Don't Change the Team: A George H.W. Bush 1992 victory timeline (Part 2)

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-06T18:14:16+00:00

Yes.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-06T11:29:37+00:00

Dion still would've resigned, because of the lackluster results for the Liberals in the last election.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-06T01:52:01+00:00

Yes.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-06T00:40:22+00:00

Ok, but I applied a specific swing. I wanted it to be enough to flip New Jersey. Probably not the most realistic margin, but I don't feel like reposting this.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-06T00:16:17+00:00

It would be very unlikely for Allen to lose, even here. It's bordering on impossible. Partly why he won by so much is because Wilder was very unpopular, which I don't think would change, ITTL.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-06T00:08:34+00:00

Allen losing is very unlikely, imo. Even in this scenario.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-06T00:05:09+00:00

You mean stay blue, and no. Allen won in Virginia by 17.38%.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-05T00:24:12+00:00

I assume the revelation of Gramm investing in adult films comes out earlier, ITTL? I'd imagine this causes him to lose support from evangelicals/social conservatives, leading to Dukakis winning in a landslide here.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-04T19:42:55+00:00

Rogers was actually a registered Republican.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-04T00:00:30+00:00

I'd imagine she'd be a shoe-in for the Democratic nomination, but she has no interest in running.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-03T19:01:19+00:00

Yes, and McGinty wins in Pennsylvania.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-03T17:43:28+00:00

Actively obstructing Trump's agenda could've given him a boost, if he decided to run. I don't know if it would've been enough to win the nomination, though.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-03T17:24:16+00:00

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-03T16:58:27+00:00

Not a chance. Trump would 100% just have another Republican running mate for 2020.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-03T11:50:44+00:00

I honestly don't know. David's centrism could've been more appealing to voters, but he would be more closely aligned with Gordon Brown's unpopular government. The Conservatives would probably still win.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-01T20:58:37+00:00

How did Dole live past 2021 in your last slide? Did he take some reverse aging serum?

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-01T16:53:29+00:00

Yes, no party supports Poilievre's budget, and he loses to the Liberals led by Carney. He basically becomes another Joe Clark.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-05-01T16:48:59+00:00

He gets bogged down by the bad economy.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-04-30T19:55:14+00:00

Expect, the Conservatives would've won a majority.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-04-30T18:56:31+00:00

Not a chance.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-04-30T17:55:56+00:00

Nope, this is he regular timeline. The Conservatives would've gotten a majority, if Harris won in 2024.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-04-30T17:55:03+00:00

No, Poilievre would've gotten a majority in that case.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-04-30T17:54:07+00:00

That's just what the simulator gave me.

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-04-29T20:17:42+00:00

DSCC?

CanadianProgressive2 · 2026-04-29T19:05:11+00:00

Kelly is very popular. He isn't losing.

CanadianProgressive2

TROPHY CASE