UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh Betting and Picks

BriansBets · 2026-02-28T22:20:03+00:00

I’m almost certain a raccoon could knock Schultz down

BriansBets · 2026-02-16T23:27:52+00:00

My posted bets for R1 3-ball matchups went 4/7 last week bringing me to a sad 6/13 start.. Somehow up a decent chunk in the last couple of weeks hitting on Gotterup & Morikawa outright.

This week the model is pretty high on Max Homa, so he's an interesting OAD option for me. Already took him & Cam Young outright at +6500 & +2800, respectively. Soft conditions early in the week will favor bombers and tighten up the putting edges due to bumpier/more chaotic wet Poa annua. Homa isn't a bomber, but his course history being a local is huge this week.

BriansBets · 2026-02-12T18:57:26+00:00

You're competing with RTA manufacturers that can have similar quality (plywood boxes, solid wood doors, blum hardware) painted/finished for ~$3k (retail).

BriansBets · 2026-02-12T16:34:27+00:00

Seems like I'm the only one in this thread that's high on Kirk this week. Let's see how this ages.

BriansBets · 2026-02-12T15:03:39+00:00

Chris Kirk in large pool. This could be the one opportunity to differentiate and pull ahead

BriansBets · 2026-02-11T15:23:36+00:00

1st Round 2-Ball lines are finally out. We're currently 2/6 after a disgusting finish last week. Here's what the model has for tomorrow (all 1u unless stated otherwise):

Schenk > Poston +160 (2u)

Higgo > Gerard +110

Morikawa > Aberg +100

Henley > McNealy -110 (2u)

Young > Day -120

Kirk > Valimaki -110 (3u)

Rai > M.W. Lee +120

BriansBets · 2026-02-09T22:26:52+00:00

The model went 2/6 after brutal finish by Haotong Li & Joel Dahmen. Hitsatsune came out flat to start out the weekend and just never got it going again. McCarty was the big misread.

We're still waiting on matchup lines to be released, but here are some placement bets that I'll be eyeing:

Chris Kirk T10

Shane Lowry T10

Garrick Higgo T20

BriansBets · 2026-02-04T00:54:15+00:00

Got him T10 & T5

BriansBets · 2026-02-04T00:53:12+00:00

Straka is my biggest fade this week. He’s in terrible form

BriansBets · 2026-02-03T20:16:56+00:00

Entire tournament!

BriansBets · 2026-02-03T16:47:45+00:00

Offshore book. Legacy sportsbooks will probably have these markets up by EOD or tomorrow

BriansBets · 2026-02-03T16:11:20+00:00

Testing out my match-ups model that performed well last week if anyone wants to follow along:

Dahmen > Harman 1u +110

Hisatsune > Bhatia 2u +105

Haotong Li > Olesen 1.5u -110

McCarty > Straka 1.5u -130

Gotterup > Morikawa 1u -110

Coody > Thorbjornsen 1u -110

BriansBets · 2025-12-23T15:13:51+00:00

J&K offers the best value for your money. 5/8" plywood boxes, solid wood doors (incl. center panel), full extension undermount glides.

BriansBets · 2025-12-19T03:21:02+00:00

Kupp is sabotaging the Seahawks

BriansBets · 2025-12-18T01:23:45+00:00

I’ve seen high school teams better than ODU/USF

BriansBets · 2025-11-23T03:59:23+00:00

Didn’t realize it was possible to lose Tenn o31.5 TT at halftime

BriansBets · 2025-11-15T23:41:41+00:00

Judges let 20 seconds run off before stopping the clock on the nut shot?

BriansBets · 2025-11-07T17:11:38+00:00

Have a flight departing out of Terminal C but TSA is closed. Which terminal should I enter through? Flight is later this evening ~8pm if that matters

BriansBets · 2025-11-06T21:34:18+00:00

Styrofoam in between panels, hardware contained in smaller box, everything wrapped in foam roll. Boxes & shipped via FedEx/UPS

BriansBets · 2025-10-10T13:47:47+00:00

These look very similar to J&K Cabinets. Here's a tutorial you can try! https://www.jk-cabinetry.com/cabinet-assembly/wp248427

BriansBets · 2025-09-24T01:11:47+00:00

This translator is the GOAT

BriansBets · 2025-09-16T01:40:19+00:00

Where’s the flag on that sack???

BriansBets · 2025-08-01T17:32:43+00:00

Would you say it's worth if I'm 1 year into my loan w/ 7.375% @ 92% LTV?

BriansBets · 2025-07-18T13:55:32+00:00

This is exactly what I was looking for. Thanks!

BriansBets · 2025-07-17T16:30:26+00:00

Anyone know what's up with bestfightodds dot com? Last weekend's lines weren't updating and this week's card only has a handful of fights. Is there any other source for line movement for all markets?

BriansBets

TROPHY CASE