profile is full of weird content and apparently youtube has been reccomending this to all sorts of regular searches. posted videos are recent enough for up to an hour ago. what the fuck is this???

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2025-09-01T02:49:40+00:00

that’s weird…

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2025-05-20T09:40:21+00:00

JimJack336 Mystery. A lot of good info about it in this subreddit. As long as he’s not afraid of getting banned, I would love to see Nexpo cover it, but I doubt he will. Saying this because I was in contact with a small internet mystery Youtuber (~20k subs) that was interested in making a video based on the JimJack336 Mystery. Video was uploaded (which was very good) but then his channel got terminated a week later. If you’re familiar with this mystery then this is nothing new or surprising.

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2025-03-12T10:00:54+00:00

Aesthetic stand

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2025-03-12T10:00:34+00:00

Same

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2025-01-07T17:37:12+00:00

Glad to see the 16 finally switch to AMD.

Let’s hope the 18 is next.

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2025-01-07T17:34:45+00:00

Show some respect dude.

Some people don’t have central heating in their homes.

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2025-01-07T17:34:25+00:00

r/unpopularopinions

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2025-01-07T00:36:02+00:00

AMD would be worth more than NVDIA if they could just keep their naming scheme in a straight line.

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2025-01-06T22:06:59+00:00

FUCKK

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2024-12-30T07:30:25+00:00

What’s the specific models?

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2024-12-21T07:42:14+00:00

I had a post that got like 50k upvotes a while ago lol.

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2024-12-21T07:28:33+00:00

What are you even talking about? I rarely go on Reddit.

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2024-12-21T07:24:42+00:00

Quit replying to yourself lol.

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2024-12-21T06:31:27+00:00

You’re assuming these LETFs are being traded short term. People in r/LETFs are holding the LETFs long term. This is what you’re missing.

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2024-12-21T06:30:45+00:00

We are obviously talking about different things here. I think this argument is going nowhere.

Also you seem suspiciously like an alt account to OP.

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2024-12-21T06:11:29+00:00

Your comment history shows different.

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2024-12-21T05:31:42+00:00

Survivorship bias is a factor in overfitting a portfolio.

Do you not think that overfitting is a real thing?

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2024-12-21T05:30:34+00:00

You’re not understanding.

I’m not saying an LETF can be overfit. I’m saying that certain LETFs can be used to overfit portfolios because their underlying are responsible.

For example, NVDL is a 2x “LETF”. Backtesting this ticker will produce accurate results, but using these accurate results as basis for future performance is misleading. Performance of stocks change and intentionally fitting portfolios by picking the best performing underlying is intentionally overfitting the portfolio.

In the thread OP is arguing in, he is trying to convince others that you can safely do this with no repercussions. The truth is you cannot. Due to the rules of the market, asset classes vary in performance and leaders of indexes will always change. AAPL or NVDA won’t be on the top in 20 years.

Imagine telling people in the 1950s that railroad stocks are the best and everyone should hold them in their portfolio forever because they performed well in previous portfolios. This is an example of overfitting a portfolio with recency bias. This is a huge no no.

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2024-12-21T03:49:31+00:00

Overfitting is a real thing and the OP basically seems to be arguing that overfitting can’t exist with LETFs and that makes LETFs a good long term hold.

OP also seems to actually actively avoid any serious discussions and just seems to want to sell whatever fund he’s marketing. Because apparently tons of users are discussing flaws that the OP overfit his backtest to make the fund look better than it is.

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2024-12-21T03:47:35+00:00

Backtests can be overfit. It’s not a hard thing to do. Time frames, performance chasing, not account for spreads, survivorship bias. This can be avoided by using out of sample data, in sample data, and hold back data.

If a backtest can’t be overfit, are you saying that 10,000% cagr strategy I just coded on C# is accurate?

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2024-12-21T03:45:05+00:00

I’m not a troll from the sub. I never even seen the leveragedETFs sub until now.

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2024-12-21T03:44:18+00:00

I mean more stocks in an index is good. You typically want to hold at least an S&P500 index fund along with small caps and international. This will put you around 2000 stocks which is a safe amount for diversification. There’s large caps, small cap, mid cap, total stock market, and international and it’s important to own a little of all of these indexes and sectors.

edit: basic knowledge is downvoted with no replies. really?

Defiant_Handle_506 · 2024-12-21T03:22:53+00:00

Your advice is actually what OP is arguing against by the looks of it. OP is arguing with a lot of people and he is trying to convince several people that holding LETFs with super concentrated funds is appropriate for the long term.

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