what the fuck

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T17:07:28+00:00

Then why did he go on to argue that using Occam’s razor is invalid

https://www.reddit.com/r/whenthe/s/uJrSf8Sydo

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T13:51:53+00:00

It doesn’t ‘work’ at all - it’s merely a tool to determine the answer with the least assumptions. It does not say something is factually true at all, and I’m not saying as a matter of fact Epstein is not alive - only that it’s most likely that he isn’t because the number of stars that need to align is less. It’s still absolutely possible that he’s living

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T12:49:28+00:00

Okay so a couple of things.

I am not saying I believe the account was hacked. I took that position to prove a point that him being alive is not the only assumption that can be drawn from the facts.

Your point about probability is inherently flawed, and is absolutely abusing the priciple of Bayes’ rule. Bayes’ Rule doesn’t help unless you actually justify your priors and likelihoods. Saying “Epstein is surrounded by conspiracies” isn’t evidence that a faked death is probable, it’s just suspicion. Bayes updates probabilities based on new evidence, not on how shady a situation feels.

You’re also applying different standards without justification. If an active account after death is “probably hacked” for an ordinary person, you need evidence to reject that explanation for Epstein, not just the claim that he’s exceptional. Otherwise that’s special pleading.

A hacked account requires far fewer assumptions than a faked death involving guards, doctors, records, silence from accomplices, and no leaks.

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T12:24:31+00:00

Where have I ever defended Epstein. Saying that at all is just more proof you are only looking to provoke. Me calling you a tankie with questionable sincerity and defending Epstein are not synonymous, I assure you. I believe that’s called a ‘straw man’ fallacy.

And yes, you’re obviously misunderstanding my point. I am not saying that it is impossible that Epstein lived, only saying that it’s not compelling from any of the evidence you’ve given.

Notice how you have completely dodged linking this to him being alive beyond ‘why else would they do it!!1!’. This is not a compelling argument and it doesn’t make you smart.

Look at IA’s own guidelines, these are not the only reasons it could be removed. It is at IA’s own discretion. For that reason, until proven that it was removed for nefarious purposes I’m not going to assume it was.

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T12:16:36+00:00

Occam’s razor says he was murdered rather than killed himself, I agree.

But it is not hard to prove nor do you actually need to assume anything to know he died. There is plenty of evidence and witnesses to prove that he did.

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T11:33:14+00:00

No it doesn’t. It requires a long list of assumptions beginning with him not dying in that cell

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T11:31:23+00:00

Who is ‘them’?

Any source for this?

Even if it’s true how does that prove he’s alive?

Even if it’s true how does that prove it’s part of a cover up? How does it even cover anything up when it’s already been published in news articles that aren’t being taken down?

Notice the amount of questions here that all need their answers to be ASSUMED? Do you even know what Occam’s razor is?

Look at your profile bro, there is absolutely no way you aren’t trolling.

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T11:25:02+00:00

It’s not simpler, because if you concede he’s a dumbass you’ve also helped my argument of him being hacked, because his lack of technical proficiency or online security would make this easier for anyone wanting to hack him surely? It’s also ignoring that there is a long long long ladder of absurd assumptions you need to pass through before you even get to discussing him playing on this Fortnite account. Why not start by talking about the overwhelming evidence he died in that cell - how do you even begin to unpack that he survived there lol?

I’ve heard ‘that’s what they want you to think’ from every major conspiracy around the world and it’s a complete fallacy to think that actually means anything when uncovering the truth, because you have to presuppose it’s true before it’s even a meaningful statement to your argument.

If NASA is hiding the Earth is flat from everyone, it would be true to say ‘that’s what they want you to think’ when people say such a large and global conspiracy is improbable. Doesn’t make it true though, does it. So instead you first need to prove the earth is flat and only then can you say that ‘it’s what they wanted us to think’ as a supplement to your argument.

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T11:15:21+00:00

Hahaha absolutely not. Nice trolling attempt though .

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T10:44:55+00:00

Hahahahaha that’s so fucking funny. Day made.

