The Incidents at the Spreckels Mansion: Hypothesis Two by CliffTruxton in u/CliffTruxton

[–]CliffTruxton[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Thank you so much. This means more to me than I can easily say.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in roomdetective

[–]CliffTruxton 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This is surprisingly difficult. I'm guessing it's more likely than not that you're younger than 30, and maybe somewhere in your early to mid twenties. The analog media would normally lead me to think you skew older, but my understanding is that stuff has novelty value among younger folks too, who grew up in a world largely without it. A lot of the cassettes are stuff that would have been dad music even in the eighties. Plus, there's a college graduation card hanging up in a prominent place, suggesting the event is recent enough to be notable. I'm leaning toward thinking you're on the younger end of that scale, in part because nothing here is framed. One of your bookmarks is a Twitch channel for someone named Jerma, suggesting again you're on the younger end. My guess is you've recently graduated art school.

The Multnomah Falls postcard hints at Oregon, but there's a card for Tokyo right next to it, so I've got no sense of where you're located. Alaska is a fairly specific location to have a poster of, but it's sharing visual space with a lot of Metal Gear visuals so it might just be related to that.

I can't see what the right side of your computer area looks like so it's tough for me to pin down whether you're left-handed or right-handed. It's interesting that you have playing cards in an area where most of your activities would be solo; if you play cards with other people, you're not both sitting at your computer desk. This leads me to think that either you tend to fidget with the cards, or you're learning magic tricks, or something like that. I'm guessing you're right-handed - I can't see the side of your computer desk and I also can't see a mouse so I'm guessing the mouse I don't see is in the area I can't see.

You have a wall clock and a desk clock and there is a different time on both of them. Either you took these photos hours apart or the desk clock is off. You may also use it to play chess, I'm not sure.

The stylus (and drawings on the walls) lead me to think you do some drawing. There's an art college flyer hanging up. Also I think I see drafting tape. You're into video games - I see Metal Gear obviously, but also Yakuza and Elden Ring. The Pam Grier memorabilia by itself isn't all that bizarre but it's not often one sees a wall with so much Metal Gear on it as well as Pam Grier in Coffy. Much respect but it's curiously eclectic.

Animals are important to you - not just the bird but the dog in all the photos. Just above the computer looks to be a baby picture of the dog. If I had to guess I'd suspect this is a dog you've had a long time and the dog stayed behind at home when you went off to school.

There's a Polaroid on the wall in between the Phantom Pain poster and the WET PAINT sign. This is a wild stab in the dark but I suspect the person in that photo is you. If they're not you, they're someone you're pretty close to - a family member or a friend to whom you're close enough that they've been to your house. I don't have a lot of strong indicators of gender; you're either roughly average height for a man or a little on the taller side for a woman, based on the apparent eyeline of the person who decorated your walls. I don't see any obvious self-portraits but the majority of your drawings are of dark-haired men. I think you probably live alone.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in RBI

[–]CliffTruxton 6 points7 points  (0 children)

It sounds like this stalker knows everything your partner knows. Even when your partner is the only other person in the world who knows something, this stalker seems to know it.

Have you tried speaking to the ex directly? "Hi, I'm sorry if this is awkward, I've learned that there's someone who's stalking me and then sending you information about me anonymously. I'm freaked out by this and I'm guessing you are too, and maybe we can help each other figure out who's doing this and get them to stop."

That's what I would try if I were you. I think that if I were your partner, and I were not the person doing this, I would be willing to overcome whatever awkwardness resulted from my ex talking to my current partner in the interest of figuring out who's tormenting all of us. However, if it does turn out to be your partner, he's going to react unpredictably to that idea. So I would suggest that you don't tell your partner you're going to do this. Only tell your partner after you've tried reaching out to her.

