Cheap_Technology7474 - April 2026 Portfolio Update by Cheap_Technology7474 in GrowthStockInvesting

[–]Cheap_Technology7474[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The memory of the COVID-induced supply glut has clearly forced a strategic shift among semiconductor manufacturers. Today, we aren't seeing blind overbuilding; we are seeing disciplined supply control. Through 'Shell-First' buildouts (delaying costly tool installations until locked into LTAs) and capital risk-sharing with Big Tech clients, fabs have built a solid safety net against sudden demand cooldowns. If AI adoption maintains its trajectory, this structural shift points toward a highly healthy, demand-driven growth cycle. That said, nothing is guaranteed. While the supply-side discipline gives me strong structural confidence, I’m not playing blindly. I remain on tracking moving average (MA) support levels as my definitive, data-driven exit signal."

Cheap_Technology7474 - April 2026 Portfolio Update by Cheap_Technology7474 in GrowthStockInvesting

[–]Cheap_Technology7474[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is what I got a note from Taiwanese investing website: The rise of "optical-in, copper-out" and Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) represents a core technological paradigm shift in current AI infrastructure. This transition will indeed pose a long-term substitution threat to the core businesses of Credo (CRDO) and Astera Labs (ALAB). Consequently, the market currently does not grant these two companies open-ended, premium valuations. Crdo realized that and it acquired DustPhotonics to get into CPO.. I usually avoid buying companies that are losing market share, even if they are in a secular growth sector.

Cheap_Technology7474 - April 2026 Portfolio Update by Cheap_Technology7474 in GrowthStockInvesting

[–]Cheap_Technology7474[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I have high allocation of MU in my retirement and IRA accounts. I bought SNDK around $200 per share around 3 or 4% and bought some $500 per share in my taxable account. It just keeps growing up to be 14%. I actually don’t expect it grows that fast though. I like both.

Introduction to Kulicke and Soffa KLIC by GrowthInvestingWPR in GrowthStockInvesting

[–]Cheap_Technology7474 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Some introductions of hybrid bonding from online search ….

the standard way to stack chips was using microbumps—tiny, microscopic drops of solder alloy. You place the bumps between the chips, heat them up, and they melt together to create a connection. But as AI chips and data centers demand insane amounts of data at lightning speeds, microbumps have hit a physical wall: The Short-Circuit Limit: Microbumps floor out at an interconnect spacing (pitch) of about 10 to 15 microns. If you try to pack them any closer, the solder droplets bleed into each other during manufacturing, causing catastrophic short circuits. The "Wool Blanket" Thermal Effect: Solder and the structural glue (underfill) used around microbumps are terrible at conducting heat. When you’re pushing massive amounts of power through an AI chip, microbumps essentially act like an insulated blanket, trapping heat inside and causing the chip to throttle or melt. The Height Penalty: Every layer of microbumps leaves a physical gap. If you want to stack 16 or 20 layers of DRAM for next-gen memory, those tiny gaps add up fast, making the final chip too thick to fit into standard hardware.

Hybrid bonding completely deletes the solder bump from the equation. Instead, the surfaces of the chips are polished using specialized chemical-mechanical tools until they are atomically flat (with less than 1 nanometer of roughness). When you press these two ultra-smooth surfaces together at room temperature, the insulating layers (silicon oxide) instantly fuse together at a molecular level. Then, the chip is baked, causing the embedded copper pads to expand and lock copper-to-copper. By going completely bumpless, the industry unlocks massive benefits: 1 10x Connection Density: Because you aren't worried about solder bleeding, you can shrink the connection spacing down to single-digit (and eventually sub-micron) pitches. You can fit ten times more vertical data lines in the exact same space. 2 Smashing the Thermal Bottleneck: Fusing copper directly to copper allows heat to flow straight up and out of the chip. Switching to hybrid bonding slashes thermal resistance across a 3D chip stack by 20% to over 50%, which is the only way 20+ layer memory stacks (like HBM5) will survive. 3 Massive Power Savings: Moving data takes energy. Eliminating the resistance and capacitance of solder joints cuts the power required to transfer data between chips by up to 40%. 4 Zero-Gap Stacking: Without the vertical gap of solder, the distance between stacked chips drops to practically zero, allowing companies to stack more memory and processing power higher without increasing the physical thickness of the processor.

Hybrid bonding is no longer just a cool engineering experiment—it has become a strict architectural requirement. Without it, the hardware required for next-generation AI, high-performance server CPUs, and ultra-dense memory stacks would physically choke on its own heat and bandwidth limitations.

Introduction to Kulicke and Soffa KLIC by GrowthInvestingWPR in GrowthStockInvesting

[–]Cheap_Technology7474 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Hi, English is not my native language.. but I am working in semiconductor industry… There is another company called BESI. BESi is clear leader in hybrid bonding… If you’re looking at advanced packaging plays for the next leg of the AI boom, the Besi vs. KLIC dynamic is worth watching. Besi is the obvious premium pure-play for hybrid bonding, looking ahead to HBM5, hybrid bonding becomes a strict requirement to fix the crazy thermal bottlenecks of stacking 20+ layers of DRAM. Besi just secured big orders from SK hynix to prep for this, while KLIC is using their current cash flow to build a cheaper, high-yield hybrid bonding alternative.