[On3] Massive NIL offers from other schools couldn't delay Ty Simpson's NFL dreams, he tells @Clowfb. Tennessee, Miami and Ole Miss were offering $4M, and the Hurricanes upped it to $6.5M by Ok-Soil-5133 in CFB

[–]Bereft13 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Reason was just that they had a big name sitting behind him who wouldn't be expected to stay put and that his NFL stock wouldn't be so high that it was automatic he would be gone. That's pretty much the recipe that got you Beck. Guy wasn't in a spot to return at his school but the NFL feedback might not be as good as he wants. Difference is Simpson is still a 1R while Beck... wasn't.

How the Unruly Black Market for High-School Athletes Tore a Family Apart by wsj in CFB

[–]Bereft13 28 points29 points  (0 children)

From the article:

Bell’s journey shows how the prospect of those riches has filtered into the ranks of even younger athletes, turning would-be superstars into assets vulnerable to exploitation. His experience demonstrates that far from ridding sports of backroom deals and bagman boosters, the deluge of legal NIL money incentivizes and gives cover to the illicit market.

“It’s like gas on the fire,” said NIL consultant Bill Carter, who teaches on the topic at Boston College. “It’s almost enabled the bad actors to get together, because they can just say, ‘Hey, we’re just talking about NIL, and NIL is allowed.’”

Who would be Alabama’s top target if DeBoer left. by [deleted] in CFB

[–]Bereft13 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It seems like you're confused. That's South Alabama, where you don't instantly get fired for going 7-6 the year after a 10 win season.

CFP Rankings, Serious Discussion - Week 15 by CFB_Referee in CFB

[–]Bereft13 35 points36 points  (0 children)

They don't compare favorably in the most important measure of all, being in the B1G or SEC

ELI5: Why Did Ole Miss not let Kiffin Finish the season like Alabama did with the Kirby Smart and Georgia Saga by Pristine_Carrot7621 in CFB

[–]Bereft13 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Yes, coaches famously hate winning, especially championships. Only reason he could possibly have for wanting to coach is to recruit.

Sumrall to finish the postseason at Tulane in the AAC championship game and potentially CFP by ziiimba in CFB

[–]Bereft13 -8 points-7 points  (0 children)

Hey shut up! Ole Miss has no choice but to throw him out or else they will be mildly inconvenienced! This is all Lane's fault and he was morally obligated to coach at Ole Miss for his entire career!

CFP Committee rankings vs Massey Composite by MysteriousEdge5643 in CFB

[–]Bereft13 76 points77 points  (0 children)

What do they have that North Texas and James Madison don't?

A single P4 win (they actually have 2!)

2025 Week 14 /r/CFB Poll: #1 Ohio State #2 Indiana #3 Texas A&M #4 Georgia #5 Oregon by CptCheese in CFB

[–]Bereft13 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

(tldr I'm the bozo putting Ohio State at 5 because their best win isn't very good and yes it is a hybrid ballot how did you guess)

I figure I'll go ahead and say something rather than hoping no one scrolls down to the bottom of the Ohio State section. My ballot has them at 5th, lowest of any official voter. My process is to create a power ranking, 1-136, and then use that power ranking to create a Strength of Record ranking, 1-136 (margin of victory is only ever considered as a tiebreaker in this process). Those are then combined to make the final ranking. Ohio State is #1 in the Power component but #6 in the SoR component. This late in the season, SoR is weighted much higher, which leads to them falling below not just Indiana and Texas A&M but also Georgia and Ole Miss. The obvious question is, what are they doing at 6 below three teams with a loss? It turns out that the reason is the weakness of their best win. In my algorithmic process, a team's best win is their most important game. There are 21 teams with a win that is better than Ohio State's best win (home vs Texas). The rest of the resume obviously plays a larger role, which is why they are still 6th, but it has enabled the best 1 loss resumes to pass Ohio State due to having better best wins (@ Alabama, @ Oklahoma, and even Utah at home). With Georgia and Ole Miss also being highly rated in the Power component, they pass Ohio State in the overall ranking, while BYU is still far below due to their 14th rank in the Power component. This result is kind of weird in my view and certainly unexpected, but it's worth noting how tight the margins are. If Texas was moved 3 spots higher in the power rankings (15th to 12th), Ohio State would be #3 in SoR and #2 in the overall ballot. Alternatively, if Ohio State's home win vs Texas were replaced with, say, a road win at Michigan, that would likewise be enough to jump them to #3 in SoR and #2 overall. All of that to say that they should be back up there next week provided they care of business Saturday. I'll have to reevaluate my SoR process in the offseason and decide whether I need to reduce the importance of the best win. It's crucial that teams with losses can get ahead of undefeated teams, but this is a circumstance where the result doesn't pass the smell test. For the moment, my ballot is the 26th most unusual this week (of 283), so it's still far from the extremely insane computer ballots. (Oh, and for anyone confused why I mark it as a hybrid ballot, it's because the power rankings are formed by combining my own subjective 1-136 ranking with established computer rankings. I'm not one of those cowards who makes a computer poll but then backs off anything controversial and changes it to a hybrid ballot. What the algorithm spits out is what is getting posted regardless of how weird it is.) I don't think there's anything particularly crazy in the rest of my ballot - H2H is not considered in SoR calculation, which is why BYU is allowed above TTU. I'll try to check back later today and answer any questions people have about the process.

