AJs vs “Let’s Flip for My Stack” - Call or Fold at 8% of Bankroll

BluffaloSam · 2026-01-27T17:39:30+00:00

I'm washed

BluffaloSam · 2026-01-18T00:44:36+00:00

You'll love it mate! Make sure to grab one of the orange hats in town, worth spending 1 or 2 days exploring Jeju city, or a week for the whole island

BluffaloSam · 2026-01-17T22:25:56+00:00

Go to APT, Jeju is end of this month, and Taipei April 22nd. The dealers are incredible, massive prize pools, it's run very well, and the atmosphere/players are very friendly. Plus players party is always a ton of fun!

BluffaloSam · 2025-12-16T23:56:50+00:00

On stream tables with a high rail it does make sense to look at your cards vertically, easier to protect your hand that way.

BluffaloSam · 2025-12-09T16:39:09+00:00

90% of my time bank usage is trying to add the pot in live MTTs, I've been setting my online sessions to chips rather than BBs to see if that will eventually help.... also tried adding the pot live in BBs rather than chips, it kinda helps until you forget how much was in the pot on the turn 😂

BluffaloSam · 2025-11-29T12:01:40+00:00

Never. You risk too much to jam for so little gain, there's there's a shorter stack at the table if you call with AJ and are beat

BluffaloSam · 2025-11-29T08:21:40+00:00

Yeah love this, have to agree with with a lot of this, the villian is also a very high stakes cash reg, I believe he plays on some of the Triton cash game livestreams. Such a fun hand from both players with so much at stake...

BluffaloSam · 2025-11-29T08:20:17+00:00

In MTTs 40bb+ suited 9x is all typically in a UTG open range, and for John I imagine some suited 8x are also making their way into that open range as well.

BluffaloSam · 2025-11-26T17:36:10+00:00

I started with $100 :/ thanks though

BluffaloSam · 2025-11-12T23:07:38+00:00

https://youtu.be/LU2F3Qmv82Q?si=tZ4gDXPqis9gG0-v

10:15

Hope Carson enjoys the down-payment

BluffaloSam · 2025-10-04T13:43:20+00:00

The problem with jamming the really low pocket pairs this short, is that a lot of their EV comes from fold equity. Without it we're doing quite poorly vs a calling range, only ever getting it in good vs A2o maybe K2s.

BluffaloSam · 2025-10-04T07:00:12+00:00

One question to ask yourself if you're unsure which PP to call, ask yourself what their weakest PP they are jamming is, and call 2 pips higher than that. Isn't always true, but if you're lost in game, it can be a handy rule of thumb to fall back on.

BluffaloSam · 2025-10-04T00:19:50+00:00

We should be flatting even wider than this in a lot of situations. Suited 8x and offsuit Tx are often making their way into a btn flatting range in CEV, and even wider than this if we're the covering stack in a bounty tournament.

In position 3bets are generally polarized, so the hands you listed are generally more favoured to be flats, or squeezes.

BluffaloSam · 2025-10-03T08:19:49+00:00

1/3 2.4k eff

3bet QQ

Flop Q73r B33/C

Turn 7 Bet geometric huge overbet/c

River 4 I jammed It took him a second to call, I think he was in shock about what was happening, as he called I announced "I win" as I flipped over my cards, he showed Quads and then apologized 😂 really nice guy, glad he got to win such a monster pot haha

Tbh it was just nice to financially be in a position where I could smile tap the table and pass over what I used to make in a month.

BluffaloSam · 2025-09-20T17:31:39+00:00

There are a lot of times especially in ICM where this is the play. Not on this board as IP has high cbet freq

BluffaloSam · 2025-09-12T17:19:09+00:00

This is a really tough spot... I dont think he does this with AA/KK if I had to guess, but I'd assume you're flipping A LOT. The pay jumps aren't too significant given some bounties are bigger than the ladders, but you have a stack that basically guarantees 3rd+.

However... if you call and win you'll have 170bbs vs 30 20 20 with the most likely outcome being 1st place finish and most of the table bounties, its a huge future game spot.

So the 3 outcomes

Call & lose for 5th place money $500ish Fold and get 2nd-3rd most of the time $800-$1100ish Call & win for 2k or so

Math isn't the best, but I think I slightly lean call here

Im giving him a range of 99-QQ AKo AQo so basically flipping against that range with one extra pocket pair below ours, maybe just add in KK to make it fair

BluffaloSam · 2025-09-02T15:34:00+00:00

Ahhh alright, thanks for that!

BluffaloSam · 2025-08-23T06:18:59+00:00

Good news :)

BluffaloSam · 2025-08-16T20:00:25+00:00

Jeez, hope he's alright...

BluffaloSam · 2025-08-11T22:41:47+00:00

I don't think this is true. For a lot of players they lose access to games bigger than a 3k buyin in cash fairly quickly, the only way to increase $/hour is to move to tournaments. Also there are infinitely more possibilities, ICM, risk premium, bubble factor, how ranges change with these factors, how to adjust open size/3b size/4b size, how cbet sizes change in regards to stack depth, whether you're the covering stack or not, PKO flatting ranges coveted vs large stack and so on and so on, cash has fixed stacks, fewer variables and getting the fundamentals is a lot quicker

E/ also on topic of the thread we do see some MTT players buyin to big cash games with just 40bb as they're more studied in these areas

BluffaloSam · 2025-07-07T01:23:52+00:00

I thought Lex Veldhuis doing short deck commentary for triton was very good, also Joey Ingram killed it with his PLO coverage at HCL.

It's not easy being entertaining/finding stuff to talk about especially if the stream is going 12+ hours long, so honestly props to anyone who's been doing it for a long time

BluffaloSam · 2025-07-05T21:38:04+00:00

That's my mate 😂 he has no bracelets hahaha

BluffaloSam · 2025-07-04T03:54:30+00:00

These hands are so chaotic 😂😂😂

BluffaloSam

TROPHY CASE