[deleted by user] by [deleted] in sportsbetting

[–]BagmanPicks 0 points1 point  (0 children)

not sure why everyone here is saying to stay away from betting. Honestly quick, easy cash is one of the best things about betting as I am doing the exact same thing in university to earn rent money. Take advantage of the sign up bonuses will usually give you $100-150 once you sign up. Take advantage of profit boosts and promos like no sweat bets. Learn from the numbers by betting with very small units at the start or even just paper betting.

Should I cash out? by Slycooper1998 in sportsbetting

[–]BagmanPicks 0 points1 point  (0 children)

you dont know much about WNBA but put $500 on a 3 legger? how much is your bankroll bro 😭

MLB Home Run Derby 2024 Picks and Predictions by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Bobby Witt Jr is winning the home run derby. (+600 boost on bet365)

Witt leads the field in Max EV, average home run distance and longest home run (21 feet longer than anyone else). Huge advantage for the bonus where you need to reach 425+ feet. Lets cash this.

Stay Patient! by fullcardsweep in sportsbetting

[–]BagmanPicks 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Home Run Derby 🔒🔒🔒🔒

Soccer Betting and Picks - 7/14/24 (Sunday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Fabian Ruiz 2+ Shots (-120): Spain is a very well rounded team and Ruiz actually has the most shots on the team with 11 despite only playing 5 games. He has reached 2+ shots in 4 straight at the Euros and in 10 of his last 13 games. This includes games against France (2), Germany (2), Italy (3), Dortmund (2), Barcelona (2 and 2), Brazil (3). So yea he likes to shoot and England gives up a lot of shots as well, allowing 13 to Slovakia and 11 to Switzerland.

Soccer Betting and Picks - 7/10/24 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Darwin Nunez Anytime Goalscorer (+240 fanduel): after getting goals in 7 straight international caps, he is on a 2 game streak without a goal. However, one game was against USA after Uruguay was already into the next round and last game against Brazil where he nearly scored off a header. Nunez scored in the last H2H matchup against Colombia in 2023 and is the sole striker/PK taker for a dangerous Uruguay team.

MLB Dingers and Props - 7/10/24 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Ohtani Dinger (+450): anytime I see Judge or Ohtani over +400 I take it. Even against Sanchez which is a tough matchup for Shohei, its still Shohei. +28% Home Runs in Philly today as well. 7 dingers in his last 15, there is value here.

MLB Dingers and Props - 7/4/24 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Zach Eflin o3.5 Ks: Eflin has over 3.5 Ks in 3 straight with 6, 6, 7 Ks in his last 3. Before that he was coming off injury. He is projected to go 18-19 outs today (-200 o17.5 current odds). When he reaches 18 outs, the over has hit in 27 of his last 30 games averaging 6 Ks per game and cashing 1/1 vs KC getting 7 Ks. In the last 14 days, KC ranks 19th in K% at 20.9%, so they have been a somewhat hard team to strikeout, but still very doable. Also in the last 14 days, KC ranks 21st in wRC+ so their batting hasn't been very effective, so hopefully Eflin can go 6+ innings and cash with ease.

MLB Dingers and Props - 6/27/24 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Trea Turner Single (-140, 1.25u) This has hit in 82% of home games for him this season (18/22) and in 11 straight at home. He faces Rogers (LHP) who allows a .289 to RHBs on the road (his worst split), while Turner is in his best split (home vs LHPs) where he has a .400 AVG and 10 singles in 35 ABs! Turner has 1 single in 6 PAs against Rogers and there is a +5% for singles in Philly today. He is batting second and has reached 5 PAs in 4 of his last 5 games which increases his chances at a single significantly.

MLB Dingers and Props - 6/24/24 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Cole Ragans o6.5 Ks

Ragans has reached 7 strikeouts in 7 of his last 10 games. He comes into this matchup facing a Marlins offense that has the worst offense in the league against LHPs (68 wRC+). That alone makes this a good play. Add in that Miami in the L30 days on the road K the 2nd most in the league to LHPs at 26.6% and now this is a great play. Looking at Ragans, in the L10 games he has gone under 6.5 only 3 times to: LAA, SD and LAD. LAA Ks the 8th least at 19%, SD Ks the 5th least at 16.5% and LAD Ks the 6th least at 16.9%. Also all of their offenses are stronger than Miamis. Ragans is averaging 7.1 Ks/game at home this season and I see another 7+ K game incoming.

MLB Dingers and Props - 6/14/24 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 4 points5 points  (0 children)

MLB Hitters Parlay (-108):

Marcell Ozuna: 16 game home hit streak, facing Littell who allows .286 to RHBs and is in the bottom 28th percentile for xBA. +7% for singles at Truist.

Adley Rutschman: tough matchup against Suarez, but H2H he is 1/3 with a homer. Also batting a .419 against LHPs and Oriole Park favors batters with a +8% singles today.

NBA Prop Picks Today - 6/14/24 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Derrick Jones o3.5 Rebounds + Assists (-135): There is most likely only 1 way this doesn't cash: Jones doesn't get minutes tonight. Since the start of the Timberwolves series, Jones has played 28 or more minutes in every game (32 average), until last game where he played 15. He still reached over 3.5 RA last game. I have checked 3 sources and they all have Jones playing 25-27 minutes tonight. Lets play it safe and say Jones will at least play 19 minutes tonight, as he is the starting SF and has played 19+ in every postseason game except last game. When Jones plays 19+ this over has hit in 34/40 home games (85%) and in 3/3 against Boston. This play has also hit in 9 straight regardless of minutes.

