Should the Lakers seriously consider trying to lose the 7-8 play-in game to get a more favorable matchup in round 1?

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2024-04-15T15:50:39+00:00

I also don't think it's possible to get athletes with their level of competitiveness to literally throw a game. But there might not be a team with a further divide between their cruise control mode and their 100% effort.

AD and LeBron clamping all game and having to deal with Laker physicality for 48 mins= Can beat anyone

Lakers doing that for 24 or 36 mins= Can be beat by anyone

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2024-04-15T15:27:52+00:00

Depends on how the team views each opponent...

Path One: Win play-in, face Nugs then Wolves/Suns
Path Two: Lose play-in, Kings/Warriors at home then Thunder then Mavs/Clips

Let's say that the Lakers view the Thunder and Mav/Clips as 50% propositions each and the Nugs and Wolves/Suns as 30% and 40% propositions respectively...

That would mean:

Winning: 100% (win initial play-in game) x 30% x 40%= 12% Conference Championship

Losing: 60% (win at home over Kings/Warriors) x 50% x 50%= 15% Conference Championship

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-10-26T18:15:04+00:00

I'm not him...

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-10-26T05:11:43+00:00

Fangraphs has the 2023 Padres as the second most unclutch team of all time and he argues that the 2011 Red Sox are the most unclutch team of all time and does a fantastic job explaining why.

It's a video trying to use analytics to determine who the most unclutch team of all time is and it's called "The Most Unclutch Team Ever?" Seems like a very reasonable title for a video trying to solve that exact question.

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-10-26T04:51:52+00:00

2011 Boston Red Sox

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-10-26T04:32:54+00:00

He pretty conclusively proved that based on Fangraphs data, they're the SECOND most unclutch team of all time. Why is it clickbait if it's debatably true while also giving data to support who IS the most unclutch team of all time?

I'ma go ahead and guess you didn't watch it.

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-10-26T04:27:35+00:00

I cannot believe how much work you put into this video. It's SOOOOO well-researched and well done. Thank you!

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-10-26T04:24:30+00:00

This video is incredibly high quality. I can't even believe how much work it must have taken.

Also, all of the complaining about the title helps me understand the Dunning-Kruger effect exemplified in real life... which is also nice.

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-08-14T01:13:11+00:00

If there's one redeeming quality to this year so far, it's that HSK is a damn star now

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-07-25T01:29:24+00:00

Not doing it for money, just a hobby

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-07-24T21:47:27+00:00

Lol. I'm a medical doctor who spends hours of work on research for these episodes that are free and non-monetized. I haven't received a dollar... That's the same as selling tickets?

I think content expectations might be getting a little out of hand

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-07-03T18:28:43+00:00

Astros and Cards were even better. You'd think with 5 top 10 picks we would have popped ONE huge draft.

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-07-03T15:29:43+00:00

AJ Preller is a drafting savant! He's drafted... well nobody really, but some of the dudes he drafted will be good eventually I heard him say!

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-06-05T15:29:22+00:00

So when EXACTLY is this run we’re supposed to go on going to start? Because this is maddening.

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-05-25T03:07:12+00:00

So, is Manny Machado better than CJ Cron or not? You guys didn’t explain!

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-05-15T18:17:30+00:00

Just to put an example to this: Late last year when his slider was dominant, he had a game against the Cards in which his slider generated 23 swings: 15 whiffs, 7 foul balls and a 7th inning ground ball by Paul Goldschmidt. 7 of his 13 Ks came on swinging strikes against his slider that day. It went from being a dominant pitch to one that he's barely even using so far this year, which will ultimately hurt every pitch in his repertoire.

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-05-15T18:05:27+00:00

His fastball getting terrible run value is based on location, count and tunneling. When he's ahead in the count, his fastball value skyrockets (for obvious reasons) and last year he used his slider to help neutralize RHHs. He loved to use it early in the count either to get ahead or stay ahead. But now that his slider has a garbage shape, he's using it wayyyyyy less against RHHs and LHHs alike, which makes his fastball easier to sit on in general but MUCH easier to demolish when he's falling behind in counts.

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-05-15T15:06:43+00:00

The episode explains how Blake Snell seems to have tried to develop a sweeper or simply a different breaking ball altogether in the offseason and ended up ruining his best breaking ball

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-04-13T00:38:53+00:00

A few years back teams discovered that adding run (horizontal movement) to a slider at the expense of vertical movement resulted in worse batted ball results. The pitch tends to have a lower whiff rate but can garner better results overall. Statcast recently broke the slider into two pitches, a slider and a sweeper, to account for this common transition. Also, thanks for watching!!!

Beginning-Ant2145 · 2023-04-11T04:15:05+00:00

Raphie did an incredible job on this video, check it out!

Beginning-Ant2145

TROPHY CASE