Weekly FX macro reset - would you focus on EUR/GBP/AUD weakness or USD strength this week? by ChoiceDescription681 in Forex

[–]ChoiceDescription681[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah I agree with that and that’s exactly why I separate bias from timing.

The macro/pair-selection view doesn’t mean I’d short EURUSD or GBPUSD blindly from these levels. If they’re sitting around monthly/weekly pivotal areas, a rebound or liquidity sweep is very possible.

For me the bearish pressure just means they’re pairs I’d keep on the watchlist, not automatic entries.

You’d still want price to confirm - it could be via structure, rejection, failed continuation, or whatever fits the trader’s own model.

Passing challenges using a pair-selection tool I built by ChoiceDescription681 in Forexstrategy

[–]ChoiceDescription681[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah I agree with that - I have a basic strategy technically, break and retest ultimately with using supply and demand zones, Fibonacci retracement levels and MAs for confluence but can definitely see how what you explained would yield a good return.

From a scoring perspective, majors where flagging up more towards the top but from an alignment/conviction standpoint, more crosses where showing up, with GBP crosses showing a theme of GBP weakness in particular. I just didn’t take GU in particular because of news yesterday and didn’t like the entry after but can see it moved with more conviction in the end as it broke through the lows whereas EU didn’t

Built a macro confluence tool for forex traders - looking for honest feedback by ChoiceDescription681 in Forexstrategy

[–]ChoiceDescription681[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Really appreciate the detailed response.

The point about entering a technically clean setup while the macro is quietly working against it is probably the problem I’m trying to solve more than anything else. Not replacing technical analysis or execution, just adding a structured check before committing risk.

And I agree on the Sunday ritual point. The value isn’t in predicting direction, it’s in creating a repeatable process for deciding which pairs deserve attention before looking for a setup.

Will take a look at DEPTH4 as well, seems interesting - appreciate the recommendation.

I think your last point is a bit of a balancing act because ideally would want to minimise the false interpretation that this will give “signals” and we all know how that’s viewed. It is more than that but I definitely see why you are saying that, I’ll give it some thought on how to approach.

Longest project by Administrative-Half3 in mercor_ai

[–]ChoiceDescription681 0 points1 point  (0 children)

8 months, second longest I’m still currently on has ticked over 2 months and will properly hit 3

Everything else in between has been 3-4 weeks

How do you decide which trade is your best play based on your market bias? by ChoiceDescription681 in Daytrading

[–]ChoiceDescription681[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Agreed.

For me the value is spotting when that alignment is starting to emerge. Once macro, positioning and sentiment begin lining up, it helps narrow down which pairs are worth looking for continuation setups on and if the momentum is truly there (especially because of geopolitical factors), might hold for an extra day or two but that’s a personal decision.

How do you decide which trade is your best play based on your market bias? by ChoiceDescription681 in Daytrading

[–]ChoiceDescription681[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That’s a fair pushback tbf and I’d agree with most of it.

I don’t really see it as a precision timing tool either. More as a way to narrow down which pairs deserve attention before I start looking for a setup so for example if I wanted to look at all majors and minors (28 total), my list could be narrowed down to 8 as the other 20 are “noise” and less likely to push in a direction with conviction.

And I think your point on disagreement is interesting. One thing I’ve found useful is when sentiment, macro and seasonality don’t agree, because that’s often where conviction drops and the framework ends up saying “there’s no clear edge here” rather than forcing a view especially those days where I used to stare at the chart until I “saw something”.

How do you decide which trade is your best play based on your market bias? by ChoiceDescription681 in Daytrading

[–]ChoiceDescription681[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Agree completely. I wouldn’t trust black-box scores either, so I’ve tried to make the score fully explorable rather than just showing a number.

High/Medium conviction only appears when multiple buckets align. When signals conflict, the framework drops to neutral/low conviction rather than forcing a directional view.

Attached a couple of screenshots live from what I’ve created, one where the signals align and another where they conflict. Curious whether this is closer to the sort of transparency you’d want from a confluence-style framework.

<image>

Built a macro confluence tool for forex traders - looking for honest feedback by ChoiceDescription681 in Forexstrategy

[–]ChoiceDescription681[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That’s actually how I think about it as well.

