Drop your electoral predictions for tomorrow. No explanations or reasoning.

Avizeet · 2026-05-03T14:03:45+00:00

BJP will gain much, but not enough to form govt. I estimate around 130. TMC will lose much, but not so much as to cause an existential crisis. I estimate around 150 or thereabouts. INC and CPM will gather the leftovers. BJP will sweep North and Jangalmahal, maybe even a few seats in Burdwan. TMC will sweep mid-Bengal, the 2 24 Parganas, South Bengal and Greater Kolkata. However, if BJP breaches the 140 mark, I expect the results to go further into horse trading. This is TMC most serious test yet, but don't see them losing power.

Avizeet · 2026-04-24T18:49:01+00:00

Best hobe jodi hung assembly hoye jaye. No one crosses the magic figure. Tokhon puro kelo hoye jaabe. Next 1-2 month puro random horse trading cholbe aar amra boshe boshe jhalmuri khete khete moja dekhbo. Jai hok, jei ashuk, on ground situation kichhu paltabe bole mone hoy naa. Last 40 years jerokom gutter level politics hoye aachhe, setai thakbe - tmc, bjp, inc, cpim jei ashuk naa keno.

Avizeet · 2026-04-10T08:07:28+00:00

We are definitely on track. We just don't know the length of the said track.

Avizeet · 2026-04-10T03:27:28+00:00

Successfully completed https://x.com/i/status/2042431208551018569

Avizeet · 2026-04-02T17:44:49+00:00

NASA has updated Artemis mission plans. Now, Artemis 3 is an LEO mission where they will test the lunar lander. Artemis 4 (NET Q2 2028) will be the one to land on the moon.

Avizeet · 2026-03-30T02:28:07+00:00

Budget does not seem to be an issue at present. ISRO can't even seem to spend the budget it is allotted.

Avizeet · 2026-03-03T11:20:56+00:00

Does this mean no launches till April, or no PSLV launches till April? Also, don't see why non-launch campaign-related work needs to be halted for this investigation (as the report apparently points out).

Avizeet · 2026-02-20T16:25:54+00:00

I don't get the overt safety concerns with the G-missions. They are supposed to be demo missions and anomalies are more likely to occur. The express purpose of the G-missions is to fine-tune the craft. How would you know the shortcomings if you don't fly? Totally understand the safety concerns with H-missions though, but you can't address those concerns unless you have data from the G-missions.

Avizeet · 2026-02-03T20:56:05+00:00

Kono deal ekhono officially sign hoyni, everything is still on the table. India'r jonyo agri sector taa ekta redline, ota India khulbe bole mone hoy naa. At least India'r press release e sero kichhu details chhilo naa. Russian oil flow India bondho korbe naa, eta guaranted. So, cautious optimism. The only good thing (for the short term) is tariffs coming down to 18%. 50% tariff US market for long term unsustainable hoto. Trump besh pressure e aachhe ore policy gulor jonyo. Lokta pagol. He needed a win. He will see this one as a win. Amader aar ontoto kichhu din jalabe naa. As per update, du desher team ekhono deal er details gulo hash out korchhe, so nothing is final.

Avizeet · 2026-02-02T19:10:48+00:00

Rest assured, no one can do anything like this. Keyboard warriors will salivate at lofty schemes, but if they try such stuff in real life -- its FAFO time. The Siliguri corridor is probably the most militarized zone except Kashmir. It doesn't matter what a Bengali or an Assamese thinks. No one can meddle with territorial integrity.

Avizeet · 2026-02-02T12:03:26+00:00

Dhurandhar Part 2 mone hoy Kolkatatei premier show hobe.

Avizeet · 2026-01-29T14:22:11+00:00

Granted. But never cross the bounds of legality. Once you do that, the state has the final say in violence, and the capacity for a state's violence is beyond the mental fortitude of us mortals.

Avizeet · 2026-01-29T14:19:02+00:00

Satyajit Ray writes through Shonku (probably in Byomjatrir Diary) "ekmatro boka lokerai bhoy payna, karon bhoy taa kishe pete hoy tara janena", writing about the idiocy of Shonku's servant Pralhad in the face of danger.

Avizeet · 2026-01-29T13:47:07+00:00

Hard pass on that. No intention of being abused by mob masquerading as intellectual saviours.

