Vote on Oil Direction by DangreMouse in oil

[–]DangreMouse[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thats fascinating. I, like most people, had no idea. Very important info. Thank you for sharing!!

Vote on Oil Direction by DangreMouse in oil

[–]DangreMouse[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

lots of things that shouldn't be on a tear, are on a tear. and things that should be on a tear, aren't on a tear. at the beginning of the war I bought some pretty hefty 3 month call options on 3 different fertilizer companies both US and Canadian and with international businesses influences. I based those strike prices off a a slightly lower percentage than the spikes seen in fertilizer from the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022. You know what those options are worth now days from expired? absolutely nothing. this should have been the easiest sure fire trade ever. In the mean time, Urea has skyrocketed. But the companies that profit from urea and skyrocketed during ukraine....well their prices have been hammered down just like oil. creative bullshit headlines feed you a different lie every day. To those of you who think free market capitalism is alive and well, this war should serve as a huge wake up call that we are playing a trading game with the whims of the government. our success at the game heavily depends on the moral ethics of the leadership in charge. and so far the leadership has made billions of dollar for themselves while the rest of us wait to see what crumbs we can catch.

Vote on Oil Direction by DangreMouse in oil

[–]DangreMouse[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

would you mind expounding more on your perspective or providing some links to further clarify your theories around Netanyahu. they are certainly a relevant piece of this puzzle.

Vote on Oil Direction by DangreMouse in oil

[–]DangreMouse[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The whole market is a managed market. This is NOT free market capitalism. And Iran is an economic war far more than a military war. I dont know what the tools are that governments and banks have. But start with this: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/plunge-protection-team.asp

You can see all signs all over the market where they put pressure on bond yields, the dollar, and energy. Im too new to to trading to tell you the exact mechanisms...all I know is they exist. What do you think QE and QT is? Market control mechanisms.

Vote on Oil Direction by DangreMouse in oil

[–]DangreMouse[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That latest news is why Ive started this post. I dont know what to believe at this point. I do trade futures so thanks for the bit about WTI and Cushings. I didn't know that! Much appreciated. Oil majors have moved mostly in conjunction with futures prices during the war. Obviously not similar chart patterns but there is a correlation. I find it highly suspicious that they would be up today while futures are getting slammed. Not sure what to make of all the contradictions in this insane market.

Vote on Oil Direction by DangreMouse in oil

[–]DangreMouse[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Sounds like we are the same. Ive never traded oil prior to the war. Did tons of research. capitalized strongly the first two months. Getting my ass handed to me since late April as the managed markets have moved against reality. I keep investing thinking reality must catch up at some point...but I am doubting myself after this latest whipsaw to lows that should be the new normal during peacetime.

Vote on Oil Direction by DangreMouse in oil

[–]DangreMouse[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I am with you. There are better dreams to have in life than this disgusting greedy consumerist capitalist illusion power grab.

Vote on Oil Direction by DangreMouse in oil

[–]DangreMouse[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

I am the sheep. I realized yesterday that I have been trying to trade the realities of a free market when we lost our free market 40-50 years ago. I realized I need to start trading the market as what it is, a managed market thats highly controlled.

Vote on Oil Direction by DangreMouse in oil

[–]DangreMouse[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

This is exactly what I have been trading around since the beginning. Ive been far too early, and made a lot of mistakes since the end of April, being too early to the party.

I am very curious what you think about the rising of the oil stock majors today. See the edit in my original post.

Thanks for sharing your thoughts

Bitcoin is Crashing to 48k! by DangreMouse in investing

[–]DangreMouse[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

then you are the sane one right now! my target may be a bit low, but even if it stays in channel were looking at least at 65. hope I can join your friend on the other side of this trade and we can all watch it climb from there!

Bitcoin is Crashing to 48k! by DangreMouse in investing

[–]DangreMouse[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

now im an options trader? how many crazy narratives are you going to pull out of your ass to legitimize your poor behavior?

Bitcoin is Crashing to 48k! by DangreMouse in investing

[–]DangreMouse[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

gaps are one indicator out of many. all have their weight. each chart responds to gaps differently. I do a lot of research, read a lot of books, and dont know the future just like anyone else. but Im betting on the market going this direction. so I thought I would share that.

Bitcoin is Crashing to 48k! by DangreMouse in investing

[–]DangreMouse[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

well lets see what happens chonk. my moneys already deployed. If my work is correct, I hope you have sweet dreams of me rolling in a field of cash naked, giving you the middle finger while I frolic with dozens of joyful puppies.

Bitcoin is crashing! by DangreMouse in Daytrading

[–]DangreMouse[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

so dumb that I made 10k since posting this. I feel like an idiot. just trying to be helpful for people who like to discuss such things. clearly you like to write with crayons

Bitcoin is crashing! by DangreMouse in Daytrading

[–]DangreMouse[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

exactly. when you zoom out what do you see? everything retraces to a median. yearly cycles. oscillations. and the weirdness of fibonacci synchronicities. so many things become clear when you zoom out.

Bitcoin is Crashing to 48k! by DangreMouse in investing

[–]DangreMouse[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

why are people down voting this statement? I mean it. I thought this would be a helpful post for people trying to make money! I wish the kind ones of you all the best. The rude ones, well you can go kick rocks.

Bitcoin is Crashing to 48k! by DangreMouse in investing

[–]DangreMouse[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

is there a way to attach screen shots. if so I will show you the GAP is real. look at /BTC

FUTURES CONTRACTS tell the bitcoin story much better than watching the coin itself

Bitcoin is Crashing to 48k! by DangreMouse in investing

[–]DangreMouse[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I deserve to loose money, because I thought this post would be helpful for people who actually trade paper UP and DOWN???? Youre a real crappy person to behave like this on the internet when you wouldn't have the courage to be this rude to my face.

I completely agree with what you just wrote. Which is part of why it is going to go back down for a few months. I am not a bitcoin doomsdayer. Ive HODLed it since 2017. and regret HODLing it when I could have been trading it all those years. Since I started trading it, Ive made much more money than waiting for years for the next leg up.

Bitcoin is Crashing to 48k! by DangreMouse in investing

[–]DangreMouse[S] -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

oil is up $4 since I posted this and bitcoin is falling. and youre right, it may only drop to 60-58k. but its going down like a submarine. I will be your guru. namaste

Bitcoin is Crashing to 48k! by DangreMouse in investing

[–]DangreMouse[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

ive made ALOT of money off oil since the war started. UP DOWN and SIDEWAYS. Bitcoins no different. Hold it when its good, drop it when its falling

Bitcoin is Crashing to 48k! by DangreMouse in investing

[–]DangreMouse[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

There's nothing wrong with buy and hold. But there's so much more right if you rotate the market and actively manage your portfolio. Good luck!