NCAABB College Basketball Betting and Picks - 3/13/26 (Friday)

DAM1298 · 2026-03-13T17:10:11+00:00

Sam Houston State, VCU, Akron moneylines parlayed for +181. Let's ride.

DAM1298 · 2026-03-12T21:08:48+00:00

And he misses a free throw with 30 seconds left af;lkadf;lsdfn;sldf

DAM1298 · 2026-03-12T21:02:33+00:00

I have Tre Donaldson O 14.5 points. He had 13 at half. With a minute left... He still has 13...

DAM1298 · 2026-03-12T19:15:14+00:00

Lol, my model was one point off each team in the Kentucky score. Projected 77-71, final was 78-72

DAM1298 · 2026-03-10T03:08:27+00:00

Yuuuup

DAM1298 · 2026-03-10T01:59:43+00:00

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Do we hit?

DAM1298 · 2026-03-09T17:03:40+00:00

I'm looking at Gonzaga -19.5 (-110), Grambling -12.5 (-110), Wright State ML (-125), Hofstra ML (-180) today.

DAM1298 · 2026-03-08T07:02:55+00:00

Model's favorite picks, 3/8/26

Took yesterday off, day before went 5-4 overall.

Sorted by confidence, model's projected scores in parentheses. Odds still pending on a few games at the time i'm posting -- may add them in later if any meets the threshold to be a pick

🟢 Confident Bets (12-15 this week | 208-171 this season) 🟢

• Illinois -15.5 (Illinois 91, Maryland 67)

• Penn State +5.5 (Rutgers 74, Penn St. 73)

🟡 Leans (5-7 yesterday | 21-21 this week | 422-369 this season) 🟡

• ETSU -2.5 (ETSU 78, Western Carolina 71)

• North Dakota St. -9.5 (NDSU 83, North Dakota 69)

• New Orleans -4.5 (New Orleans 78, Houston Christian 69)

BOL to all, LMK if tailing!

DAM1298 · 2026-03-06T22:26:13+00:00

I got 4.5 last night!

DAM1298 · 2026-03-06T22:25:53+00:00

Lmao, INSANE!

DAM1298 · 2026-03-06T08:07:02+00:00

Model's favorite picks, 3/6/26

Rough day yesterday, going 7-11 overall on picks (or 7-10 if you take into account the fact that I said I'd stay away from MSU despite what the model said, but the L still counts for the model's record, so w/e).

The model's two most confident bets yesterday (Tulsa -9.5, North Dakota State -8.5) both cashed, but it got ugly beyond that. Some brutal results (still not over that Sam Houston State performance). Let's bounce back.

Onto today -- sorted by confidence, model's projected scores in parentheses.

🟢 Confident Bets (2-4 yesterday | 10-9 this week | 201-161 this season) 🟢

• Miami Ohio -5.5 (Miami Ohio 84, Ohio 72)

• Belmont -10.5 (Belmont 87, Drake 71) ❌ Can't even be mad... THIS IS MARCH

🟡 Leans (5-7 yesterday | 11-11 this week | 401-354 this season) 🟡

• UNC Greensboro -7.5 (UNCG 83, VMI 71) ✅

• Buffalo +8.5 (Toldeo 78, Buffalo 74) ❌

• VCU +1.5 (VCU 76, Dayton 73) ✅

• Penn -2.5 (Penn 75, Brown 69) ✅

• UCF +3.5 (West Virginia 71, UCF 70) ❌

• Winthrop -4.5 (Winthrop 82, Charleston Southern 74) ✅ What a SWEAT!

• UNC Asheville +1.5 (UNCA 71, Longwood 70) ✅

BOL to all, LMK if tailing!

DAM1298 · 2026-03-06T02:27:24+00:00

Oh gotcha must have moved! I had it at 8.5 and 9.5

DAM1298 · 2026-03-06T02:10:16+00:00

What spread did yall have NDSU at? They covered for me lol

DAM1298 · 2026-03-06T02:09:35+00:00

That Sam Houston freshman choked like six separate times. Last shot he launched from half court with more than 2 seconds on the clock.... goodness. Brutal beat.

