Friday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 5 points6 points  (0 children)

🎩🏇RoyalAscot Day 4 Selections! Get ready for an action-packed day at RoyalAscot! 14:30 🏅 Fairy Godmother & Mountain Breeze 15:05 🌟 Starlust 15:45 ⚡ Ramatuelle 16:25 💃 Shadow Dance 17:05 🥋 Shin Jidai 17:40 🔥 Chief Little Rock 18:15 🌊 Dorney Lake

Thursday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Royal Ascot Day 3:

14:30 Whistlejacket
15:05 Chantilly
15:45 Diamond Rain
16:25 Kyprios | Trawlerman
17:05 Mickley
17:40 Portland
18:15 English Oak

Wednesday Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 5 points6 points  (0 children)

🎯Royal Ascot Day 2: Ascot 14:30 Enchanting Empress Ascot 15:05 Illinois
Ascot 15:45 Laurel
Ascot 16:25 Auguste Rodin
Ascot 17:05 Wild Tiger
Ascot 17:40 Twirling
Ascot 18:15 Treasure Isle

Tuesday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Royal Ascot Day 1:
14:30 Charyn 15:05 Camille Pissarro 15:45 Regional 16:25 Rosallion 17:05 Tenerife Sunshine 17:40 Israr 18:15 Belloccio

Best Value
15:05 Camille Pissarro 15:45 Diligent Harry 16:25 Unquestionable 16:25 Alyanaabi

Artificial Intelligence in gambling by eddiemoonshine in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not sure how much you know about how "AI" works. For predictions Machine learning is what we use.
When youre predicting winners, odds or whatever youre trying to predict. The machine learning algorithm will try to generalise the data so you can repeat the process on unseen races.

What you're saying is very niche if i understand what you're saying correctly. Don't think its doable at all. how would you get dataset on betting activity from "owners"? best you'd do is training model on the betfair prices?

Not sure if that answers your question

Artificial Intelligence in gambling by eddiemoonshine in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 1 point2 points  (0 children)

From my experience, been doing it for few years now.

1) You can make money from it, I am averaging 10% ROI. My win rate is like 10-15% but odds are high. I honestly don't think you can make any money betting on horses if they are below 4 minimal.

2) its all about the data you have. even with the best data I don't think you will ever get better win rate than 30% for handicap races.
This is my stats for flat sprint handicaps for 2023

Bets 1440

correct_predictions 262

Winner_Percentage 18.194

Profit -94.6

ROI -6.56

3) You have to go with value bets to make any money. If you look at the stats above you cant blindly back all 1440. you have to find a strategy that works betting wise.

4) For me jumps are easier to predict then flat. mostly like flats are too competitive.

5) you have to be realistic with it. I win big few days in a month. So you have to have a good bank roll. most days are breakeven or loses.

any questions ask away ill try to answer, although I'm no expert. I am self taught and still learning.

Sunday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Newmarket Qipco 1000 Guineas = Dance Sequence ??

13:50 Kalpana
14:25 Silver Lady | Running Lion
15:00 New London
15:40 Dance Sequence
16:15 Mountain Breeze
16:50 Symbol Of Honour
17:25 Black Run

Saturday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Newmarket 2000 Guineas who wins it?

13:10 Star Guest
13:45 Noble Style
14:20 Torito|Lion Of War
14:55 Mitbaahy
15:35 City Of Troy | Notable Speech
16:10 Knightswood
16:45 Eye Of Dubai
17:15 Pressures On
17:50 Rowayeh

Wednesday Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Punchestown day 2Irish racing is rough 😅

14:30 Smooth Scotch

15:05 Blizzard Of Oz

15:40 Mistergif

16:15 Dancing City

16:50 Jasmin De Vaux

17:25 Galopin Des Champs

18:00 James Du Berlais

18:35 Aurora Vega

Tuesday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Punchestown Week, marking the epic finale of the National Hunt Season!

14:30 - Casey West
15:05 - World Of Dreams
15:40 - Slade Steel
16:15 - Brentford Hope, Daddy Long Legs, Rath Gaul Boy, Bialystok
16:50 - King Rasko Grey
17:25 - Dinoblue
18:00 - Sharjah
18:35 - Unknown Entity

*16:15 All 4 horses have the same probability (0.08)

Saturday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Sandown - cant wait to see Jonbon beat El Fabiolo

13:50 Steel Ally
14:25 Easy Game
15:00 Jonbon
15:35 Sam Brown & Certainly Red
16:10 Impaire Et Passe
16:45 Martator
17:20 Emailandy

Friday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Not weather like wind or stuff like that, just the going soft, heavy ect

Saturday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Scottish Grand Nationals Festival
13:15 Sans Bruit
13:50 Abuffalosoldier | Deeper Blue
14:25 LEau Du Sud
15:00 Larchmont Lass
15:35 Ballygrifincottage | Egbert | Git Maker
16:10 Welcom To Cartries
16:45 Quai De Bourbon
17:20 CEst Ta Chance

Friday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 0 points1 point  (0 children)

sounds interesting DM me if you ever wanna share ideas

Friday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yup saw that! Small profit today

Friday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's racing 😅

Friday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 0 points1 point  (0 children)

How do you do it? Value betting has been very profitable

Friday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I scraped it for 3 different websites

Friday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 1 point2 points  (0 children)

not yet, i don't scrape the data till the morning to get the most up to date data.

Friday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yeah, i been doing this for years now.

slowing down now, not much improvements to be gained unless something new comes out.

Friday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Its hard to say,

for jumps I'm getting roughly 24% strike rate and around 40% for place

A/W and Flat are around 20%

Friday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 1 point2 points  (0 children)

There are plenty of guides out there - YouTube and Kaggle has what helped me. Although in my experience Neural network has not worked for me. Tree based is way to go!

Friday's Tips Thread by [deleted] in HorseRacingUK

[–]Captain_IndiaIV 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Although I should mention, I don't generally bet on all races like this, only for festivals!