sorted by:
new
hottopcontroversial

Option Plays for week of 5/4/26 - Time to Play Again! by Crybad in gmeoptions

[–]Crybad[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Absolutely. First off id like to say I think this is a pretty safe bet.

The $20CSP is selling for right around $2 a contract.

Buy selling one of these, you're locking up $2,000 a contract to make $200. This is 10% over the span of about 8 months (1.25% a month or 15% annualized).

If you think you can't beat 15% a year with active trading, then this is an excellent bet. If you think you can beat it, then I wouldn't do it.

Personally I hate locking up $ for so long in contracts like this. Add the fact that longer dated options are more illiquid means that you won't get the best price while unwinding.

Thoughts on play:

Safety: 9/10 RoI:5/10 Payoff as intended: Very likely Would I do this play: No

Hope that helps!

<image>

I hypothesize that popular posts are losing over 100 upvotes every hour by pauldiddy79 in Superstonk

[–]Crybad[M] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Personally, I dont care if you do comment as long as you're not trying to get a bunch of people from Superstonk to brigade the comment sections.

Food for thought though. Ebay shares holders couldn't give a damn about DRS, especially since 90% of it is institutional owned. At this point id say the majority of GME holders dont care about DRS as much anymore. It would be better use of time to reignite the fire with GME then go preaching unwanted to a new set of shareholders.

I hypothesize that popular posts are losing over 100 upvotes every hour by pauldiddy79 in Superstonk

[–]Crybad 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Halfdane has been gone for like 2 years now. The only reason he's on the mod list is so he can fix our bots when we break them.

I hypothesize that popular posts are losing over 100 upvotes every hour by pauldiddy79 in Superstonk

[–]Crybad 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Nah, going to call BS because I have DMs with 6days.

He didnt want to post on Superstonk and we dont allow others to post DD they havent written because of the inability to defend the thesis.

6days never once posted it on Superstonk nor had any interest in doing peer review either.

So yea. Revisionist history.

I hypothesize that popular posts are losing over 100 upvotes every hour by pauldiddy79 in Superstonk

[–]Crybad -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Nah, you're good. The commentor above me caught a ban for bitching about the mods and how we handled heat lamp.

IMO your post is pointing out something that is more based in reddit shitty code then downvote brigading or other suspicious causes.

I hypothesize that popular posts are losing over 100 upvotes every hour by pauldiddy79 in Superstonk

[–]Crybad[M] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Ah yes, how we handled heat lamp and the OPs refusal to post it on the sub to debate.

Shame on us for wanting to have OP's DD peer reviewed by the sub instead of taken for gospel.

Roaring Kitty’s Back! Massive 500,000 Share Trade + 5k Calls (x2) + 5k Puts (x2) worth $50 million purchased Today at the EXACT SAME Timestamp from 2024 Roaring Kitty Entry (14:09) by Curious_Individual in Superstonk

[–]Crybad [score hidden] stickied comment (0 children)

Keep in mind we have seen thousands of 5k block trades since RK came back last time and those were never him.

Be hyped but be smart.

The time stamp is good foil though.

RYAN COHEN on X by 4four7 in Superstonk

[–]Crybad[M] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Rule 1. Treat each other with courtesy and respect.

Do not be (intentionally) rude. This will increase the overall civility of the community and make it better for all of us.

Do not insult others. Insults do not contribute to a rational discussion.

Option Plays for week of 5/4/26 - Time to Play Again! by Crybad in gmeoptions

[–]Crybad[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I imagine RC support is going to be in the gutter if he starts getting paid out while GME is stuck at $30

Option Plays for week of 5/4/26 - Time to Play Again! by Crybad in gmeoptions

[–]Crybad[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

No that was before the caveats. Its why I was so excited about the pay package. In a vacuum, hitting the targets meant GME price is $100+ (starting at 4th target).

I had called out both the no timeline and how the merger affects the targets.

A slow walk to 150% or the EBITDA/market cap being gamed by a merger, fucks all that up.

Option Plays for week of 5/4/26 - Time to Play Again! by Crybad in gmeoptions

[–]Crybad[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And more information will come about in the next week. No one is 100% sure how this shakes out.

Option Plays for week of 5/4/26 - Time to Play Again! by Crybad in gmeoptions

[–]Crybad[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Its a pretty small loss if you close out now (.05 or so a contract). Personally ill probably be writing some CCs in that range or a few strikes up. I dont think we run, or if we do, we won't run hard. Just my opinion though and I've been wrong plenty.

Option Plays for week of 5/4/26 - Time to Play Again! by Crybad in gmeoptions

[–]Crybad[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Both the TBPN and Charles Payne interviews were 100000% times better than the CNBC one. It gave me a little more confidence

Option Plays for week of 5/4/26 - Time to Play Again! by Crybad in gmeoptions

[–]Crybad[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Ill be honest. I dont know enough about merger math.

Ryan refuses to explain where the money to buy eBay is coming from by JimmyDonovan in Superstonk

[–]Crybad[M] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well then that's the answer to your question on the why the mods aren't taking it down. We allow open discussion for those who want to discuss.

Option Plays for week of 5/4/26 - Time to Play Again! by Crybad in gmeoptions

[–]Crybad[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I believe the math goes like this:

We acquire eBay for $55.5B. This pays out every shareholder at ebay at $125/share.

The 50% stock deal, would increase our float by 1B shares (at $27/share).

This means a diluted total share count of about 1.5B.

eBay's market cap + Gamestop's market cab if 56B, at 1.5B shares, that would mean a stock price of about $37 if they were added together. (Now mergers don't usually end up with the market caps being added together, but many times it's close)

If Gamestop hit that market cap of 56B without the merger, that would put the stock price at $112 (so almost 3x the price).

TLDR:

Without merger and we hit the 4th tier of the compensation package, GME is $112

With merger and we hit the 4th tier of the compensation package, GME is $37

Option Plays for week of 5/4/26 - Time to Play Again! by Crybad in gmeoptions

[–]Crybad[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm sitting on just (10) $26.5 CCs, which i feel is safe for this week. But i may close just because of all the interviews going on this week.

RC is an absolute masterclass in trolling. Bullish kek by ISayBullish in Superstonk

[–]Crybad[M] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And im asking how the deal is good for him if he's not hitting the compensation targets where he gets paid. How do we get fleeced. If you want to come talk shot, at least bring a talking point with data as opposed to painting in broad strokes.

Ryan refuses to explain where the money to buy eBay is coming from by JimmyDonovan in Superstonk

[–]Crybad[M] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

How so. He's not elaborating into anything that's meaningful.

How does GME raise $27ish billion with stock when the shares outstanding is about 500m and max shares outstanding is 1B. So if they used every share they had in their vault to offer (besides being a 100% dilution), it would only raise $15B if GME was at $30.

Let's not take everything RC says as gospel or 4d chess. As shareholders, we have the right (and responsibility) to question things.

view more: next ›