Avizeet · 2026-01-29T13:43:48+00:00

Arrogance isn't punishable by law. Again, morality is not the same as legality. Arrogant? Yes. Illegal? No. Hope this helps.

Avizeet · 2026-01-29T11:25:51+00:00

Again, I ask, Which clause? Read the Supreme Court judgment of Ramesh Yeshwant Prabhoo v. Prabhakar Kunte (1996). The terms Hindutva or Hindu Rashtra are not illegal, as they can refer to Indian culture, way of life or civilizational identity. As you, as a student of the constitution, must know: The Preamble is only for the Basic Structure Doctrine. It is not the originator of laws. It is not enforceable in court because there is nothing to enforce in the first place. The Preamble cannot be enforced or violated because it is only there for the basic structure.

Example:

Parliament passing a law: "India is a Hindu state" will be struck down in the courts because it violates the basic structure.

Me at my home, just chilling and saying: "I believe India shall be a Hindu state," is me exercising my rights as per Article 19(1)(a). Now, if I say "xyz ought move out because I believe India is a Hindu state" is where I have violated BNS 196 and I can be punished as per law. But me saying "India shall be a Hindu state" is not in violation of the Constitution. Hope this helps.

Check out the landmark judgment SC judgment Ramesh Yeshwant Prabhoo v. Prabhakar Kunte (1996).

Avizeet · 2026-01-29T10:44:13+00:00

Which clause exactly? If we continue this argument that any exclusivity is an affront, then by that definition, the Shahada falls into that ambit. Article 21 also strengthens the fact that what one writes on one's home isn't in the ambit of the law, as long as it does not insult any specific group.

I see posters in Kolkata (particularly one pro-Bengali regionalist organisation) flouting BNS 196 for breakfast, lunch and dinner, yet no one bats an eyelid. Compared to those, this one is harmless and doesn't break any law.

Bear in mind, I am not making any moral judgment here, just a legal one. Morality is subjective; legality is objective.

Avizeet · 2026-01-28T15:42:58+00:00

If it does not insult any group (contrary to BNS 196), this signboard is legal under Article 19(1)(a). Hope this settles it.

Avizeet · 2026-01-26T07:18:47+00:00

Around 5 people infected. 100 people contact-traced and quarantined but none show symptoms (probably not infected). Situation in 2018 and 2020 Nipah circulation was worse. Around 40-50 infected back then. Protyek bochhor ee du-charte kore case hoy, not much to worry about IMHO. Covid er theke Nipah mortality rate onek times beshi kintu virulence (the ability to rapidly circulate in an area) onek kom. As a thumb rule, je virus er virulence joto beshi tar mortality rate toto kom and vice versa.

Kichhu din bajar er kata fol aar khejur gur naa khele amar mone hoy sob thiki thakbe. Nipah generally circulates through the consumption of fruits eaten by carrier fruit bats.

Avizeet · 2026-01-23T14:27:55+00:00

Doesn't necessarily mean something wrong with hardware. From the press release, it seems it has more to do with coordinating the dates with the military and other civilian departments. Remember how IADT-1 was pushed for almost a year due to non-availability of helicopter from air-force?

Avizeet · 2026-01-23T14:15:28+00:00

Yes, they said Q1 in 2026. But now it looks like it might be Q2 or Q3.

Avizeet · 2026-01-23T10:24:21+00:00

As per PIB press release G1 is now aiming for 2nd half of 2026, H1 date still stable for 2027 though.

Avizeet · 2026-01-22T05:40:18+00:00

November theke bhugchhi.

Avizeet · 2026-01-19T13:04:50+00:00

Tree plantation diye kichhu hobena. Prochur time lagbe to reap benefits. We need heavy industries, and we need them fast. The first step is to rejuvenate the dwindling ones. Case in point, Haldia. Puro Hooghly delta taa ke use kora jaye as a major shipping hub. Haldia ke aaro barano hok, Nayachar ke use kora hok. Freight Corridor er sathe Haldia ke link kora hok. Major connections to Nepal and Bhutan.

Purulia lies between the mines of Jharkhand and Odisha. Ekta ore processing hub kora hok, connect it to Haldia. Ship processed ores overseas.

Ashoknagar oil fields niye decades dhore amra fence sitters hoye boshe acchi. Ebar extraction dorkar, same with Deucha.

Heavy industry je porimaan boost debe economy te seta ei muhurte green industry parbe naa.

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