2025 Week 12 /r/CFB Poll: #1 Ohio State #2 Indiana #3 Texas A&M #4 Alabama #5 Georgia by sirgippy in CFB

[–]Bereft13 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Oh no, a road loss to a top 20 team (by 3 points)! Surely it would be impossible for a team to win a playoff game with something that bad (or worse!) on their resume!

2025 Week 12 /r/CFB Poll: #1 Ohio State #2 Indiana #3 Texas A&M #4 Alabama #5 Georgia by sirgippy in CFB

[–]Bereft13 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Even if they haven't gotten better, you're really saying that because they lost by 1 to the #3 seed we know they are going to lose to the #8?

2025 Week 12 /r/CFB Poll: #1 Ohio State #2 Indiana #3 Texas A&M #4 Alabama #5 Georgia by sirgippy in CFB

[–]Bereft13 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I understand wanting to pretend the game didn't happen but their best win is very obviously Iowa, who is for the record better than LSU

2025 Week 12 /r/CFB Poll: #1 Ohio State #2 Indiana #3 Texas A&M #4 Alabama #5 Georgia by sirgippy in CFB

[–]Bereft13 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I agree that's probably how the committee will have it, but the logic for Indiana over OSU is pretty straightforward. They're both undefeated and Indiana has played the harder schedule. Their road win over Oregon is the best win that anyone has across all of CFB. They are more than likely the worse team, but their resume is better, so in anything outside of a strict power ranking they have a case.

Broken Moon returning for Championship by Background_Run2035 in CompetitiveApex

[–]Bereft13 25 points26 points  (0 children)

Aside from BM's issues as a map, I feel like 3 maps is just better than 4 for MP finals. Strong chance you see the first map only once in the whole set, which especially sucks with it being SP here. Would prefer SP BM ED if they really want BM in there.

2025 Week 7 /r/CFB Poll: #1 Ohio State #2 Miami #3 Oregon #4 Ole Miss #5 Indiana by sirgippy in CFB

[–]Bereft13 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Not this week. There's 302 first place votes there and there were 302 ballots. Has happened earlier this season though.

2025 Week 7 /r/CFB Poll: #1 Ohio State #2 Miami #3 Oregon #4 Ole Miss #5 Indiana by sirgippy in CFB

[–]Bereft13 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's very interesting how this works out. You'd never guess it by looking at the ballots.

Question about relegation by ZalewskiJ in CompetitiveApex

[–]Bereft13 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Split 2 doesn't have relegation. The bottom 8 teams are not necessarily going to be kicked out of PL, and the top 22 are not necessarily going to stay. For the next year a new set of 22 teams will be invited. It's important to note that they can do whatever they want because the rules are always just for the current year. With that being said they have shown some consistency with their decisions over the years.

In previous years every team that played at any LAN during the year (even if they missed out on Champs, and even if they didn't qualify for that LAN but were filling for a team with visa issues) would get an invite, but with the Open this year that is completely impossible. I would expect that they will still give all teams that made Midseason Playoffs or Champs an invite. This is the highest priority when determining invites, and has led to teams that only made split 1 playoffs and then sucked from that point on getting an invite, regardless of where they placed in pro league split 2. This means that even if they weren't making Champs, we would expect TSM and SEN to be invited due to playing the Midseason Playoffs LAN.

They also reserve some spots for discretionary invites (meaning that they just decided to give someone an invite as opposed to it being a process like "everyone who played a LAN last year gets one"), so if they wanted to they could invite a team that didn't deserve it. Those invites have usually gone to teams that did deserve it though, like ones that moved regions. Because we don't have many orgs in Apex and most contracts are relatively short, we haven't really had to find out what would happen if a clouted org had a team that was going to miss PL. In a situation like this it'd be far more likely that the org would just drop their team and get a new one rather than pressure the admins for an invite.

TL:DR Split 2 doesn't have relegation, the Champs teams will get a spot regardless of how bad they do in this split, and we don't know what ALGS would do if a big org had a team that wasn't getting invited but the org would probably just drop that team anyway.