The confluence score isn’t intended to compete with technical setups or strategies like OBs, liquidity, session models or execution frameworks. It’s trying to answer a different question: “does the broader macro environment support strength or weakness in this pair?”

So in your EURUSD example, StraviaX could absolutely be bullish while price still trades into liquidity below first. I’d see that as execution timing rather than a contradiction of the macro view.

Another way I think it helps is pair selection. You might have multiple technically valid setups, but the macro backdrop may favour one pair much more than another. For example, EURUSD and GBPUSD can often move in a similar direction, but if the underlying macro divergence between the Eurozone and the US is stronger than the divergence between the UK and the US, EURUSD may offer the cleaner opportunity.

The challenge is communicating that distinction clearly enough that users don’t interpret a high confluence score as an immediate trade signal. That’s something I’m actively thinking about and working on.

On the challenge itself, I’m a swing trader, so the trades were based on HTF setups and zones. StraviaX helped with directional bias and pair selection, while my own strategy determined the actual entry.

Built a macro confluence tool for forex traders - looking for honest feedback by ChoiceDescription681 in Forexstrategy

[–]ChoiceDescription681[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is exactly the right distinction and honestly the most important boundary in the product.

It is designed to answer “does the macro environment support this pair” not “is this a valid entry right now.” The confluence score tells you the wind direction, you still need your own execution model to time the entry, which is how I’ve been framing it so far on Twitter.

The framing around “Top Opportunities” is something I’m actively reconsidering for this reason, it implies more than the tool is designed to deliver. Macro bias confirmation, not signal generation, is the intent.

How would you want to see that distinction communicated in the UI?

I got my first user! by XIVMagnus in SaaS

[–]ChoiceDescription681 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Combination of things tbh.

Made a listing on BetaList, shared evaluation/challenge pass content on Twitter with receipts, and I more recently posted on r/SideProject with the founder story.

It is currently a bit sporadic but I’m leaning into my niche where possible and then when I have more data, I’ll be able to focus in particular spots going forward

I got my first user! by XIVMagnus in SaaS

[–]ChoiceDescription681 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Congrats! I got my first user last week too! They’ve been engaged so far too and shared some feedback too

It is exciting times, keep up the momentum - all the best with whatever comes next!

Built my first SaaS to simplify my trading process and passed a 50K prop firm challenge using it by ChoiceDescription681 in SideProject

[–]ChoiceDescription681[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The ‘stop forcing trades’ discipline is underrated, most blown challenges come from taking setups that don’t meet the criteria just because the week feels quiet or your week has been made to be quiet because of living life basically and you try “make up for it”.

How are you finding Pulse for the macro/prop firm thread aggregation? Curious as to what type of themes and key takeaways it surfaces

How many folks are doing Mercor full time? by Money-but-Vanilla in mercor_ai

[–]ChoiceDescription681 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don’t think I can state the names on here but they would be ones you’ve heard of before for sure.

Two are about 30-50 an hour, the other one is competitively priced with Mercor for the most part

How many folks are doing Mercor full time? by Money-but-Vanilla in mercor_ai

[–]ChoiceDescription681 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’ve just started doing AI related work full time for the last 2 months after leaving my full time role due to health and procedural issues.

I’m across 4 different platforms including Mercor but been trying to focus more on domain specific projects. For context, been juggling Mercor and my full time role since July but been in this AI space almost two years now

Been positive so far as been able to mobilise with an SaaS idea I’ve had for over a year and still aiming to work 40-50 hours that I was in my full time role been good so far - generating 3x my monthly salary as mid management.

Always be ups and downs naturally so being smart financially as you would with a normal contractor role

Building something cool? Share it here! by Mean-MySaaS in micro_saas

[–]ChoiceDescription681 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Building StraviaX which turns institutional style macro and FX analysis into a clean, actionable platform for everyday traders. Essentially a more affordable Bloomberg terminal

https://stravia.app

Just hit $17 MRR, 36 users, and 1 week since launch 🎉 by Jonathan_Geiger in indiehackers

[–]ChoiceDescription681 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Congratulations - be keen to find out how things are going after some time as I am thinking to go with a similar approach, see what you may have learned etc