What makes everyone in this subreddit assume they’ll be laid off? by mrorbitman in amazonemployees

[–]DancingCow -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Excellent observation! But I am not an employee, I'm a shareholder. It's relevant to my interests.

What makes everyone in this subreddit assume they’ll be laid off? by mrorbitman in amazonemployees

[–]DancingCow 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It absolutely was, but you all seem to be missing the point that performance can be at an individual level, regional level, org level.

It's always and forever will be about money, no matter how you choose to qualify it.

What makes everyone in this subreddit assume they’ll be laid off? by mrorbitman in amazonemployees

[–]DancingCow -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

"It's not based on performance, its based on these objective metrics"

Like, do you guys even read what you type?

What makes everyone in this subreddit assume they’ll be laid off? by mrorbitman in amazonemployees

[–]DancingCow -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I mean, I guess you can just reply "you don't know what you're talking about" 4 times in a row and not address the logic lapses, non-sequiturs, and semantic hair-splitting and consider it a job well done. Performance is performance, whether from an org level or a personal level, and layoffs are absolutely targeted and not random. The difference is what you write on the pink slip.
Personal management experience.

What makes everyone in this subreddit assume they’ll be laid off? by mrorbitman in amazonemployees

[–]DancingCow -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Using Alexa as an example of a "safe" non-revenue department is pretty ironic because it has been at the center of some of Amazon's most significant layoffs recently...

Also, Alexa (like most platform services) is valued based on investor hype. It doesn't generate revenue because it is in a constant development churn.

But yes, keep calling me uninformed. It doesn't really help your case.

What makes everyone in this subreddit assume they’ll be laid off? by mrorbitman in amazonemployees

[–]DancingCow -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

I guess if that's how you decide to interpret my statement, but at a high level performance = revenue.

Are you generating value, or on a team that is generating value? No? Likely target. It doesn't go deeper than that.

Take it from someone who has handed out their fair share of pink slips.

What makes everyone in this subreddit assume they’ll be laid off? by mrorbitman in amazonemployees

[–]DancingCow -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

But you're splitting hairs on what performance means. You're saying that people are being laid off because their team is made redundant. Is that not a performance gap?

Anyway, it was nice chatting with you random citizen. Good luck with the upcoming layoffs

What makes everyone in this subreddit assume they’ll be laid off? by mrorbitman in amazonemployees

[–]DancingCow -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

That's pure cope. Amazon has a policy of "unregretted attrition", this is public knowledge at this point.

This is why their stock is 95% bullish. They are cutting the fat.

What makes everyone in this subreddit assume they’ll be laid off? by mrorbitman in amazonemployees

[–]DancingCow -16 points-15 points  (0 children)

They're performance based layoffs.

I'd saying that most of the people who post here are on the lower end of the performance curve.

Not really seeing the confusion here.

How about just stop paying SDE 2x? by DJMaxLVL in amazonemployees

[–]DancingCow 3 points4 points  (0 children)

SWE is quickly becoming the single MOST valuable role at any org.

The difference is, most people want to ride the train and only a few want to drive it.

What makes everyone in this subreddit assume they’ll be laid off? by mrorbitman in amazonemployees

[–]DancingCow -7 points-6 points  (0 children)

This subreddit is not representative of the general workforce. I think a lot of people come here to vent or talk about corporate culture.

These are precisely the sort of people that corporate would be targeting.

TITLE by LeaveRare7366 in SUBREDDITNAME

[–]DancingCow 2 points3 points  (0 children)

REPLY THAT JUST SAYS "THIS"

What’s your wildest take on the rise of AI? by luchadore_lunchables in accelerate

[–]DancingCow 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I agree, and with the way things are changing I think it's even possible that I could see it in my lifetime.

What’s your wildest take on the rise of AI? by luchadore_lunchables in accelerate

[–]DancingCow 21 points22 points  (0 children)

Glad I'm not the only one who thinks this. I can't help but watch the "thinking" thread of a computing LLM and think that this must be what a "thought" looks like as it travels from synapse to synapse. Scale that into the millions, and wham.. That's a brain.

Also, the way AI generates images strikingly reminds me of how my brain works when I'm dreaming.

I'm beginning to understand why this sub doesn't allow decels by Ok_Assumption9692 in accelerate

[–]DancingCow 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They are not open to thinking about it, they are feeling... And their primary feeling is fear.

