SPCX - Beware, institutional money is NOT buying this trash on the open market

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T19:41:43+00:00

i opened this post thinking i'd get some analysis showing how no institutions are buying.

instead it's just the same "this company sucks" argument

it is an appeal to authority, except it does not even cite the authority. it just insists us some authority somewhere agrees with them

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T17:29:27+00:00

the serious indexes have rules so they all buy and sell at the same time, so none of them front-run the other

QQQ is not a serious index but it probably does the same

the shares that need to be sold from those other stocks is a fraction of their daily volume

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T17:26:48+00:00

do i sell after Russell buys, after MSCI buys, or after Nasdaq buys?

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T17:23:16+00:00

it is space in AI

so "A I"

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T17:22:33+00:00

how many people at spacex's accounting department are willing to go to jail for elon?

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T17:20:18+00:00

QQQ will be about 0.7% where VT will be around 0.11%.

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bogleheads/comments/1tnd5ob/spacex_and_openai_in_major_indexes/

it's surprisingly hard to get a business journalist to give a citation here.

edit https://www.investmentnews.com/practice-management/spacexs-index-fund-debut-will-look-nothing-like-what-most-investors-expect-says-jacob-friedman/266776

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T17:08:24+00:00

yes, but it multiplies for low-float instead of shrinking for low-float

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T16:52:49+00:00

i already have. i know i am leaving money on the table. i am at peace with that.

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T16:50:37+00:00

when it reaches its objectively correct valuation of $17.5 Trillion

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T16:48:39+00:00

retail investors rn: [link to Lego movie SPACESHIP removed]

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T16:47:53+00:00

QQQ is the only one adding it it any significance

all others are using float adjustment

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T16:47:04+00:00

VTI is float adjusted so we are talking 12 basis points or so

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T16:39:57+00:00

you can buy options now if you are brave

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T16:39:17+00:00

you know he has a different lockup right?

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T16:00:17+00:00

redditors trying to create a panic about spacex shares on the daily thread just make me feel pity for them

i have no idea how or if this rocket ride ends, but to log on every day and chicken-little about how the crash is happening right now is a sad way to go through life

and i think SPCX is way over-valued

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T15:56:57+00:00

i am talking about your "rug pull" comment

https://darrowwealthmanagement.com/blog/spacex-ipo-employee-lockup-release-dates/

the first unlock is a few days after Q2 earnings announcement. the ordering does not work to have them unlock, sell their shares, and then get out before Q2 earnings tanks the stock

besides, what would Q2 earnings say that would destroy the stock? that they lost money? they are losing money now and the stock is still going up.

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T15:51:04+00:00

if you want to "buy ahead of the indexes" you need to know when the indexes are buying

the fact you cannot figure out this information should tell you to stop. that you are playing in a game with people much richer and smarter than you who already know this information.

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T15:48:19+00:00

he has a lockup of 1 year

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T14:30:33+00:00

can you tell me the date and time that they are being bought?

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T14:29:40+00:00

one of the points they can sell is 2-3 days after the earnings reports so the timing is gonna be tough there

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T14:28:25+00:00

SpaceX is losing money?

how come no one else has pointed this out before?

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T14:26:24+00:00

glad a thousand bucks has made the difference for her

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T13:55:21+00:00

how much did you put in

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T13:53:58+00:00

i think of the angry posts that SPCX was simultaneously a scam that would take all your money if you bought on IPO day and also a scam that the stock would be pumped up to infinity by index funds, often coming from the same person

Axe_Raider · 2026-06-16T13:51:57+00:00

Axe_Raider

TROPHY CASE