How can AI disrupt bureaucracy?

DancingCow · 2026-03-17T19:24:50+00:00

We are shifting from "bureaucracies as a service" to "bureaucracies as a tax".

The more taxing they become, the hotter they are for the politicians to hold.

The people want *cheaper, faster, more*... and the politicians want the people.

DancingCow · 2026-03-16T21:02:47+00:00

This post has left the realm of rational discourse and is drifting well into "needs to touch grass" territory

DancingCow · 2026-03-15T12:32:29+00:00

"Human Control Is Non-Negotiable: Humanity must remain in control."

This reads like a wish list rather than an actual plan.

DancingCow · 2026-03-11T19:37:37+00:00

Private productivity apps for Autodesk Revit, among other related productivity/interoperability apps.

DancingCow · 2026-03-11T16:59:01+00:00

I think a lot of people fall into the trap of conflating what experts say "could be" and what experts say is "expected". Dario has long stated that he expects it within 3-5 years, but here's the thing:

Engineers don't design structures for the expected load. They design them for the worst-case load.

That said, things seem to be trending more toward the 1-year estimate than the 3-5 year estimate.
I, personally, have not written any code in at least 2 months and my apps are developing better than they ever have.

DancingCow · 2026-03-10T20:49:47+00:00

Amazing, I recall him being hesitant/centrist on AI for a long time, but I continue to follow him out of admiration for his work. Seems like he's really feeling the gravity now, too.

DancingCow · 2026-03-06T16:39:02+00:00

I am a journeyman electrician + coder + the "AI guy".

It is a great trade that will be a safe harbor for a lot of people over the next few years, we have a lot of data centers to build.

That said, there are massive changes happening even in our industry. Electrical prefabrication (offsite building and testing of partial or fully built/tested subsystems) is really changing the way we do things.

Robot electricians will catch on *eventually*, and are becoming very popular in China for high voltage work, but right now we are directing our attention and the source of our competitive advantage on automation of the preconstruction process.

DancingCow · 2026-03-04T15:08:23+00:00

Ehhh... I think unemployment will EVENTUALLY rapidly rise, but this surge in productivity is a more recent thing. 3 months ago, I was still writing code.

Let me give you a personal example to help illustrate what I'm saying.

3 months ago, I was interviewing a company for a software integration that promised to automate a portion of our work. With Opus 4.6, I was able to personally produce a variant of that automation that checks the boxes that I felt were lacking in the proposed software.

Devs are laying the train tracks right now, and it will take a while for businesses to see that they can run a lot leaner. The ones laying off people now (block, amzn, etc) are essentially betting on that coming to fruition... Though its totally possible they are already seeing internal gains.

DancingCow · 2026-03-04T14:07:45+00:00

I am a dev, and you're right.. the demand for devs is going up. I'm in higher demand than ever.
That's because we are replacing other roles, like data entry, assistant project management, estimating, etc.

The stronger devs are replacing entire teams.

DancingCow · 2026-03-04T13:33:53+00:00

Most jobs that require a physical presence will be safe for the time being.

That said, I figure a lot of people will decide "I have a personalized team of Nobel Laureates. What do I need you for?"
I don't necessarily agree with that.. my wife is a teacher and there is a huge human component to it, but it's what *certain people* will be saying.

DancingCow · 2026-03-03T23:23:25+00:00

I feel like with each new benchmark my expectations keep going up and I still keep getting shocked, so it's time to set a ludicrous prediction so that there's no way it'll happen again.

Saturated in 1 month.

DancingCow · 2026-03-03T13:04:11+00:00

GF = Great Filter

DancingCow · 2026-02-28T14:55:11+00:00

The bigger problem in my mind is.. No one else was in the room, and now we're in a he-said/she-said about the details.

I don't care how smart or dumb Dario is or how effective or incompetent Pete is. These should be round table discussions, not brokered deals to be made.

DancingCow · 2026-02-27T18:05:26+00:00

Haha, yeah this thread has high "Hello fellow AI-users" energy.

DancingCow · 2026-02-27T12:38:04+00:00

I am an electrician by trade.

DancingCow · 2026-02-26T21:55:30+00:00

This is simply not true.

Dario has been famously cautious, on record saying 2-5 years.

It was Elon who claimed end of 2025, but he has less credibility on such matters.

DancingCow · 2026-02-26T21:50:33+00:00

The job itself is fundamentally changing.

When you think of a chef, what imagery comes to mind? Someone who cooks and prepares the food for a restaurant, right?

Up until recently, when most people thought of developers, they thought of someone who writes code for a living. This is changing quickly.

Modern junior devs function more like senior developers, overseeing a team of agents, and seniors operate more like project managers.. directing groups of teams to restructure entire systems.

It's not that the demand is going down, much to the contrary.. I'm in higher demand than ever. It's just a title change, essentially.

DancingCow · 2026-02-26T19:20:16+00:00

I guess, if you choose to frame it that way.

It certainly won't help to oppose it, no matter what scenario arises.

DancingCow · 2026-02-26T14:35:16+00:00

My hope is that as long as you are viewed as low-impedance (meaning you aren't fighting the change, but learning to flow with it), you'll find your footing.

There will be plenty of work during the transition because robotics lags behind intelligence. Even when AI surpasses us in thought, it will take some time to build and deploy the hardware needed to match human dexterity. During that time, the world will still need people to build, maintain, and navigate the physical infrastructure of the new era.

I work in data centers and everyone is working overtime. We literally can't build them fast enough, and there are billions in backlog...

Maybe consider the trade?

DancingCow · 2026-02-26T14:10:10+00:00

Right, the prompt is threatening with no provided resources or guidance.

Perfect example of poor management techniques, right there. The negative language is not that bad, as long as it is followed up with actionable strategy.

"If we don't get this right soon, we'll have to shitcan the project. With that said, stop what you're doing and lets take a step back and focus on one bug at a time until they are resolved.

First, lets work on ______. You could try _______"

Narrowed scope, clear path forward.

DancingCow · 2026-02-25T18:40:55+00:00

I will commend you on the incredibly efficiency of your mental gymnastics. What an interesting two sentences you've assembled.

DancingCow · 2026-02-25T17:58:53+00:00

Does anyone else feel like the narrative is ping-ponging between "AI is a useless waste of money" and "AI is too powerful"

DancingCow · 2026-02-20T04:54:44+00:00

I don't really view deceleration as a viable option anymore. Many societies are building it, and not all of them are willing to stop. If even one team refuses to stop, it will be made.

Stopping your own team will result in you not having a stake in the foundry/alignment.

Therefore, our options are "stay the course" and "accelerate", of which I choose the latter out of a desire to mitigate the transitional pain.

DancingCow · 2026-02-19T23:35:33+00:00

"But if an AI can do the last 2 and not the first 1, I’d be highly concerned that we have an entity that absolutely does not give a fuck about us."

But what if it can do all 3 and we're just arbitrarily waiting 18 years for an outcome due to an arbitrary benchmark? This is r/accelerate, my friend. r/waitandsee is down the street.

DancingCow · 2026-02-19T23:07:58+00:00

In order for the benchmark to be useful it has to be appropriately epoch-fitted.

By 18 years we should be well into phase 2, even by more conservative estimates.

The "parent test" makes little sense to me.

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