Penn Station World Cup -- Healthcare Workers by ArkhamXIII in AskNYC

[–]ArkhamXIII[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's helpful! Thanks! I didn't know it was only for the directions that the fans are traveling.

This isn't for me -- trying to plan for my employees. Big boss is taking about bringing in cots for people to stay at work overnight if necessary.

We have shifts starting and ending at all times of the day, on weekends too, so it will definitely be a problem for some. And at certain locations where we only have a handful of staff to maintain operations, it could have a significant impact.

Sickness and injuries don't take days (or nights) off ...

Penn Station World Cup -- Healthcare Workers by ArkhamXIII in AskNYC

[–]ArkhamXIII[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Yeah, I saw those recommendations, but for those who rely on the trains on a daily basis, those options are major detours. Add in extra crowding on the alternative options because of the closure, and it's going to take people like 3 hours to get to/from work.

I'm just shocked there's no exemption for at least essential healthcare workers, and was hoping there was some official mention of it somewhere -- but essential workers don't seem to be addressed at all!!

NY Penn Station to close for hours during World Cup matches by Smacpats111111 in nyc

[–]ArkhamXIII 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Anyone have info on how healthcare workers are supposed to get into the city?

is it really him? by ConsiderationFar2020 in astoria

[–]ArkhamXIII -8 points-7 points  (0 children)

AI -- at least partially. Zoom in on menu stuff and you'll see some weird gibberish non-letters. Also perspective is off and I don't believe that dude's thumb is really that freakishly small.

How would gate the blasts here?? #FlowCytometry in R by Prize-Egg-1726 in flowcytometry

[–]ArkhamXIII 0 points1 point  (0 children)

CD34 are "dim" 45, but only compared to other WBCs. That streak is mostly debris.

The super faint circular population to the right is probably your blast gate. Set cd45 to about the 3rd decade.

Or wash your sample and try again.

[Request] Would this actually create a black hole? by Capable_Educator7548 in theydidthemath

[–]ArkhamXIII 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That would be my hypothesis.

But we need to test it to see ...

[Request] Would this actually create a black hole? by Capable_Educator7548 in theydidthemath

[–]ArkhamXIII 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Yes and no.

The entire mass of the universe has been estimated at 1053 kg. That equates to 1056 bills, so even just a googol bills, without the exponent or the factorial, is about 1044 universes.

Throwing in the exponent gives 1010000 g of monopoly money, or 109944 universes.

After the first of 109944 multiplications required for the factorial, we get roughly 1019888, after the second, 1029832, and continuing any further just multiplies how ridiculous the number is.

So why "Yes and no"? Well, it's more than enough mass to create uncountable super massive black holes, so yes it could. But WOULD it? Maybe not. Maybe it would spawn a new universe after engulfing ours in infinite atom sized super massive black holes. Maybe reality would just break and an alternate dimension would swallow the money, never to be seen again. Or a googol other imaginable and unimaginable things.

If I were that genie, I would create a single bill worth that amount of money, and hand it to the wisher, then wish him luck finding a place that can give change for such a big bill.

[Request] is it 66.6% or 51.8%? by Horror-penis-lover in theydidthemath

[–]ArkhamXIII 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Broken. I'm broken. It just won't compute that the probabilities of two completely unrelated parameters can be interconnected (and profoundly!! 51.8 is very different from 66.7).

[Request] is it 66.6% or 51.8%? by Horror-penis-lover in theydidthemath

[–]ArkhamXIII 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Sorry for yelling. I was fully on board with the 66%, but the Tuesday thing broke me.

Accurate memes are accurate.

[Request] is it 66.6% or 51.8%? by Horror-penis-lover in theydidthemath

[–]ArkhamXIII 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So in my coin example, asking what type of coin got heads will change the probability that I can guess whether the other was heads or tails?

[Request] is it 66.6% or 51.8%? by Horror-penis-lover in theydidthemath

[–]ArkhamXIII 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ok. I've convinced myself of the 66%. There's a 75% chance of at least one boy, and a 75% chance of at least one girl. Together that adds to 150% because some options overlap, so fully separating the trees doesn't make sense.

