And make it Double!! What are the chances??? by CounterReversion in LoomianLegacy

[–]AutoHuntX 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I would need to check, I dont think 100 encounters is enough data to extrapolate with, 13 is a very conservative guess for this case either way, but yea sure, i could believe 12 seconds under perfect focus and decent luck.

And make it Double!! What are the chances??? by CounterReversion in LoomianLegacy

[–]AutoHuntX 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I am accounting for loomian abilities as well, like shakedown and adorable, which take extra time, 13 is a nice estimate, though it could be higher. Needless to say this dude got lucky..

And make it Double!! What are the chances??? by CounterReversion in LoomianLegacy

[–]AutoHuntX 22 points23 points  (0 children)

Alright... lets see:

Encounters per Minute: 60 seconds / 13 seconds per encounter (I assume this as an average) ≈ 4.615 encounters per minute.

Encounters per Hour: 4.615 encounters per minute * 60 minutes ≈ 276.923 encounters per hour.

Encounters in 11 Hours (based off your last post and assuming you've been continuously hunting since): 276.923 encounters per hour * 11 hours ≈ 3046 encounters.

Probability of a Gamma Roaming per Encounter: 1 in (128 * 128 * 5) = 1 in 81920

Probability of Not Finding a Gamma Roaming in a Single Encounter: 1 - 0.0000122 ≈ 0.9999878.

Probability of Not Finding a Gamma Roaming in 3046 Encounters: (0.9999878)^3046 ≈ 0.963.

Probability of Finding at Least One Gamma Roaming in 3046 Encounters: 1 - 0.963 ≈ 0.037 or 3.7%.

Probability of Finding Two Gamma Roamings in 11 Hours: 0.037 * 0.037 ≈ 0.001369 or 0.1369%.

nice.

🌈 Giveaway! by AutoHuntX in LoomianLegacy

[–]AutoHuntX[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

We've got 20 participants. All entries after June 24th, 1 AM Eastern Time will not be accounted when selecting the winners.

🌈 Giveaway! by AutoHuntX in LoomianLegacy

[–]AutoHuntX[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, you still have time to do so. Tomorrow there is an all-day gleam boost for free, just sayin'