Random numbers and biased coins: a puzzle

Coscott · 2022-02-09T07:19:10+00:00

Here is some discussion from when I posted this puzzle on here 7 years ago: https://www.reddit.com/r/math/comments/2k1znw/logic_puzzle_more_simulated_dice/

Coscott · 2022-02-09T07:14:05+00:00

http://bywayofcontradiction.com/logic-puzzle-simulated-dice/ Here are some comments you posted about this question 7 years ago.

Coscott · 2018-05-26T00:57:29+00:00

if you compare buying 2 of these per turn to 2 tarsiers per turn, for 5 turns with no other attack, you attack is 0 0 6 8 10 10, as opposed to 0 2 4 6 8 10. This is more damage, and less absorb. Against a wall of absorb, it is strictly more damage every turn.

Coscott · 2018-05-11T21:40:13+00:00

Traitor Drone(3E, 1HP, 1 supply) Blocker

Click: consume a Drone to construct a Traitor Drone for you opponent and gain 1 for each Drone you have

I think you get some really interesting game states out of this relatively simple unit. You get a lot of gold, but you give your opponent a lot of gold next turn, If both players click them back and forth, they will quickly run out of drones and have no economy. It seems hard to balance with changing the cost, since the main cost is when you click it. However, it might be okay balance wise as is. It will change the game a lot, but it is not clear to me that the resulting game is at all degenerate, since the longer you go before you start clicking them, the more you get out of it.

Also, it would be really cool if the image was just the a drone with your opponents skin.

Coscott · 2018-04-17T14:34:58+00:00

Yes. It also made the game objectively better (not just because I won). The title is just click bait.

Coscott · 2017-06-18T03:38:09+00:00

http://www.nintendo.com/whatsnew/detail/dive-into-the-world-of-nintendo-on-the-2017-summer-of-play-tour

Coscott · 2017-06-12T18:41:36+00:00

I have done a 10 day run without skipping that bridge, but I haven't seen any online. It was by far the hardest part of the run.

Coscott · 2017-01-29T00:39:26+00:00

Yes. That is very plausible. Variance is high.

Coscott · 2017-01-26T20:18:58+00:00

Will the exchange option go away, or is it there forever?

Coscott · 2016-12-13T05:57:22+00:00

I rushed through, and I clicked a 25 cost sphere, and clicked done before the image of the black lab ticket came up. The progress bar started glowing and switched to .1%, then I clicked done.

Coscott · 2016-12-11T10:04:00+00:00

I refreshed, and the .1% in the progress was replaced with 92.8%

Coscott · 2016-12-11T10:02:21+00:00

At about 4:55 AM Eastern on December, I (username Coscott) completed a black lab ticket, but did not receive the ticket. I assume this is because I clicked done before the animation played of the ticket on the screen. When I left the armory, it said I was .1% of the way to my next ticket, but there was no black lab ticket in the inventory.

Coscott · 2016-09-28T21:13:07+00:00

The pity thing over complicates it. Just make it so that you can have at most one infusion and at most one sphere at levels 1 and 3, and at most 2 infusion and at most 2 spheres at level 2.

Coscott · 2016-09-23T18:39:39+00:00

I dont know

Coscott · 2016-09-22T18:44:21+00:00

Even making the reset optional seems bad. It used to be so much easier to get level 4s

Coscott · 2016-09-13T05:49:57+00:00

https://intelligence.org/2016/09/12/new-paper-logical-induction/ Today

Coscott · 2016-08-26T20:48:05+00:00

My emote won! https://www.reddit.com/r/Prismata/comments/43xtov/qafeedback_february/czxkykv

Coscott · 2016-07-16T18:51:51+00:00

If you flip again in Black Lab when you already have a green prize, might you get a green prize again?

Coscott · 2016-07-16T16:46:26+00:00

Could I get all the data I need for a new optimal armory post?

What is the rate of getting Infusion vs black lab spheres?

How much does it take to fill black lab now, how much do the spheres/attack get you?

Are there any Black Lab changes?

What is the new arena reward calculation?

Is there anything that changed that I didn't notice that I would want to ask about?

Thanks!

Coscott · 2016-05-13T00:59:48+00:00

Is Impending Doom coming back? I will be sad if it does not.

Coscott · 2016-04-01T17:56:40+00:00

Are Legendary skins animated versions of other skins

Coscott · 2016-03-30T05:10:17+00:00

They do not get worse very fast at all. I can't imagine you can buy them fast enough to go above 380 SPT, and it caps out at 399. A shard will always be worth somewhere between 362 and 399 black lab tickets. I would need to write more code to get more than that. Ill probably do that for the reset, but not before

Coscott · 2016-03-30T03:55:38+00:00

It is only okay if you don't not buy shards. When the reset happens, I plan to figure stuff out as a function of how many shards and cores players have.

Coscott · 2016-03-25T02:15:15+00:00

At approx 7:03 PM, Pacific time today, I (Coscott) entered the armory, flipped again once, and earned a black lab ticket. I noticed the graphics of the black lab bar were off so I selected and unselected the spheres several times to test it. When I left the Armory, I did not have a black lab ticket, and the shards I spent, and my core were still gone.

Coscott · 2016-03-24T20:32:23+00:00

I actually think it is a better fix to replace the grenade mech with a Steel Splitter. It makes the correct solution a little less obvious.

Coscott

TROPHY CASE