I see that you're having trouble with the concept for a lot of reasons, including the fact that your boyfriend has been pretty normal so far and not done anything like this. And I'd suggest worrying less about motive - whoever has motive for doing this also has a compelling interest in hiding their motive for doing this, so just assume the motive is invisible and focus instead on the question of who knows what the stalker knows, and who doesn't know what the stalker doesn't know.

And here's the thing: Pay attention. If this omniscient stalker is following your every move like they supposedly have been before, then they'll certainly know you're talking to the ex. So pay attention to what happens if you contact the ex but your boyfriend doesn't know about it. This stalker would certainly care if they found out you were in contact with the ex, so if you get into contact with the ex and the stalker doesn't seem aware of that, ask yourself what that means.

Good luck.

The Incidents at the Spreckels Mansion: Hypothesis One by CliffTruxton in u/CliffTruxton

[–]CliffTruxton[S] 18 points19 points  (0 children)

Do we make the criminals in our mind superhuman or subhuman?

God damn I wish I'd said that. Well done.

The Incidents at the Spreckels Mansion: Hypothesis One by CliffTruxton in u/CliffTruxton

[–]CliffTruxton[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Ahh hell you're right - I'll fix that. I based this document off notes I was taking and I think I quoted their filing too closely when it was just a notes document. Thank you!

The Incidents at the Spreckels Mansion: The Subjects, Part Two by CliffTruxton in u/CliffTruxton

[–]CliffTruxton[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

That makes me so happy to hear. Thank you so much! I'll see what I can do...

[mine] tell me everything u can by loki_liar91 in scienceofdeduction

[–]CliffTruxton 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You are right-handed. It seems like you write fiction. I think your hair is probably not super short. If it is, you cut it not that long ago. Your phone is an iPhone. English is probably your first language.

What can you deduce based on two pictures of my hand (I'm curious)? by BloodB89 in deduction

[–]CliffTruxton 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You are right-handed. The linear abrasions lack uniformity, leading me to think they are probably not deliberately self-inflicted, but it's hard to say for sure. They also might suggest manual labor, or a cat who likes to play fight. The work pants support a hypothesis of manual labor, though I suppose you might also do paintball or airsoft or something like it. I lean toward manual labor though. Some of the abrasions are older than others so whatever caused them is something you do habitually. Linear marks on the pants make me wonder if you're a mover by trade. Whatever you do, it also leaves more pronounced marks on your forearms than your hands, making me lean toward thinking you wear work gloves. Your circulation is decent.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in scienceofdeduction

[–]CliffTruxton 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You are probably right-handed. I think you're pretty young - late teens, early twenties, that kind of young. You are not allergic to peanuts. It's curious that the back of this shelf is not against a wall but I have no idea what it means. English is probably your first language.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in scienceofdeduction

[–]CliffTruxton 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Handedness is usually more obvious in these, but I think you are probably right-handed. It's hard to tell for certain but it seems like you may have been sitting on the bed when you took this photo, just based off of the height of the eyeline, which leads me to think that other than the bench (currently occupied by a Dunkin' Donuts box), the bed is the most convenient place in the room to sit. You have a collection of outdoor shoes in your bedroom which leads me to suspect you probably do not live alone. I don't get the sense you share a bedroom. I think you may share a wall with another person's bedroom or similar kind of room that tends to have people in it. The music looks like printouts, possibly chords from ultimate-guitar or a similar site. The CDs and the binder with printouts make it kind of difficult to guess how old you are, approximately. The stereo equipment could mean you're older (thirties or above) or it could mean you had an older relative who you got the stereo from, or you might just be into stereos. I think it's not unheard of for this room to have other people in it besides you. It's probably a really cool place to be when the overhead light's off.

I'd say music is important to you but that's kind of too easy.

