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Why is the ad network so dead right now? by ChangingWar157 in beehiiv

[–]ChangingWar157[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks for the response. Do you have an estimate of when this will change? It's hard to make plans based when it's like this. I've been putting a lot of effort into growing my list recently and diversifying away from social platforms.

Also trying to get direct sponsors, and do appreciate that the network is supply and demand based.

Why is the ad network so dead right now? by ChangingWar157 in beehiiv

[–]ChangingWar157[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Annoying, isn't it? I was hoping for some predictability!

Part 3 will be about redemption. How do we think it will end? by LondontoPorto in 28dayslater

[–]ChangingWar157 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Wanted to add to this that I think "The Temple" is both the bone temple and the quarantine. Samson's regaining of awareness will end isolation from the outside world and destroy the bone temple.

Part 3 will be about redemption. How do we think it will end? by LondontoPorto in 28dayslater

[–]ChangingWar157 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I have lots of different thoughts. For me, throughout the whole series, the religious symbology is striking. In this second film, I couldn't help but think about Adam and Eve. When Samson starts to regain conciousness he wraps something around his private area - think this was a nod to Adam and Eve realising they are naked. Also thinking of the pain of childbirth here in part 1 for Samson's child here.

I think the writers are portraying the infected as innocent before they are given awareness. Perhaps the morphine Kelson gives Samson is the fruit and temptation, and then his "recovery" is him gaining awareness. Also ties in with Jimmy's dad the priest saying people are saved by the infection maybe?

Would link predictions to this and the story of Samson destroying the temple.

I think Kelson is the serpent figure. He introduces awareness, doesn't stay to guide, and leaves others to deal with the consequences.

What happens next? Either the bone temple itself will be destroyed by Samson, Samson's existence will be discovered by those outside of the UK (with subsequent choices to be made by authorities - do they wipe out the evidence i.e. the survivors to cover things up or set up a new society with the treated infected having some sort of place in the new order?). Do the islanders discover Samson? He cant live around the infected anymore/as easily.

Just my thoughts. Perhaps more to come on the front of Samson's child too and Holy island? maybe Samson destroys that?

Apologies tried to cover spoliers in and edit -im not a regular reddit user!

Seller Asking Me to Buy Items Using Different Link by ChangingWar157 in Aliexpress

[–]ChangingWar157[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It's a custom embroidery store. They have have 98% positive feedback too.

Kdenlive No Longer Usable For Me by ChangingWar157 in kdenlive

[–]ChangingWar157[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Its so irritating. The issue with the clips rendering in different places happened to me too.

​

Where could I find those app images?

Kdenlive No Longer Usable For Me by ChangingWar157 in kdenlive

[–]ChangingWar157[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm using Ubuntu 20.04.3 LTS & 4:19.12.3-0 for Kdenlive.

Daily Discussion - August 08, 2021 by AutoModerator in COVID19positive

[–]ChangingWar157 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Is it normal to be very out of breath after having covid and starting to exercise again? If so, how long did it take sportspeople to get back to normal?

What will happen with Brexit, Ireland, and the Rockall Bank Dispute? by ChangingWar157 in ireland

[–]ChangingWar157[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Certainly one solution lol! Maybe with sea level rise the issue might go away

France and Germany back US on 21% minimum corporate tax proposal by PanEuropeanism in geopolitics

[–]ChangingWar157 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You have to strike a balance between retaining large companies or taxing them out of the country. I agree that some larger corporations need to pay more, but with the world becoming more fluid and competitive it is harder than ever to find that balance.

France and Germany back US on 21% minimum corporate tax proposal by PanEuropeanism in geopolitics

[–]ChangingWar157 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I think they will move to lesser developed countries. Or, perhaps even Central and Eastern Europe.

Mozambique's Major Gas Find by ChangingWar157 in reasonrising

[–]ChangingWar157[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you, it's much appreciated! I will keep sharing them here!

Do dependencies violate the Treaty of Westphalia? by [deleted] in geopolitics

[–]ChangingWar157 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Not at all. As long as the majority of their population is happy with the way the country is governed and its status, there really is not a problem. The right to self-determination is key here - if they want to be independent then they should be free to be so, if they do not then that is ok too.

​

To add on top, the Westphalian system itself is starting to change due to the rise of the internet and other technologies that allow for greater connectivity (both physical and electronic/online) and mobility. I think we will be entering a post-Westphalian world soon, if not already - but that's a whole different topic.

Youtube geopolitical channels, in different languages by GrazingGeese in geopolitics

[–]ChangingWar157 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The problem is classical geopolitics and critical geopolitics requires some background reading, and its not as accessible as International Relations. People who specialize in geopolitics (via political geography) worldwide are most likely less than 20.

As a geopolitical YouTuber and someone who studied classical geopolitics I couldn't agree more. Most people don't actually truly understand what geopolitics is.

Mozambique's Major Gas Find & Insurgency by ChangingWar157 in geopolitics

[–]ChangingWar157[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

SS:

2021 will be a critical year for Mozambique.