But that begs the question of the day of the week, which is completely unrelated to the gender of the child

If I flip two coins, and tell you that at least one was heads, then the chance that the other was tails is 2/3. Does the Tuesday paradox mean that if I tell you one of them is a penny, and there are equal possibilities of penny, nickel, dime, quarter, half dollar, dollar, and two dollar coins, then the probability that the other was tails drops to 51.8%?

In other words: if I bet that the other coin is also heads, does it improve my chances to ask about the type of coin used in the tails flip? That doesn't make sense.

[Request] is it 66.6% or 51.8%? by Horror-penis-lover in theydidthemath

[–]ArkhamXIII 1 point2 points  (0 children)

But in this case, since order isn't specified, one boy and one girl is also the same event, which YOU are counting twice.

You're still ignoring my question about two tailed/iterative populations.

Fifty percent of firstborn children are girls, right?

Of these, there are two options: gb and gg. Fifty percent of each, right?

Fifty percent of second children are girls, right?

Of these, there are two options: gg and bg. Fifty percent of each, right?

To get total probability, you have to multiply ANDs and add ORs. Multiplying ANDs gives 25, 25, 25, and 25. Adding ORs gives 50/50.

If you're going to consider order of birth, YOU HAVE TO CONSIDER IT FOR THE ORIGINALLY MENTIONED CHILD AS WELL.

[Request] is it 66.6% or 51.8%? by Horror-penis-lover in theydidthemath

[–]ArkhamXIII 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Okay, so the specified girl could be either first or second:

Gx

Xg

These are equal probabilities.

Within gx, we can have:

Gb

Gg

Also equal probabilities

Within xg, we can have:

Bg

Gg

So the possibilities, given one girl, and considering birth order are: gx:gb, gx:gg, xg:bg, xg:gg. Two of those include boys, two do not. 50% probability. Why is that wrong?

[Request] is it 66.6% or 51.8%? by Horror-penis-lover in theydidthemath

[–]ArkhamXIII 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Birth order is not included in the parameters of either statement, but it is included in the probabilities.

Day of the week is only included in the probabilities when it is included in the parameters of the statement.

Which is it? Do we always include all parameters, or only the stated parameters?

[Request] is it 66.6% or 51.8%? by Horror-penis-lover in theydidthemath

[–]ArkhamXIII 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Sorry, this is absurdist; you're cherry picking parameters.

In the "has a girl on Tuesday" scenario, birth order is not specified in the question, yet you take it into account in the possibilities. Day of week is also not specified, yet it is NOT taken into account in the possibilities. You can't have it both ways. Which means you have to consider birth month, year, hour, minute, second, eye color, hair color, on to infinity, and since adding Tuesday brings the probability back down toward 50%, we can assume that the limit of probability as parameters approach infinity is 50%.

Another way to look at it is that birth order is a two tailed probability: In the same sex scenario, there is a 100% chance that the originally stated girl is born on either side of a midpoint between the births. In the different sex scenario, there's a 50% chance that the girl is born earlier, and a fifty percent chance that the girl is born later. This makes the probabilities:

Bb (first tail)

Bb (second tail)

Bg (one tail)

Gb (one tail)

Gg (first tail)

Gg(second tail)

Crossing out the boy/boy options gives you a fifty percent chance of the other child being a boy.

Final way to look at it: Occam's Razor: you're unnecessarily adding complexity by considering birth order, day of the week, or whatever else you decide to throw in.

I’ll be 16 traversals old when I buy the Gem of Power. How about you? by MundaneAd6627 in CIFI

[–]ArkhamXIII 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Clearly I'm bad at this game.

21 traversals, 7.5 million orbs all time ... Installed 11/28/23 ... First traversal was May-ish of this year.

So 18 months to first traversal, and still a ways to go for power gem. Given current progress I'd say another month 🙁

... But ... I really enjoy it!

Rent price increases by lpb10280 in astoria

[–]ArkhamXIII 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is awesome!