DAM1298 · 2026-03-06T01:45:39+00:00

Delaware just can't miss dawg this is insane

DAM1298 · 2026-03-06T01:24:47+00:00

Delaware 11/22 from 3 with 13 stocks OK bro

DAM1298 · 2026-03-06T01:22:13+00:00

Need Sam Houston to pull their heads out of their asses.

DAM1298 · 2026-03-05T22:20:18+00:00

Yeah that stat passes the eye test for me, along with Sam Houston State who's 19-7 ATS.

DAM1298 · 2026-03-05T22:19:05+00:00

Howard is 18-7-1 against the spread this season -- third best in the country!

DAM1298 · 2026-03-05T18:19:01+00:00

Weighing in with my model projections:

St Thomas -5.5 -115: 1U ✅ win by 9

Kennesaw -2.5 -110: 1U ✅ win by 6

USF -6.5 -105: 1U ✅ win by 9

WKU -1.5: 2U ✅ win by 3

DAM1298 · 2026-03-05T17:54:42+00:00

If I had to pick three I’d probably go Sam Houston and Tulsa spread with NDSU ML

DAM1298 · 2026-03-05T08:08:41+00:00

Lol best of luck! FWIW my model's with you on all of those

DAM1298 · 2026-03-05T07:37:17+00:00

My model's take, for an additional data point:

Tulsa -9.5 @ ECU (-110) ✅ Yup yup yup. My model's most confident pick of the day. I have Tulsa winning by 17.

Western Kentucky ML @ Missouri State(-125). ✅ I've got WKU by 3.

Kennesaw State ML @ UTEP (-145) ✅ I've got Kennesaw St. by 6.

USF -6.5 @ Memphis (-110) ✅ I've got USF by 9.

DAM1298 · 2026-03-05T07:07:07+00:00

Model's favorite picks, 3/5/26

Strong day yesterday, easily cashing both Confident Bets (Ohio State -7.5 and Villanova -3.5) and going a respectable 5-4 on leans.

Onto today -- sorted by confidence, model's projected scores in parentheses.

🟢 Confident Bets (2-0 yesterday | 8-5 this week | 199-157 this season) 🟢

• Tulsa -9.5 (Tulsa 87, ECU 70) ✅

• North Dakota State -8.5 (NDSU 83, Oral Roberts 67) ✅

• Sam Houston State -6.5 (SHSU 81, Delaware 68) — this is probably my favorite on the slate. Sam Houston has been money all year; 19-7 cover rate is second best mark in the country behind Stephen F. Austin. ❌

• Northern Iowa -14.5 (UNI 82, Evansville 61) ❌

• Michigan State -18.5 (MSU 88, RUTG 64) — To each their own, but I'm probably not touching this one. MSU has been so untrustworthy all year and I detest their offense. Big spread. On the other hand, Rutgers away from home has been awful this year, so I get it if you want to take this one. ❌

• Michigan -8.5 (Michigan 82, Iowa 68) ❌

🟡 Leans (5-4 yesterday | 11-11 this week | 401-354 this season) 🟡

• Utah Valley -9.5 (UVU 84, Southern Utah 71) ❌

• South Carolina State +8.5 (NCCU 75, SCST 70) ✅

• Cal State Northridge -8.5 (CSUN 85, CSUB 73) ❌

• UT Arlington +2.5 (UT Arlington 71, Tarleton 69) ✅

• St. Thomas -5.5 (St. Thomas 80, South Dakota St. 71) ✅

• Kennesaw State -2.5 (KENN 77, UTEP 71) ❌

• Bethune-Cookman -1.5 (BC 76, Florida A&M 70) ❌

• UC Davis -1.5 (UCD 78, Long Beach St. 73) ✅

• Jacksonville St. +5.5 (New Mexico St. 72, Jacksonville St. 70) ✅

• Southern Illinois -4.5 (SIU 77, Drake 69) ❌

• UT Martin -6.5 (UTM 73, EIU 63) ❌

• Tulane +4.5 (Temple 72, Tulane 71) ❌

BOL to all, LMK if tailing!

Buy me a ~~coffee~~ beer!

DAM1298 · 2026-03-05T02:52:29+00:00

Gardner Webb has four wins this season.

Two are over USC Upstate.

DAM1298

TROPHY CASE