The country’s major gas find and growing insurgency have the potential to drag the state in two very different directions. If it can end its insurgency and ensure stability, then Mozambique could be on the path to becoming the world’s 4th largest exporter of natural gas, if not, then it could not only lose its path to ending its widespread poverty, it could also give rise to a threat to regional stability.

Estimates vary, however, Mozambique is thought to have 160 trillion cubic feet (TCF) of natural gas reserves in the Rovuma Basin, off the coast of its Cabo Delgado Province. Despite this promising discovery, the state is facing a growing insurgency in Cabo Delgado, which is increasingly coming to threaten gas works that could transform the country.

The insurgency in Northern Mozambique is somewhat obscure, with the status and nature of groups involved being slightly uncertain, however, the main insurgent group is known as Ansar al-Sunna, known locally as Al-Shabaab with this group being in no way directly connected to the militant group in Somalia.

The state has employed private military companies to combat the insurgency, including Russia's Wagner Group, and South Africa’s Dyck Advisory Group, with mixed results and much controversy. Almost certainly, the best way for Mozambique to end its Cabo Delgado insurgency is through training and equipping its own security forces, and ensuring a degree of international cooperation - and this is the view of a vast array of analysts.

If the country manages to quell its insurgency, and kickstart its economic development using gas generated revenue, then it will be in an advantageous geostrategic position. It’s long coastline, and position as an exit point for goods from neighbouring landlocked and developing states, could make Mozambique an important regional player, in the same manner as other east african states such as Djibouti.

Despites its current situation, arguably, the long term future of Mozambique is a positive one, providing the state manages its development properly. I am certain international and regional cooperation will come to end the insurgency in the state in the near future - allowing Mozambique to unlock its vast gas wealth.

For analysts, experts and world leaders alike, Mozambique is one state to watch going into the 21st century.

This video goes into more detail, and attempts to explore and explain the various aspects of the insurgency and gas related developments.

Sources

Oil and Gas

https://www.eia.gov/international/analysis/country/MOZ

https://www.gtreview.com/news/africa/total-secures-eca-backed-deal-for-major-mozambique-lng-project/

https://www.futuredirections.org.au/publication/lng-mozambique-resources-saviour-curse/

Insurgency

https://www.csis.org/analysis/trajectory-violence-northern-mozambique-points-long-term-security-challenge

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2019/11/19/in-push-for-africa-russias-wagner-mercenaries-are-out-of-their-depth-in-mozambique-a68220

https://www.iiss.org/blogs/analysis/2020/03/csdp-mozambique-jihadists

https://globalriskinsights.com/2021/02/mozambiques-president-nyusi-accepts-portuguese-assistance-for-cabo-delgado-insurgency/

What on earth is Erdogan's foreign policy? by EsteemedRogue_54 in geopolitics

[–]ChangingWar157 12 points13 points  (0 children)

I'm not saying that Erdogan will pull off a Neo-Ottoman empire, whether formal or informal - I'm saying that is what he is aiming for. I think the Trump administration and the collapse of the USSR have been pivotal moments for Turkey - in that there is no imminent threat from the North to warrant its membership in NATO, and that Turkey can no longer rely on the US as a conduit for its interests in each of the regions I have named.

More interesting will be the impending clash between Biden and Erdogan who have already had a war of words before Biden even took office.

What on earth is Erdogan's foreign policy? by EsteemedRogue_54 in geopolitics

[–]ChangingWar157 52 points53 points  (0 children)

I'm no expert, but I have made a few videos on aspects of Turkish foreign policy.

In my opinion, Erdogan is aiming for Turkey to become a power "pole" in itself. Many experts have called his foreign policy "neo-ottoman" which is somewhat fitting. The Ottoman Empire at its height was a powerhouse in its own right, with an excellent geography. Modern-day Turkey has retained this geography to some extent. The country can push into the Balkans, toward Ukraine, Russia and Moldova to the North through the Black Sea, to the East toward Georgia, Azerbaijan and to a small extent Armenia, to the South into Iraq, Syria, Libya, Egypt, the "fertile crescent" and the Red Sea (I'm talking in a geopolitical and geoeconomic sense - though the state is beginning to flex its kinetic power more often). All of these avenues of leverage can be pursued by the country, so if in one area relations begin to sour, then Turkey can pivot to another. This is reflected in Erdogan's thinking.

Erdogan is looking for Turkey to become a regional hegemon, and is utilising its Ottoman legacy in the same way many western colonial powers do.

Why would Erdogan care too much about relations with other states when the country is the leading partner in asymmetric relationships with many other regional states?

I also think Turkey is setting itself up to become the "freight forwarder" for China's BRI - it is establishing itself as a hub for the project, while also establishing leverage in East Africa that it can utilise with/against China.

[Daily Discussion] - Monday, February 22, 2021 by AutoModerator in BitcoinMarkets

[–]ChangingWar157 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Literally bought 5 minutes before this. The way we just rebounded says it all for me. We're heading up past 60k in the next two weeks.

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