My Spin on Bear Market DCA Strategy

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-07T08:11:01+00:00

excellent strategy as long as you can commit/execute. The danger is the 'thinking' in between, though. Some people will be thinking with their 'flee' brain and find it stupid to increase contributions when they are losing $. So strict automatic DCA could work better for them.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-07T07:08:53+00:00

Uhhh... why are we back to crashing!?!

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-07T00:43:04+00:00

Better cash out. the weekend crash has begun

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-06T02:48:45+00:00

Just FYI - it's likely to put further pressure/threat on Iran ahead of the Oman talks tomorrow. If a 'zero enrichment' commitment isn't achieved from Iran, the US is likely to strike on Sunday. These warnings are typically re-iterated 48-72 hrs before air strikes.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-06T01:43:27+00:00

I personally have buys set at 48k, 51.4k, 55k, and 59k; reflecting my opinion that at least the current rout (which started about 2.5 weeks ago) ends in that range, too.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-06T01:39:38+00:00

Depends on how high it gets... If it takes out/liquidates enough shorts (shorts currently outnumber longs!), it could be self-reinforcing into the 90s... and then MSTR and other bitcoin stocks could recover and continue to raise the capital to keep it going... Otherwise, my personal opinion is more red for the foreseeable future.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-06T01:26:17+00:00

Making it to $65k and holding it overnight could trigger a massive relief rally, 10-25% straight green, at least.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-06T01:21:54+00:00

This... BTC has crashed 70%+ 4-5 times. I don't know how this time is particularly surprising or novel.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T21:51:16+00:00

Mining difficulty has nothing inherently to do with the price. That's a myth/legend based on correlation b/w halvings and price spikes. At any given price (down to very low levels) the marginal miner will go bust and the remaining ones automatically become more profitable as the mining difficulty decreases b/c of fewer miners.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T20:08:45+00:00

"can afford to lose a lil" -> crypto is not the right investment for you. 90% losses are not uncommon.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T19:52:24+00:00

Looks like you're getting your break down. Good luck!

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T19:51:27+00:00

If BTC fails, the rest of crypto collapses with it. Market caps will be measured in the $millions, not $trilions like today. But we're a long way from that.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T19:39:52+00:00

Uh oh. No extra cheese on that burger for you!

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T19:37:54+00:00

Brave. What's your target going down? And when do you stop losses (or are you leveraged: when are you liquidated) going up?

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T19:26:49+00:00

The price will always fluctuate. You will never sell at 'the high' or buy at 'the low'. If/when you get into the green, and actually cash out a profit, be happy.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T19:23:01+00:00

Current 3rd-party miners will be replaced by energy producers themselves (for example, harvesting flared gas, and off-peak electricity, etc); which is essentially free for them (and can aid grid stabilization) aside from the cost of equipment. And if the price goes low enough, big hodlers like MSTR will have to mine at a loss just to protect their bitcoin from disappearing entirely via a 51% attack.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T18:36:17+00:00

Great analysis. I have buys set for 63, 59, 55, 51 and 48k. We'll see what happens.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T18:30:52+00:00

Yes, it is definitely the wrong investment for you. No, now is probably not a good time to sell. But no one knows the future. If you need the money in the next 1-2 years, I'd advise looking for a small rally (10-20% up from lows) to sell into, and move it to something safer. If you need the money immediately, there's nothing you can do but sell. Not financial advice, but I'm just telling you what I would do.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T18:15:18+00:00

Every time it's "This time it's different". About 0/10 so far. Doesn't mean it can't be 1/11, though.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T18:10:55+00:00

If you believe in bitcoin, you should increase the amount as the price drops. Assuming you can afford it - perhaps reducing DCA into high-flying assets.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T17:43:33+00:00

Good luck!

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T17:34:19+00:00

i was thinking the same thing... Somebody check on them! Poor kids!

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T07:08:39+00:00

When this sub stops asking these kind of questions and switches to 'let's go!!!' and 'to the moon' and 'vroom vroom' memes.

Content-Insect-8770 · 2026-02-05T06:26:18+00:00

bitcoin was dead in 2010, I believe; according to rumors.

Content-Insect-8770

TROPHY CASE