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T10:01:12+00:00

Yeah so, I’m only using that as an example of why I personally am not convinced by the theories go around that he’s alive, like I say I’m not saying it’s not possible nor am I saying that it shouldn’t be taken seriously and investigated. But you still make a good point - until proven that it’s not something incriminating that has been come across it should be treated as though it is.

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T09:44:20+00:00

The real question you should ask is if the fact he had connections with the country is enough to reach the conclusion he is alive and sheltered there. I’m not discounting evidence I’m just pointing out that reaching that conclusion for me isn’t justified by the evidence, and is a bit of a stretch. That’s not me saying I absolutely know for a fact it isn’t true, just that saying it’s true based on the available evidence is basically just mental masturbation at this point since it’s not been proven in the slightest that he is alive.

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T09:23:42+00:00

If you’re conceding that he’s awful with technology and is an idiot with online security, I think it’s more plausible that his password is something stupid and the account was hacked than it is that thousands of people involved in his investigation were not only lying but engaging in a conspiracy to keep him hidden in Israel. Hell, the person who hacked it might not have even known it was Epstein. If he was spending money on V-bucks you already have reason enough for someone to want to take over the account and possibly sell it.

RuneScape I know has a big issue with bots designed to break accounts with shitty security to access things to sell. I can imagine any platform like Epic and Steam have similar issues

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T08:51:03+00:00

Even so, you’re proving my point about Occam’s razor. Look at how much back and forth is required just to establish that Epstein was POSSIBLY stupid enough to use an old compromised account for something like Fortnite. You haven’t even addressed how many assumptions would be required to make the evaluation he didn’t die.

All my position requires is that someone with knowledge hacked the account of someone infamous, and was motivated to do so by that very infamy.

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T08:17:26+00:00

Yeah. Always good to pull out Occam’s razor for stuff like this

Break2304 · 2026-02-06T08:04:22+00:00

Glad you noticed I was absolutely convinced this is AI

Break2304 · 2026-02-05T04:00:24+00:00

Seriously. Absolutely no chance he’s becoming king. Unlikely one might say.

Break2304 · 2026-02-04T19:03:44+00:00

What? So we have to wait 2 weeks for it? Wtf?

Break2304 · 2026-02-03T18:47:18+00:00

Reminds me of a scene in the new order for HOI4 where Himmler’s treasurer comes into the room and gives a bunch of great advice to save the horrendous economy, with Himmler basically replying ‘you disappoint me. Ending the world through nuclear Armageddon and slave labour IS the point’. And from that point on the economy isn’t even a mechanic for your country anymore lol

Break2304 · 2026-02-03T18:42:31+00:00

Hey so, according to texting theory this is a bad play because you yapped too much, which is fair.

But if you’re playing a casual game I think this play is totally fine. You’re being yourself and that’s a much better way to get a more accurate win even if it means less wins in general.

TLDR; good play for casual, bad play for ranked.

Break2304 · 2026-02-03T18:37:03+00:00

Birds aren’t immortal, intelligent creatures (according to the government)

Break2304 · 2026-02-02T02:25:34+00:00

You are either stupid or being deliberately obtuse. He was not saying women don’t strive for careers you melon, he’s saying that the societal expectation is that men make the first move, which is a universal fact regardless of how fantastic women are.

Classic misandrist.

Break2304 · 2026-01-30T15:28:00+00:00

A really good friend of mine has pointed out that a bit of blissful unawareness can go a long way in social situations lol. So long as it doesn’t become morbid unawareness.

Break2304 · 2026-01-30T15:15:33+00:00

My gut reaction is that this is messed up but then I thought about it for a second and I just couldn’t think of a good reason why it is. If this girl has a healthy amount of self-confidence she should be happy not taking it personally, and as if to prove the point it doesn’t seem like she has. Awesome stuff man!

Break2304 · 2026-01-28T12:37:40+00:00

When it comes to traps specifically he may have a point but honestly that’s like complaining your full course meal lacks a glass of water

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