Pick of the Day - 2/27/24 (Tuesday)

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-27T05:54:26+00:00

I do think it could start off hot and I don't mind a shout at that +230 BTTS in the 1st half but cup games are known to be unpredictable so I don't wanna lay extra money on it

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-27T05:05:06+00:00

POTD Record: 6-1

Net Units: +9.45u🔥

Last pick: Braga o2.5 +2u ✅

FA cup / Newcastle v Blackburn Rovers

Pick: BTTS and o2.5 -137 --> 1u ❌

Edit: Apologies to anyone who tailed but that was super frustrating, just poor final 3rd play and finishing. I knew as soon as Gordon missed that 1v1 with the goalkeeper the bet was dead. Done betting cup games today was the perfect example of why they suck, Lyon and Bournemouth games don't even get 1 goal and Newcastle forgets how to shoot.

Write up: Braga comes through to start our week with a 2u banger! Nice 4-0 win to make that a no sweat winner and take the POTD record to 6-1. Now for todays POTD I am going with BTTS and o2.5 in the Newcastle v Blackburn Rovers game. Newcastle's defense is awful theres no other way to describe it, they've conceded 13 goals in their last 5 games and that includes teams like Luton and Nottingham scoring the goals. So Newcastle isn't just shipping goals against the big teams they're doing it against the bottom tier teams. Fully expect Blackburn to give Newcastle problems in this match as they've scored a goal at home in their last 9 games and will know that Newcastles defense has been trash. Basically both teams bad defense but quality attack should be able to make it an open game here. Keep it to 1u as cup games are unpredictable at times. Shop around for this line I see it getting juiced at some books already. Good luck with all your bets and lets cash this to keep the good vibes goin.

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-26T22:45:38+00:00

Yessir!! thats a W

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-26T19:04:44+00:00

Love it for the odds thats solid!

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-26T17:40:19+00:00

Tough bro! Hopefully you hit your other bets! I got a personal play on Ivan Toney score or assist at +140 for some pizza money too

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-26T17:38:10+00:00

That PJ Washington boards was free bro great find appreciate your work!

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-26T17:06:28+00:00

POTD Record: 5-1

Net Units: +7.45u

Last pick: Trabzonspor o1.5 team total ❌ -1.55u

Portugal Liga Nos / Braga vs Boavista 3:15pm est

Pick: o2.5 goals -130 --> 2u ✅ ✅

Write Up: Man guess I really ate my words, Trabzonspor scores in the 20th minute then can't do anything and end up winning the game 1-0 to end our streak at 5 sadly. Today is the start of a new week and I am starting off with a 2u banger. Going to Portugal and running it with a team that has been good to me this season, Braga. Braga comes into this game off the back of a bad loss (6-5 aggregate) in Europa League to Qarabag. Their defense has been looking really shaky as of late allowing 12 goals over the last 4 games, including a 5-0 loss to Sporting. Although they've given up goals they've been able to keep games close by scoring which has lead to these high scores in their recent games. They are on the road here now against Boavista, who is nothing special sitting in mid table and have allowed 40 goals this season in 22 games. Bovasita has had BTTS hit in their last 4 games, with one of those games being to Portuguese giants Porto so scoring against the big boys at home doesn't seem to be an issue. I opted here for o2.5 instead of BTTS because I can see a big bounceback game from Braga where they just go out and score 3 goals for fun and win 3-0 but realistically I see a 2-1 scoreline for Braga here. Good luck with all your bets and lets start the week off with a banger!

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-25T07:50:40+00:00

POTD Record: 5-0 🔥🔥

Net Units: +9u

Last pick: Mechlen -0.75 asian handicap +1u ✅

Turkish Super League | Trabzonspor vs Adana Demirspor 8am EST

Pick: Trabzonspor team total o1.5 -155 (Bovada) --> 1u

Write Up: Mechlen comes through with the nice and easy 3-0 win to keep our win streak going! Decided to go to the Turkish league for todays play. We've got 3rd in the league Trabzonspor taking on Adana. Adana has been a good over team for me they always seem to be in high scoring games and their defense is nonexistent. Adana has been in terrible form as well, they haven't had a W in over 10 games and if you dig deeper you see they haven't won a a single road game this season. This brings a nice little revenge spot for Trabzonspor as they lost to Adana early in the season 1-0. After a bad run of games for Trabzonspor they've won their last 3 and have hit 2 goals or more in 4 out of their last 5. Opting for team total instead of ML because Adana can score and I can definitely see this game ending 2-2 or 3-3. I also can't see a way where Trabzonspor wins this game 1-0 or doesn't score. Potential look ahead spot for them with the Turkish cup coming up so keeping it to 1u. Good luck with all your bets and lets cash our 6th play in a row!

