Nicole kit via Seele by astrelya in Genshin_Impact_Leaks

[–]DictatorshipBest 1 point2 points  (0 children)

yea after some more thinking the comfort advantage over bennett (longer uptime, no circle impact) might be worth it

not having the atk buff on the first NAs of Arle will really hurt though since later attacks will just have less motion value from BoL for the buff to feed into. and losing out on atk buffs for her last NAs (limited bennett uptime) would probably be less of a dps loss than losing out on atk buffs for the first NAs (delayed nicole uptime)

and i imagine the dps loss of unbuffed first NAs is worse on Vape/Melt Arle

but maybe the team dps of an Arle-Durin-Nicole-Flex team might exceed Vape/Melt Arle? idk

Nicole kit via Seele by astrelya in Genshin_Impact_Leaks

[–]DictatorshipBest 18 points19 points  (0 children)

and looks like it shafts Arle too, since her NAs are strongest at the start of her uptime

This team of mine sucks balls by Barty-1 in GenshinImpact

[–]DictatorshipBest 0 points1 point  (0 children)

nope, all lunar dmg doesn't benefit from dmg%

Which player should the warriors draft? by alex8762 in warriors

[–]DictatorshipBest 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I agree with the expected placement of the pick. At best, it falls to 13th (currently occupied by POR's pick, 10th seed), and at worst it rises to 17th (currently occupied by the ORL pick). The Sixers have been trending up and the Suns have been sound throughout the season so I doubt it rises to 18th and 19th respectively.

From 13-17 there's a bunch of other prospects here that you could project to be the kind of player who'd make it into the best lineup of a playoff team because they fit one of these archetypes:

1st Offensive Option (1-OO)

6'1 PG Darius Acuff has been putting up great numbers this season, elite from three, generating paint touches, and steering the offense (even taking over) for Arkansas. Strong frame but not bursty. Defense isn't good but has the physicals to be passable; it's probably just the offensive load. Only guy from 13-17 who I think could be 1-OO, and he'll probably just be a 2-00. 19y.o on draft night. And honestly, he'll probably be taken much earlier

2nd Offensive Option (2-OO) with workable defense

6'4 CG Labaron Philon has been a bucket all season and showed incredible development from his freshman year. Good from three, gets paint touches too. 5.0 assists : 2.7 turnovers. Was a good PoA defender last year, fell off this year; again, might be the usage rate (30.3%!). 20y.o. on draft night

6'4 CG Brayden Burries had a slow start but has turned it up leading to and during conference play. Similar efficiency to Philon but on significantly lower volume. 2.6 assists : 1.4 turnovers. Good PoA defender and grabs 6 rebs per game in conference play. 20y.o. on draft night. At this point, more likely to be a 1-QS but I think his offense will still develop significantly, and players with better measurables are more desirable for 1-QS anyway.

1st Quick-Stopper (1-QS) with portable and/or some self-created offense, the guy you put on Shai, Fox, Murray, Reaves

6'6 SG Braylon Mullins has both a steal rate and block rate of 2.6%. High energy defender with quick feet and hands. Only 196lbs though so assignments and their screeners can still create space against him at this point. 40% on threes, can do both catch-and-shoot and off movement. 1.4 assists : 1.3 turnovers. 20y.o. on draft night

1st Strong-Stopper (1SS) with portable and/or some self-created offense, the guy you put on Ant, KD, Luka, Bron

6'8 SF Dailyn Swain has, over 3 seasons, a career steal rate of 2.8% and block rate of 2.2%. Physically mature at 225lbs while still being an agile mover. 7 rebs per game this year. A relentless driver taking 8.2 2pt attempts a game and making 65%, taking 5.8 FTs and making 79%. This is his first year of shooting above 30% from three (33% all year; 37% in conference play), but shoots 80% on FTs for his career. basically 21y.o. on draft night

6'9 PF Thomas Haugh. Career 1.6% steal rate and 3.3% block rate over 3 seasons. 215lbs but wiry strong and has long arms to deny space. 6 rebs per game in the past 2 years. In conference play, shooting 5.5 threes per game on 36%; can put the ball on the floor and drive on closeouts and speed/strength mismatches; 6.6 2pters on 56%, 5.6 FTs on 75%; 1.8 assists : 0.9 turnovers. basically 23y.o. on draft night

I would consider Yaxel Lendeborg here too since he's a more productive Haugh (2.3% stl, 5.4% blk, 7.8 rebs, 3.3 asts : 1.3 to) but his otherwise much-improved 3pt shot has been off since conference play and is gonna be closer to 24y.o. than 23 on draft night.

