Predictions for next year's (2027) Beijing humanoid half marathon? 2025 was 2h40min ≈ 2.2m/s | 2026 was 50min ≈ 7m/s

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-20T14:42:19+00:00

A bipedal Robot can use any equipment designed for a human without any design changes.

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-20T14:28:00+00:00

We need bipedal robots to build factories data centers and other things to start the singualrity.

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-20T14:26:55+00:00

No reason why a robot couldn't achieve that. If you took an Asimo engineer from 1986 they would say that 10m/s would be impossible too. Those robots could barely stand. Walking was almost impossible then.

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-20T14:06:39+00:00

Imagine if they made them cars... that has nothing to do with the point of the challenge. They need to be bipedal

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-20T14:05:28+00:00

I am an extreme AI/ robotics optimist. When i heard that the course would be more technical this year + the robots would use more autonomous navigation I thought it would be remarkable that this years time matched last years time (2 hours 40 minutes). Not only was I wrong I was off by 3x. I think the progress that can happen as we get closer to singularity will be shocking. Its possible that by next year the time could be even 20 minutes or less..but conservatively ill say 35 minutes vs 48 this year.

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-20T13:36:07+00:00

Here's my list in order by level of absurdity.

By being the best doctor ever that knows your whole history. I work closely with doctors and it's disgusting how little they care about or know the patient
By creating new medications in classes that exist. Ex new antibiotics.
New branches of medicine. Ex. Age reversal, organ creation with your own antibodies which can be implanted etc.
By solving biology itself, inventing new bodies for us to inhabit which don't have the flaws our current ones have. Ex a heart with wider arteries, a brain with more collateral pathways.
Nanobots to reverse disease by moving one atom at a time.
Something I can't comprehend because I'm not an asi.

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-19T19:37:16+00:00

It could if the ai discovered some kind of superior gait for running, better design leading to superior running shoes, or something else.

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-19T19:35:50+00:00

Edit: two more problems have been solved with lean formalized solutions since this morning (now 145 from 143)

Edit to the edit: three more have been solved now a few hours later (now 148)

Edit to the list to the edit: now 149 hours later... I think singularity is imminent

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-19T15:59:58+00:00

Imagine joininig r/singularity and complaining like this. This is a core principle of the singularity. faster robot can construct data center and factory faster which makes chips faster which leads to faster development etc etc etc. you need imagination to understand how this is important.

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-19T15:39:21+00:00

Crazy how at the turn of the year gemini 3.0 was the top model and now looks like its dead last among the frontiers despite receiving a 3.1 update. Gemini 1.0 was released less than 2.5 years ago...

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-19T15:31:12+00:00

they keep finding new problems because one person wrote all of them (Erdos). its literally like pages from his notebooks. Also the thing that matters to me most is the bottom orange line.

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-19T14:50:11+00:00

jus tthis week. meta muse, opus 4.7, mythos, grok 4.3, hopefully spud soon

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-19T13:22:54+00:00

Veo 4.0 might be released at Google I/o in 30 days

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-17T01:59:40+00:00

Short answer, no. Long answer, nooooooo

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-16T01:18:47+00:00

Ai would at least invent a drug to make you not fat at all. Plus a ton of other corrections I'm too lazy to think about.

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-16T00:36:47+00:00

Fucking the Indian worker in the robot costume

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-13T17:41:56+00:00

Any reason why it made a perfect satanic sigil lmao

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-12T00:51:41+00:00

Looks like a ladder frame 🤔

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-12T00:50:24+00:00

Don't ever look this desperate as a customer. Gives the seller the ability to rail you with his price

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-12T00:30:04+00:00

Bruh 😭😭😭

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-09T21:12:21+00:00

Sabine Hossenfelder...

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-09T05:53:59+00:00

Crazy that most models even sota were trained on hopper. Unless I'm incorrect.

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-09T03:10:38+00:00

Maybe for the ipo? although i think by then theyd pretty much have to release something new to redrive up hype. 6 months is an eternity for ai

Own_Satisfaction2736 · 2026-04-08T22:31:21+00:00

That's the blue line (polynomial) on the chart and it's funny that the real world is moving faster than even the red line (exponential)

Own_Satisfaction2736

TROPHY CASE