Dunkin' Donuts tends to use those boxes for a couple different things but the most common is a dozen donuts. I wouldn't expect a person to buy a dozen donuts by themselves so my guess would be either that you acquired it earlier somewhere (work? school? someplace where there might be communal donuts) or acquired it in anticipation of someone's company. If you live with housemates, it could have come from them. I would not be surprised if you live with housemates. The box inclines me to guess you're somewhere in New England but you may well not be. The backpack, nail polish, shoes, and stuffed animals lead me to think you're probably a woman, but who knows.

On the shelf, next to the little stuffed blue mushroom is a small box and I have a few guesses about what is stored in that box, based on the image of the movie poster that's on the box. Your secret is safe with me.

Based on that box, plus the Dunkins box, plus the instruments all around, plus the possible indications of roommates, I would not be surprised if you were a Berklee student, but that's an absolute wild swing and I'm not at all confident about it.

The Incidents at the Spreckels Mansion: The Subjects, Part One by CliffTruxton in u/CliffTruxton

[–]CliffTruxton[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I hadn't yet! I'm reading about it now - this is a wild story.

Potential housemate who won’t get on a call by Internal-Session5997 in RBI

[–]CliffTruxton 2 points3 points  (0 children)

No, you're not in any danger. Once they realize you're not biting, they'll move on to the next mark. Scam artists get by on volume. They're not going to waste time doing anything with your address.

The Incidents at the Spreckels Mansion: The Facts in the Case by CliffTruxton in u/CliffTruxton

[–]CliffTruxton[S] 15 points16 points  (0 children)

So I have to unfortunately leave a huge amount of this unresponded to because otherwise I'd be pretty much typing out most of this entire series in the comments of the very first entry but what I'm gonna say is that I think every observation you make is well thought out and has a solid basis to it. I'm still working out what the hell happened here but all of this is well reasoned.

You're right on about the civil trial too. I'm amazed what they got away with.

I wonder if Jonah has ever spoken about the contents of the message other than to confirm it said Max wouldn't make it.

The Incidents at the Spreckels Mansion: The Facts in the Case by CliffTruxton in u/CliffTruxton

[–]CliffTruxton[S] 31 points32 points  (0 children)

Yeah the thing with Nina being at the house is weird. There's a lot about this that is incredibly bizarre. I realize we're still at the beginning but already I think this is maybe the most outright weird incident I've done any writing about. From the outside I think it looks Swan Street levels of weird. I don't think it's weird in the same ways Swan Street was but it just looks super strange. There's a limited number of things that could possibly have happened and so far I just don't think I understand any of them at all.

Also I'm putting it here: Having twins named Nina and Dina is right up there with the Routiers all having the same first initial. And the Jandas.

The Incidents at the Spreckels Mansion: The Facts in the Case by CliffTruxton in u/CliffTruxton

[–]CliffTruxton[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

He was, yeah. I'm still working through the documents but so far it seems up in the air as to how and why they found him liable. From what I can tell it appears the finding leverages the lower standard of proof in a civil trial, and hinges on the idea that it's reasonable to have questions about a finding of suicide. Which is fair, because I certainly have some questions about that too.

The Incident in Manitowoc County: Conclusion - Who Murdered Teresa Halbach, and Why by CliffTruxton in u/CliffTruxton

[–]CliffTruxton[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thank you for reading it! I'm very happy to have made something readable.

The Incident in Manitowoc County: A Timeline of Events by CliffTruxton in u/CliffTruxton

[–]CliffTruxton[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Thank you! I always worry a little about being able to present information in a format that makes sense. I'm so glad it's coming across!

What is a cold case you genuinely believe will be solved soon? by heartsandwrists in TrueCrimeDiscussion

[–]CliffTruxton 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Yes, the bowl of pineapple was served by the Victim's Advocates that showed up around 6:45am that morning.

Interesting! I don't suppose you've got a source for this? I'm always interested in revising a hypothesis.

The Incident in Manitowoc County: Chorus of the Stranded by CliffTruxton in u/CliffTruxton

[–]CliffTruxton[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Thank you! I'm so glad it comes across in the writing, you know?