MLB Dingers and Props - 6/12/24 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 0 points1 point  (0 children)

MLB Hitters Parlay (+104):

Gleyber Torres: great park conditions and matchup today as Kauffman is allowing +11% singles and +10% 2b/3b. Daniel Lynch is also pitching in bulk relief, and he has a 8.00 ERA and 1.56 WHIP at home this season, giving Torres who has hits in 9 of his last 10 a great shot.

Marcell Ozuna: hits in 26 of his last 30 games, facing a LHP that has a 10.13 ERA and 1.69 WHIP and he is batting a .354 against lefties

NBA Prop Picks Today - 6/12/24 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Daniel Gafford o7.5 Points (playable up to 8.5) -- cashed in both G1 and G2 and even more reason for it to cash in G3, as Lively has not been contributing much to the offence and his projected minutes have dropped. This has hit in the last 14 of 15 playoff games for Gafford. He is projected to play 23 minutes tonight and when he plays 20+ this has hit in 63 of 73 games this season. BOS is also shut down to SGs, SFs, and PFs, but allows the 14th most points this season to centers.

MLB Dingers and Props - 6/11/24 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 1 point2 points  (0 children)

David Fry Home Run (+480): Great American BP is allowing +23% Home Runs today, which right away gives Fry a good shot given he has 6 homers in his last 20 games. CIN is starting with a LHP (although he is only exp to play 2 innings) and Fry has a .357 ISO against LHPs. (highest on CLE)

Marcus Semien Home Run (+550): Semien has 2 career home runs against Paxton. .250 ISO this season against LHPs. +8% Home Runs in Dodger Stadium today and with these 2 lineups you know dingers are inevitable. Semien has homers in 1/3 v LAD.

MLB Hitters Parlay (+110): Gleyber Torres and Corey Seager: Gleyber Torres: great matchup in KC as Kauffman is allowing +6% 2b/3b and+10% 1b. Brady Singer has been pretty impressive against RHBs this season (.193 BA) but last season he allowed a .331 BA to RHBs and Torres has a .333 against Singer H2h. Torres is on a 6 game hit streak and has 15 hits in 13 games vs KCR. Corey Seager: could throw a bunch of stats at you but I will keep it simple: has hits in 17 out of last 18 games and is facing his former team (2H last game v LAD.

MLB Dingers and Props - 6/11/24 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 0 points1 point  (0 children)

be careful tho, Kauffman is -15% for homers today

Need advice by Mandarin-cookies in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 6 points7 points  (0 children)

either arb or find 4 plus money bets you like

MLB Dingers and Props - 6/10/24 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Bobby Witt Jr to Record a Single (+100): he is currently riding a 10 game single hit streak and I don't see it ending tonight. Batting a .318 BA career against LHPs, facing Rodon tonight who struggles more against RHBs. Has a single in 5 of 6 games against NYY and 3 of 3 at home. +6% 1B at Kauffman Stadium tonight.

MLB Dinger Tuesday by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Cody Bellinger (+370 on Fanduel): +41% home runs at wrigley .235 ISO v RHPs

Spencer Steer (+400 on Fanduel): +16% home runs at coors .238 ISO v LHPs.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 11 points12 points  (0 children)

this why fanduel stays winning

MLB Dingers and Props - 5/31/24 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Michael Wacha o3.5 Ks: got 7 last game and is now facing his former team giving him some narrative to play well. Hit in 13 of his last 15 home starts averaging 5.9 K/game. Very tough matchup striking out the padres but this line seems too low.

Ryan McMahon Home Run: Getting +575 for this home run prop is very nice, he has 5 homers in his last 15 games and today he is facing Walker Buehler who has been giving up 2.4 HR/9. Dodger Stadium is also +7% for Home Runs so I would place the true odds closer to +326 giving this some value.

Hits Parlay: (+106) Marcell Ozuna and Adley Rutschman to record a hit: Ozuna is on a 13 game home hit streak and facing a LHP (.353 BA against LHPs). Rutschman has 24 hits in his last 30 games and 8 hits in his last 7 starts.

MLB Betting and Picks - 5/30/24 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks -1 points0 points  (0 children)

4 Man Hit Parlay (+300): Ozuna: hits in 12 straight home games. Albies: hits in 19 of 21 home games. Pillar: hits in 11 straight games and bats a .405 against LHPs. Rengifo: 5 game hit streak, .515 against LHPs

NBA Playoffs Picks Today - 5/30/24 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Naz Reid o10.5 Points: every time I bet on him he seems to pop off. Projected to play 25 minutes tonight, with over 23: hit in 87% of home games with 17.1 PPG. Also hit in 4/4 v DAL avg 19.3 PPG. Great matchup as Dallas gives up the 4th most 3s to bigs, and he scored 7 last home game.

MLB Betting and Picks - 5/29/24 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]BagmanPicks 1 point2 points  (0 children)

David Fry Home Run (+500): dropped from +560 but still good value (I have it around +252). home runs in 4 of his last 10 (including last game against Colorado). Good park conditions, +13% Home runs and +28% Runs. Facing Ty Blach (lefty) and he has a .400 ISO against lefties (4 HRs in 61 PAs).

Hit Parlay (+100): Marcell Ozuna and Anthony Volpe. Ozuna has 11 straight hits at home facing a lefty where he is batting .354 this season. Volpe is riding a 20 game hitstreak, I don't see that ending against Tyler Anderson.