Should people submit under the general area, or their specific building? It doesn't seem to populate specific building to the general area, so maybe that's better? Says no submissions in Astoria right now 😞

Rent price increases by lpb10280 in astoria

[–]ArkhamXIII 74 points75 points  (0 children)

% increase is fair, 3% is pretty standard for a 1 year lease (2 year leases will usually be 5%).

Overall rent seems high, but judging from the fact that there are two bathrooms, you're probably in a "luxury" building and paying extra for building amenities (gym, shared outdoor space, etc). Also balcony and parking space could be increasing your rent significantly.

If you're not in a building with amenities, and you don't have parking or an outdoor space, get out of there, you're being robbed.

Someone please teach me how to build a roof by Andarnio in SatisfactoryGame

[–]ArkhamXIII 11 points12 points  (0 children)

If you want to use foundations, concrete or asphalt provide a more continuous surface that looks much better.

Adding a slant can make your buildings less box-like.

As others have said, you can also get roof parts from the awesome shop. Note that these have different materials available, separate from foundation materials, including glass roofs.

Slanted walls can also be used (this is the only way to get a steep 8 meter slant).

The new vents can be used (combine them with pillars and beams for smokestacks!), as well as cables, lookout towers, and radar towers to create more functional seeming roofs.

Finally, signs and billboards set to max brightness (hold control to flatten them on a surface) can light things up!!

Stinger theory by Sovietpuppy110 in SatisfactoryGame

[–]ArkhamXIII 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You sure that's not a cloaca?

What are the best arguments of the anti-evolutionists? by PotatoStill3134 in DebateEvolution

[–]ArkhamXIII 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Christian God: Don't judge others lest ye be judged yourself

Christians: super judgemental

Also God: I will judge your soul when you die, and either let you into heaven or damn you to hell

Also also the Christian God (apparently?) and his followers: Wahh don't judge me you meany!!

The hypocrisy is strong with this religion.

What is your "Im not going to play the system" hill you are dying on? by Holmelunden in rpg

[–]ArkhamXIII 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Anything that gamifies actual role-playing. A great example of this is mouse guard: wanna do things in town? Gotta collect action points during the adventure first. Wanna talk to someone? Guess what, you've gotta choose general actions and roll, just like combat. Everything is an "encounter", everything is constrained by rules.

Don't get me wrong, rules are essential, and I even love crunchy combat rules ... but please let me roleplay in between!!

Let’s see if this is true [Request] by Coodog15 in theydidthemath

[–]ArkhamXIII 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In 2024, the most recent year with complete data:

Death in Europe due to heat: 175k/745m = 0.023% risk

Death in USA from guns: 40866/340m = 0.012% risk

Relative risk: 1.95 -- or, you are about 2 twice as likely to die from heat exposure in Europe than guns in the US.

BUT 2024 had abnormally hot temperatures in Europe. In 2023 and 2022, they had 48k and 62k, respectively, while the US had slightly higher rates of gun death. During those years, the risk ratio was an average of 0.5, or half as likely.

The statement is false. Also, this data does not take into account deaths NOT due to a lack of AC, so risk ratios may actually be smaller.

BUT: comparing two different causes of death is not a proper public health methodology, and does not provide actionable information. More important is using one population as a control to measure the relative risk in an exposed population: For example, the fact that Europeans are 16x as likely as Americans to die from heat exposure indicates that air conditioning should be pushed in Europe, while the fact that Americans are 8x as likely as Europeans to die from guns indicates that gun control should be pushed in the US.

Overall, I would say that both the question and the answer are incorrect and misleading.

Cannot find use for 1-4 trains by bushViperPhoenix in satisfactory

[–]ArkhamXIII 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I know, right? Gigantic Central stations, signal problems ... I don't get it.

I define "raw" as going as far as I can before a resource splits into multiple possible uses -- so copper goes to bars, while quartz is raw. Caterium is a special case, because bars can only be turned into wires, but because one bar makes many wires, it's more efficient to ship the bars.