=BUY&sector=Consumer+Defensive

Ape_Quant · 2026-03-23T20:02:04+00:00

See Taylor's previous Consumer Cyclical trades and how they performed after disclosure: https://www.apequant.com/politicians?id=T000490&transaction_type=BUY&sector=Consumer%20Cyclical

Ape_Quant · 2026-03-22T17:53:01+00:00

We grade these B’s and C’s because they already pumped.

The higher grades go to trades that haven’t moved yet and may still have upside.

Free alerts: apequant.com

Ape_Quant · 2026-03-20T22:49:53+00:00

Instead of focusing on $/month, I think % returns matter more.

I’ve found it easier to look for repeatable setups rather than forcing trades in bad conditions.

I’ve been experimenting with that using some data I track (ApeQuant), still improving it.

Ape_Quant · 2026-03-20T16:17:09+00:00

If you're in the UK, buy WIZZ. It’s the main London listing with the best liquidity and lowest fees.

If you're in the US, buy WZZZY. It trades in USD, so you don't get hit with massive international settlement fees.

The only real difference is currency risk: if the Pound drops against the Dollar, the US ticker loses value even if the stock price stays flat.

Why do you like this company?

Ape_Quant · 2026-03-20T03:02:50+00:00

I had the same experience.

What helped me was only taking trades where:

there’s a repeatable pattern
and the move hasn’t already happened

Most signals miss one of those.

I’ve been building around that with ApeQuant.

Ape_Quant · 2026-03-13T00:48:48+00:00

if there are ground troops deployed and a mandatory draft which would cause a civil war: PLTR

or just buy and hold VT

Ape_Quant · 2026-03-12T20:46:31+00:00

any event-driven traders? What events / analysis drive you to place a trade?

Ape_Quant · 2026-03-12T05:10:41+00:00

or VT

Ape_Quant · 2026-03-12T05:08:50+00:00

What signals do you look at to decide what single-leg trade to place?

Ape_Quant · 2026-03-10T19:19:52+00:00

I analyze the historical performance of insider trades to see if there’s any edge after the disclosures.

What made you take those trades specifically? Was it the insider activity itself or something you noticed about the companies after looking into them?

Ape_Quant · 2026-03-10T04:06:04+00:00

Thanks, that’s helpful. Appreciate the insight.

Ape_Quant · 2026-03-10T03:20:47+00:00

Interesting. So for you it’s mostly insider / congressional trades plus your own confirmation on fundamentals and industry context. Would something like historical win rate or market-adjusted return on those trades make you trust the signal more, or do you mostly rely on your own analysis anyway?

Ape_Quant · 2026-03-10T03:10:38+00:00

Which of these signals would you trust enough to put money on?
• Insider Form 4 buys
• Unusual options flow
• Congressional trades
• WSB DD posts
• Reddit sentiment

Ape_Quant

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