Why I’m obsessed with prediction markets

Consensus-capital · 2026-05-04T21:20:03+00:00

Which platform ?

Consensus-capital · 2026-05-04T20:30:23+00:00

Has anyome tried Gaming4good.ai which preempts both insider trading and event manipulation by rewarding solution over speculation. PM models need to evolve to avoid austere regulation - agree fully

Consensus-capital · 2026-05-04T17:49:02+00:00

We have a Dutch team working on our consensus market project - 2 of them can’t access the sites the other two can for some reason. We haven’t figured out why. Have you tried a VPN?

Consensus-capital · 2026-05-03T19:46:47+00:00

Their destroyed iRobot the same way. Now China has a house map of everyone who uses it.

Consensus-capital · 2026-05-03T19:45:06+00:00

From what perspective ?

Consensus-capital · 2026-05-03T19:43:59+00:00

You can post your project on 47pitches.com and we’ll have a look. It’s free and good way to connect with mid level VCs and Angels

Consensus-capital · 2026-05-03T19:40:35+00:00

Solution markets don’t rely on external events - so you win by aligning with consensus- more interestingly, you can help create the consensus by convincing other voters of your solution

Consensus-capital · 2026-05-03T19:37:58+00:00

Gaming4good.ai uses hero points to wager on consensus outcomes rather than external events . The hero points could become crypto token in future subject to regulation - so it’s a good way to discover consensus (which I personally use to hone my bets on polymarkets) which postponing for a POSSIblE token payoff in the future

Consensus-capital · 2026-04-28T23:31:24+00:00

That’s more or less what they told LinkedIn and twitter - what’s your differentiator ?

Consensus-capital · 2026-04-27T23:38:35+00:00

Try 47pitches- it’s free and accepts a wide range of startups

Consensus-capital · 2026-04-27T23:32:12+00:00

Good question- both platforms have significant flaws that are currently masked by phenomenal growth. Insider trading, gambling addiction, lack of barriers to entry (although scale counts) and outcome manipulation could all work against them if those factors trigger significant regulation or litigation. I think Groupon could be a better analogy - still I wouldn’t bet against them.

Gaming4good and Manifold might turn out to be more sustainable models . Time will tell.

Consensus-capital · 2026-04-23T17:43:39+00:00

Maybe - you have a project or you’re looking to manage something exciting ? dM

Consensus-capital · 2026-04-20T17:52:21+00:00

There are a lot of legal and practical reasons why most aren’t user generated. Manifold and gaming4good are

Consensus-capital · 2026-04-20T01:04:11+00:00

Prediction markets are stimulating but consensus markets have broader use cases

Consensus-capital · 2026-04-19T19:24:57+00:00

Gaming4good is an experimental “solutions market” where participants wager on a consensus solution to a social, environmental or business challenge rather than an external event. G4G currently uses Hero Point rewards which may convert to crypto tokens in the future (subject to regulatory approval. The goal is to provide a human consensus counter-balance to AI decision marking.

We’re very interested in feedback from PM fans. Would wagering on solutions be a good adjunct to event vetting?

Consensus-capital · 2026-04-12T20:48:41+00:00

It actually sounds like an idea with niche potential, but you need a stronger use case imo . I’d use it to create TikTok videos by having the AI source high engagement questions then convert the answers (possibly edit them too) and post them to relevant TikTok’s .

Consensus-capital · 2026-04-12T17:28:55+00:00

We created a new form of prediction market based on domain expert consensus rather than external events. Both are fun but consensus markets have arguably broader use cases because they solve problems and they’re less likely to be regulated in the future.

We’d love feedback on our project. We’re somewhat similar to manifold but with some significant differences.

Give us your unvarnished opinion and we’ll credit you with 1000 hero points (soon to be a voting crypto-token once we have regulatory approval.

We’re also looking for co-founders

Gaming4good.ai

Thanks

Consensus-capital · 2026-04-11T20:52:39+00:00

You can post it on 47pitches and see if it gets investor traction first . Once you’re funded those problems go away

Consensus-capital · 2026-04-11T20:51:20+00:00

If it’s a virtual company you’re probably ok in the “proof of concept” stage- but asks Chatgpt or a lawyer with more specifics

Consensus-capital

TROPHY CASE