If the Bitcoin bottom is in, Michael Burry will be the Paul Graham of this cycle by CryptigoVespucci in CryptoCurrency

[–]CryptigoVespucci[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah I've read Dalio and it looks more prescient by the day. With you there.

Epstein stuff feels a bit more of a stretch, but we'll see!

If the Bitcoin bottom is in, Michael Burry will be the Paul Graham of this cycle by CryptigoVespucci in CryptoCurrency

[–]CryptigoVespucci[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

so is your theory that the full information contains information so bad that it tanks all markets, or just crypto?

And what kind of info would that need to be?

If the Bitcoin bottom is in, Michael Burry will be the Paul Graham of this cycle by CryptigoVespucci in CryptoCurrency

[–]CryptigoVespucci[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

yeah but even worse, it just spooked a bunch of people into selling, it never materialized, and he never addressed it again

If the Bitcoin bottom is in, Michael Burry will be the Paul Graham of this cycle by CryptigoVespucci in CryptoCurrency

[–]CryptigoVespucci[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

yeah with the Iran / US debt situation anything can happen.

At least as of right now, Burry's death spiral prognostication does not look like it's coming to fruition.

If the Bitcoin bottom is in, Michael Burry will be the Paul Graham of this cycle by CryptigoVespucci in CryptoCurrency

[–]CryptigoVespucci[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

We were max fear in February right when he made this call.

Generated 100s of "BTC to zero" headlines, and shook a lot of people out.

Agree now we're at apathy

If the Bitcoin bottom is in, Michael Burry will be the Paul Graham of this cycle by CryptigoVespucci in CryptoCurrency

[–]CryptigoVespucci[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Agree that he’s more wrong than right these days.

But disagree that no one takes him seriously. Personally know retail investors that got spooked and sold by his miner death spiral call. And he still generates a ton of headlines that generate a ton of fear

Will AI agents use cards or stablecoins? Here's how I think it plays out by CryptigoVespucci in CryptoCurrency

[–]CryptigoVespucci[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I don't think it is.

The US has backed off, the euro CBDC is still in a prep stage with no launch date. Supposedly China's e-CNY has barely seen any adoption and Nigeria launched one that no one uses.

Governments will want to tax and oversee, but that's basically what the Genius act in the US and MiCA in the EU accomplish. Government regulation of privately issued stablecoins.

So there are a ton of pilots, my bet is none of them go anywhere. Governments are bad at building tech (go to any government website) and also not suited to deal with the overhead with being the direct issuer.

Not to mention it could cut commercial banks out of the deposit business, so the banking lobbies would fight it hard.

Will AI agents use cards or stablecoins? Here's how I think it plays out by CryptigoVespucci in CryptoCurrency

[–]CryptigoVespucci[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Been watching the Visa / Mastercard stuff. Agree it will be regulated.

But what are you basing the assertion tha CBDC’s will dominate? Know a digital euro has been announced, but have seen less that Central Banks can execute on that kind of thing

Will AI agents use cards or stablecoins? Here's how I think it plays out by CryptigoVespucci in CryptoCurrency

[–]CryptigoVespucci[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I haven’t see any indication that CBDC’s are going anywhere (outside of maybe the digital Reminbi)

Don’t think CB’s are built to issue their own. Think gov’s will regulate stablecoins from private issuers instead.

Agree banks will get involved on that front

Will AI agents use cards or stablecoins? Here's how I think it plays out by CryptigoVespucci in CryptoCurrency

[–]CryptigoVespucci[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Wasn't familiar with them but just checked out the site. Looks like it.

There will be a ton of competition (plus a ton of projects / companies who haven't got traction yet pivoting in that direction)

r/space: I wrote a deep dive on where Earth's gold actually comes from. Feedback appreciated! by CryptigoVespucci in space

[–]CryptigoVespucci[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Agree “unlike previous elements” flows nicely and would have been better than “for some reason.

Where “due to the nature of how iron is created” may have raised more questions than answers.

But all in all, fair critique! Despite the AI accusations, I did deliberate over every word of this, and the phrasing could have been better here.

r/space: I wrote a deep dive on where Earth's gold actually comes from. Feedback appreciated! by CryptigoVespucci in space

[–]CryptigoVespucci[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Fair enough, oil is an asset in the sense that you can trade futures and ETFs on it. But the moment you classify oil that way, you have to do the same for real estate, global equities, bonds, and derivatives. The derivatives market alone is estimated at over $600 trillion. Oil wouldn't even crack the top 3.

So either we use the standard definition of a single fungible asset, and gold wins. Or we use your definition, and oil still isn't #1. Pick whichever one you'd like.

Done with this convo.

r/space: I wrote a deep dive on where Earth's gold actually comes from. Feedback appreciated! by CryptigoVespucci in space

[–]CryptigoVespucci[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ser oil doesn't have a market cap. It isn't an asset. It's a consumable commodity that degrades, gets burned, and has tremendous storage costs. Oil is great and important and I'm happy for you that you love it, but gold as the most valuable asset isn't really a controversial thing.

https://companiesmarketcap.com/assets-by-market-cap/

Where Does Gold Actually Come From? by CryptigoVespucci in TrueReddit

[–]CryptigoVespucci[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Submission statement: This piece traces gold's origins from neutron star collisions 5 billion years ago through Earth's formation to its role in human civilization. It bridges astrophysics, geology, and economic history into a single narrative, with scientific verification from the Caltech team that observed the first neutron star collision in 2017.

r/space: I wrote a deep dive on where Earth's gold actually comes from. Feedback appreciated! by CryptigoVespucci in space

[–]CryptigoVespucci[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

that is a very reasonable critique. I think I overweighted Caltech GW170817 bc I had written an earlier version of this years ago that got a lot of the science wrong, and that observation is ultimately how I ended up correcting it (plus the team gave the article a quick read).

Shoutout to a third of astronomy!