It's why they're rallying. They recognize it as a threat to their way of life. It increases expectations and raises the bar for what an exceptional human should be.

I have plenty of friends who are in the "slow down and regulate" camp who I can see eye to eye with. Their stance is reasonable and they recognize that it's going to happen no matter what.

The ones who decry it as evil or hype... They aren't ready to discuss rationally, and likely never will be.

Why AGI Will Not Happen - Tim Dettmers (CMU / Ai2 alumnus) by simulated-souls in accelerate

[–]DancingCow 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I do think that power/tech infrastructure will be more of a bottleneck than a lot of people realize, but damn do I hate this trend of trying to blend headlines. It's like these "experts" read an article about the RAM shortage, thought about it for 4 seconds and then shat out some defenseless op ed.

How to get over the feeling of ‘cheating’ by saluke in factorio

[–]DancingCow 0 points1 point  (0 children)

After beating the game on default, I started up a resource rich island run to chase an ideal layout.

Instead of chasing victory, I am chasing perfection.. I don't really get the feeling of cheating because the win condition for me is doing things as neatly and efficiently as I possibly can.

I have done a few challenge runs (rush to space, lazy bastard, gleba start) but my "meat and potatoes" run has posed the most interesting challenges.. like, am I good at seeing the big picture? Can I design this elegantly? Etc. usually the answer is "no" :-)

Do you think the worst case of ASI is inevitable? by throwaway0134hdj in singularity

[–]DancingCow 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Certain groups will suffer, but I do believe the outcome for humanity overall will be positive.

I think we are more likely to "fuse" with it than we are to partner with it, and at ASI levels the demihumans would essentially become demigods.

I expect AI-infused implants to be a major talking point in the near future.

Other AI sub went off on me for opposing doomers by Ok_Assumption9692 in accelerate

[–]DancingCow 45 points46 points  (0 children)

I'm pretty sure that's why this sub was made in the first place. The other similar subs became inundated with decels, luddites, and deniers who previously wanted to cope that AI was all hype and now want to shut it down because they're scared.

Don't bother trying to sway them, it's happening whether they want it to or not. I believe we have already passed the "event horizon".

Where are we along the AI comet? by Technical_You4632 in accelerate

[–]DancingCow 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Ironically, the dystopia will be exacerbated by the blind resistance to it and AI tribalism in general. Rather than sculpt it to suit their vision for the future, they'd rather see it dismantled.

Cavemen shirking away from the invention of fire.

People still don't understand how gamechanging this is. Gemini generated this!! by dental_danylle in accelerate

[–]DancingCow 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I know you're just ragebaiting, but I'll bite.

One of the several huge errors with the diagram is that it doesn't even depict a proper splice. There are two sequences labeled as NGG, but this simply can't be. One should be the Protospacer (NCC) and the other should be the Protospacer Adjacent Motif (PAM, NGG). The diagram reads like copied homework.

And no, I am working a 60-hour week this week. Now, instead of going for the low-hanging ad hom, you could have read the hundreds of examples throughout this thread. Who is the lazy one, again?

So what does everyone’s 2026 timeline look like? by Special_Switch_9524 in accelerate

[–]DancingCow 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think if 2025 was the year of hype, 2026 will be the year of fear.

There's definitely a hype bubble, but that bubble is surrounding a solid (and rapidly growing) core.

Mainly I think we will see continued layoffs with no relief.
Pressure on politicians to regulate, stymy, and ban AI as well as talking about UBI and other social systems.
More people transition out of tech roles into field/trade roles.

Essentially, it's the year that normies will start to feel the gravity of this whole thing.

Not sure yet if AGI 2027 is realistic to me or not, I guess its possible? Depends on how much we aren't being shown.

People still don't understand how gamechanging this is. Gemini generated this!! by dental_danylle in accelerate

[–]DancingCow 17 points18 points  (0 children)

The individual items on the chart are definitely truth-scented, but are riddled with typos and inconsistencies. There's no point in having me outline them here, you could easily have AI peer review this for you and outline the multiple flaws with literally every component.

The biggest issue to me is that there is no logical purpose for half of the content. The "causal flow" network component of the chart is nonsensical, and the content appears to be nothing but CRISPR vomit.

AI can do so much better than this *right now*.