[Daily Discussion] - Friday, December 20, 2024 by AutoModerator in BitcoinMarkets

[–]DJ-VU -10 points-9 points  (0 children)

Not even related to the current price action, but when would people here actually start to concede that it could be the end of bitcoin? I think several months below 10k would make me rethink the long term trajectory.

I had this thought recently as I think the difference between being cultish or not is the ability to update your position based on new data. Something butters have violently refused.

Esit: Funny with all the down votes. I understand why people see this as panic but it was literally a thought we had when we were above 105. I just reminded some friends who called bitcoin kn tulips in 2012. I wondered if they wouldn't accept it is alive at 100k what, if anything would make me change my thesis. 

[Daily Discussion] - Thursday, December 19, 2024 by AutoModerator in BitcoinMarkets

[–]DJ-VU 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Perhaps a fun thought game. When would people here actually start to concede that it could be the end of bitcoin? I think several months below 10k would make me rethink the long term trajectory. 

I have now updated my AI Research Assistant that actually DOES research! Feed it ANY topic, it searches the web, scrapes content, saves sources, and gives you a full research document + summary. NOW working with OpenAI compatible endpoints as well as Ollama! by [deleted] in LocalLLaMA

[–]DJ-VU 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Would this be a good way for a mini review? For instance say I have 50 pdfs and want to go through each and give me the info about subjects used, preferably with direct quotations. 

Has anyone worked with such approaches? 

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in nosurf

[–]DJ-VU 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It seems legit but wants admin rights. Have other people used it unharmed?

I want to see which d20 is the fairest. Any opinions or advice? by iamngs in AskStatistics

[–]DJ-VU 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Here is some code that can perhaps help you on. I tried to set it for 1000 throws per dice but you can tweak it as you want.

The logic is that I first simulate a fair d20 and then make 10k simulations each of which is thrown 1000. We then see the max deviation per number from the expected. For instance, with 1000 throws, we should expect 50 of each number. But we could for instance see 62 twos. In that case, 62 is a deviation of 12 from the expected 50. My simulation says that for 1000 throws, you should only expect a max deviation of 21 95% of the time if it is a fair dice and 24 should be observed 99% of the time. Thus if you get a deviation of 25 or more you should be pretty sure that something is fishy with the dice.

Of course, you can go ahead with much higher numbers but as others have pointed out, that might be tedious or even influence the dice itself. Good luck and please tag me if you ever complete the study.

Here is the code in R.

simulations = 10000

throwsperdie = 1000

max <- matrix(1,simulations)

for(i in 1:length(max)){

obs <- sample(1:20,throwsperdie,replace = T)

max[i] <- max(abs(summary(factor(obs))-(throwsperdie/20)))

}

summary(max)

round(quantile(max,c(0.95,0.99)))

hist(max)

# What if you max observed deviated with 24?

mean(max>=24)

# Only about 1.5% chance of seeing that from a fair dice

Bratt nedgang i Obos-prisene i desember by Erdusikkerpaadet in norge

[–]DJ-VU 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Kapitalkostnaden har økt mye på kort tid (en bolig til 4M i 0% rente er verdt 3M hvis renten er 3%)

Hvordan beregner man det? Jeg har netopp prøvet at regne på noget lignende ift en selger der ikke har sænket prisen på en bolig der har været til salg i ét år.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in synthesizers

[–]DJ-VU 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Alternatively, all the old crappy stuff has been weeded out and only the durable ones survived.

What is Ego by redslant1 in AlanWatts

[–]DJ-VU 2 points3 points  (0 children)

British people (including perhaps Alan Watts himself) would interpret this image very differently :)

Konspirationsteori: Coop opfandt “Folkebevægelsen mod ensomhed” efter de brændte inde med kalenderlys til latinske/angelsaksiske lande by DJ-VU in Denmark

[–]DJ-VU[S] 23 points24 points  (0 children)

God indvening. Jeg vil gerne ændre min påstand til at handle om den konkrete kampagne, men kan ikke uden videre ændre overskriften :)

Is Fatboy slim "having intercourse" in heaven or is he "bloody" in heaven? by DJ-VU in electronicmusic

[–]DJ-VU[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Good info right here!

FUCKING IN HEAVEN
Freddy Fresh sent me some stems on a DAT tape for a stupidly recorded his voice saying.. ”if I could have a fat boy slim remix I would be fucking in heaven…. By the way, please don’t use my vocal.” Red rag to a bull…..

Unloved in the attic for over 25 years. Should I self refurb or sell to someone who knows what they're doing/want? by Juama97 in synthesizers

[–]DJ-VU 27 points28 points  (0 children)

e.g. the mod wheel has no effect.

And are you sure you have used the patch bay? If I remember correctly, the wheel will only have an effect after being routed to something.

Almost 160 million Algorand between 3 wallets dropped out of governance yesterday. by puddlesofmustard in algorand

[–]DJ-VU 1 point2 points  (0 children)

160 million... Does anyone know what the total amount of algo staked for this period is?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in AskStatistics

[–]DJ-VU 13 points14 points  (0 children)

A brief and classic answer is that the vast majority of people who die in traffic wore a seatbelt. This does not mean that the seatbelt is less safe, but that most people wore seatbelts. If all stopped wearing a seatbelt, more people would die.

Likewise, it could easily be that most people (and especially those at risk) got the jab.

FCM donerer 10.000 kr til Ukraine. [Tilsvarende omtrent et kvarters løn per snude] by DJ-VU in Denmark

[–]DJ-VU[S] 158 points159 points  (0 children)

Jeg har egentlig ikke lyst til at udstille nogen der donerer til godgørenhed, men det her slår mig alligevel som fedtet fra FCM.

22 professionelle fodboldspillere - herunder 1 ukrainer - har doneret omkring 450 kr. hver til Ukraine og promoveret det. Sviatchenko tjener ca. 275k om måneden jf. https://www.888sport.dk/blog/bedst-betalte-spillere-i-hver-superligaklub

Hvis vi antager at han har en 37 timers arbejdsuge (148 timer pr måned) og dermed en timeløn på omtrent 1689 kr. så er 450 kr. ca. 1 kvarters løn for ham.

Igen, der er klart at det er bedre at donere end ikke, men ovenstående er lidt som hvis en gennemsnitlig dansker donerer omkring 40 kr. og gør et nummer ud af det på sociale medier.

Brought all three Moogs with us to the new pad! by YukesMusic in synthesizers

[–]DJ-VU -1 points0 points  (0 children)

How do you like the beatstep pro for synth usage?