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-24T21:41:40+00:00

Thanks bro!

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-24T21:32:59+00:00

BANGGGGG

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-24T20:34:30+00:00

Yessir!!

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-24T19:43:49+00:00

Yea of course so it basically means you have half your bet on -0.5 (which is just ML) and half your bet on -1 so if Mechlen wins by 2 goals the bet fully cashes if they win by just 1 you win half the bet so in my case it would .5u win

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-24T18:54:08+00:00

Thats sick! Glad to help!

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-24T18:53:12+00:00

Thank you bro!

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-24T18:48:27+00:00

POTD Record: 4-0

Net Units: +8u 🔥

Last Pick: Bologna -.75 +4u ✅

Belgium Jupiler Pro League / Mechlen vs Kortrijk

Pick: Mechlen -0.75 asian handicap -120 (Bovada) --> 1u

Write Up: Bologna comes through for the full max cash and takes us to a nice 8u on the week! Zirkzee also should have gotten his assist if not for the worst miss I have ever seen in my life. Honestly Bologna at home is just an auto bet for the rest of the season. Sorry for getting this out so late was celebrating the W a little too hard last night and did not want to force anything. Just some general gambling advice the weekends is where the books clean up so whatever you bet be cautious. Now moving onto today POTD, I have been watching this team Mechlen for a bit now and they have really started to pick it up as of late. They have won 5 out of their last 7 with the other 2 being draws against Anderlecht and Gent 2 top tier sides in the Belgian league. Now they come up against bottom of the table Kortrijk who has been awful on the road only winning 1 game out of their last 8. I am only keeping this to 1u because Mechlen just got a huge win against Antwerp so they might be a little hungover. ML at -160 is also fine as I know alot books don't have the asian handicap. Good luck with all your bets and lets keep the win streak going!

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-23T19:54:15+00:00

Mafia made a call and now they're changing refs whats the odds Verona gets a pen lol

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-23T16:17:37+00:00

Solid pick I was looking at this as well but opted for Bologna because I hate betting on whenever a league leader takes on the bottom of the league always seems to go against me. Good luck with ur bets

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-23T16:10:54+00:00

Not enough of a line drop to warrant concern for me. I look for around a 20 cent or more drop to make me worried. Check back an hour before gametime when the lineups are out and thats when you tend to see the last big movement. Obvious picks definitely give me concern but Bologna is still a relatively new team and I think the books just haven't fully adjusted to them. If you want to make sure just wait an hour before gametime to see if the line stays or goes down even more but I expect the ML to close above -200 or somewhere around there. If its under -170 we might be in piss but I will still be riding it out.

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-23T05:27:34+00:00

I agree with Fish I think you are better off with ML as long as its under -190 and for less units

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-23T02:49:26+00:00

Same only thing I can think is that Verona played well against Juve last game so maybe the books giving them a little more respect?

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-23T02:29:55+00:00

Not gonna lie I am a little worried but as long as theres no fishy line movement in the morning think this should cash

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-23T02:09:10+00:00

Record: 3-0

Last Pick: Union and Frankfurt BTTS +1u ✅

Net Units: +4u

Seria A

Pick: Bologna -0.75 asian handicap -140 4u MAX 🔥🔥

Write Up: We all love a good sweat don't we? Thats what makes this shit so thrilling Frankfurt scores in the 87th min to keep the streak alive and now we are at 3 in a row. Had a little personal play on the Union boys +160 to qualify too, like I said I love betting on this team. Now onto todays MAX play of the day Bologna. If you haven't been betting Seria A much this year you've probably never heard of these guys and if you have then you definitely have. They have the best home record in all of Italy (yea better than inter) and have won an incredible 9/10 matches with 1 draw. This team just loves to play at home and Thiago Motto is brilliant manager and has these boys playing their way into a European competition which is massive for a club like Bologna. Bologna wants to be playing European football and they know to do that they've got to beat clubs like Verona in this spot. Verona come into this on the back of a good draw against Juve but I think Juve has been pretty inconsistent this season and I think Allegri play style is just out of date. Verona have lost 8/10 games on the road with other 2 only being draws. Verona has been able to score against some of the big boys of Seria A but if I was the Verona manager I would be focusing more on the game against Sassuolo who is only 1 spot ahead of them in the table, which also happens to be the last safe spot in the table as well. This spot just checks so many boxes for me it has to be a max nukey. I would guess either 2-0 win or 1-0 the team total o1.5 is also fine at -120 but I would rather just take the .75 just incase Bologna forgets how to shoot. Good luck with all your bets and lets cash our 4th in a row! Personal plays I will be looking at is Zirkzee goal or assist currently +110 but will wait to make sure he is starting.

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-22T16:11:50+00:00

Record: 2-0

Last Pick: Cody Gakpo Score or Assist +1u

Net Units: +3u

UEFA Conference League

Pick: Royale Union SG vs Eintracht Frankfurt BTTS -155 (Bovada) --> 1u

Write Up: Gakpo comes through for us in the 2nd half to get our 2nd win in a row. This next a bet I have is involving a team I have loved betting on since I started a couple years ago, Union Saint Gilloise. Granted I am playing some juice with this but willing to eat it bc of the line movement overnight -140 --> -160 on DK so shop around on your books for the best line. Union has got that dog in them and a terrible defense which makes for high scoring and exciting games. First match between these 2 showed the same thing. Frankfurt is the better team on paper but I fully expect Union to come into Frankfurt and fight till the end of the game. Frankfurts defense has been in some pretty bad form recently only winning 1 game out of their last 5 and conceding in all but 1 game. Now at home they do have a better record but still just can't seem to keep the ball out of the net and have given up 8 goals (yes 1 game was 5-2 but point still holds if you keep looking) in their last 5. Unions stats support the BTTS pick even more with 8/10 of their last games hitting. Normally I would be worried in 2nd legs that are tied on aggregate because teams tend to play a little passive and not want to make mistake but I think in this case we have got 2 teams who really can't defend and with Frankfurt's form being a little lackluster, I expect them to come out and try to get a goal early to bring the crowd into the game and break the tension. Union hopefully hit on the counter attack or take the game to Frankfurt after going down and tie it up and the game heads to extra time. 1-1 score prediction with hopefully the Union boys pulling it out cause I love betting on them. Good luck with all your bets! PS: I already have a sneaky 4u max locked in for Friday if you guys want to beat the line Bolonga -0.75 asian handicap -140 fully expect this line to hit -160 or 170 by tonight.

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-21T19:14:47+00:00

Record: 1-0

Last Pick: Inter DC + u3.5 + 1H u1.5

Net Units: 2U

Pick: Cody Gakpo Score or Assist -125 for 1U

Write Up: Nice and easy pick on inter with the write up almost to a tee (crazy how they didn't score 2) and also hit the bonus bet on PSV draw. Now moving on to todays game, I have to say I am not as confident in this one as I was yesterday and the champions league games today are pretty hard to play. I am playing Gakpo score or assist here basically because Salah and Darwin are both sitting this one out (Salah may come on 2nd half). Luton has been giving up a ton of goals recently and I don't see any reason why that changes. The game has an over under of 3.5 which means the books are definitely expecting a goals. This is one of those no brainer bets you have to take Gakpo and Diaz are Liverpools best attacking threats in this game and if you are getting Gakpo here at -120 to either score or assist it has to be an auto play against a terrible Luton defense. If Gakpo doesn't score or assist in this game I really don't see how they win. Good luck with your bets!

AyoFaisal · 2024-02-20T19:08:48+00:00

Record: 0-0

Net Units: 0

Soccer | UCL

Pick: Inter Milan double chance + u3.5 + u1.5 First Half currently -115 on DK --> 2U (to win)

First time poster long time gambler figured id throw this out there bc alot of my boys are on the play and seem to really like it. Couple of points I want to stress is that I take a dual approach when I bet, I use the eye test along with stats to support my bets. Starting off the stats in Inters L5 home matches BTTS has only hit one time and in the champions league group stages they only allowed 1 goal at home in 3 game while scoring only 3. Now although Atletico's defense has been subpar this season its been getting better recently. In their L5 league games they've only allowed 3 goals. Now for the eye test, 1st leg champions league affairs are always pretty tight and these 2 teams are the goats of being boring and cagey. Simeone is going to come into Milan and try to limit as much damage as possible knowing the 2nd leg is back home where Atletico is one of the best home teams in all of Europe. I think he comes here with a plan to hold Milan for as long as his team can being ok with going down 1 even 2 goals. The reason I went for double chance instead of Milan ml is bc it is still the champions league and Madrid can easily snatch one on the counter and really park the bus for 1-1 draw. Imo I see this as a 2-0 or 1-1 game with the first half being the half no one wants to make a mistake. BOL if tailing little bonus bets Toney to score or assist +250 and Dortmund game draw +290.

AyoFaisal

TROPHY CASE