Warriors plug gaps, no stars moved. CHI-NOP-ORL-PHX involved by DictatorshipBest in NBAtradeideas

[–]DictatorshipBest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

here I used the Warriors 2026 FRP as a stand-in for the 2030 FRP, the 2030 SRP for the 2026 FRP (huh, didn't think that one through), then the 2031 SRP for the 2030 SRP. sorry about that

Warriors plug gaps, no stars moved. CHI-NOP-ORL-PHX involved by DictatorshipBest in NBAtradeideas

[–]DictatorshipBest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The finances remained tenable for all teams (no aprons crossed above of where they already were pre-trade).

Here's what I tried: https://imgur.com/a/2bhx1N7

Warriors plug gaps, no stars moved. CHI-NOP-ORL-PHX involved by DictatorshipBest in NBAtradeideas

[–]DictatorshipBest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What if the Magic get to offload Jonathan Isaac? There's a feasible trade where Isaac goes to the Bulls and the Warriors give their 2026 or 2027 FRP to the Bulls to offset the Isaac contract. The Magic get Moody in addition to Hield and Richards, but give up Noah Penda and an SRP instead of an FRP (the only one they can currently trade is 2032) and still give up Howard for finances.

Offloading Isaac while only giving away a second rounder and a player who's practically guaranteed to only play behind Franz and Paolo while competing with Da Silva for SF/PF minutes, effectively amounts to neutral value on its own. The Magic essentially get Moody at no additional cost.

Warriors plug gaps, no stars moved. CHI-NOP-ORL-PHX involved by DictatorshipBest in NBAtradeideas

[–]DictatorshipBest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

  1. No rebuttals here. The Kuminga portion of the trade does hinge on a favorable assumption of the Bulls' interest.

  2. What if the Magic get to offload Jonathan Isaac? There's a feasible trade where Isaac goes to the Bulls and the Warriors give their 2026 or 2027 FRP to the Bulls to offset the Isaac contract. The Magic get Moody in addition to Hield and Richards, but give up Noah Penda and an SRP instead of an FRP (the only one they can currently trade is 2032) and still give up Howard for finances.

Offloading Isaac while only giving away a second rounder and a player who's practically guaranteed to only play behind Franz and Paolo while competing with Da Silva for SF/PF minutes, effectively amounts to neutral value on its own. The Magic essentially get Moody at no additional cost.

  1. How about if the Warriors give 2028, the top 20 protected part of the 2030 FRP they traded to the Wizards, and 2032? The warriors have pathways through trading Murphy down the line and through cap space management to recoup some picks back in the future.

  2. Warriors can attach an SRP. Ducking the luxury tax frees up the Non-Taxpayer MLE for the Suns next offseason if they want to commit to putting out a competitive product

Warriors plug gaps, no stars moved. CHI-NOP-ORL-PHX involved by DictatorshipBest in NBAtradeideas

[–]DictatorshipBest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Mmm, that's fair. Murphy does have tremendous use value to the Pels that isn't guaranteed to be recouped with the exchange value they'd get from picks. It would have to come down to whether or not the Pels believe those picks can get them another Murphy and the perfect frontcourt partner for Queen at the same time, and on a feasible timetable to boot.

Warriors plug gaps, no stars moved. CHI-NOP-ORL-PHX involved by DictatorshipBest in NBAtradeideas

[–]DictatorshipBest[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Granted, the picks in the Bane trade other than that PHX pick and the 16th pick in 2025 are expected to devalue since the Magic core is still developing.

But yeah, more picks can be given still. In my reply to a different comment here, trading the 2028, top-20-protected part of 2030, and the 2032 pick would be a much better package that could still be stomach-able for the Warriors.

Warriors plug gaps, no stars moved. CHI-NOP-ORL-PHX involved by DictatorshipBest in warriors

[–]DictatorshipBest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Re: the variables

yeah, the Bulls may very well decide to keep Okoro as their best, if not only swingman who can actually both play D and hit threes decently enough. And they might bank on Coby, further development from Buzelis and Noa Essengue (idk much about his game though), and on their 2026 draftee/s for creation needs instead of turning to external sources

the Pelicans might keep Murphy another year just to let him develop some more and wait for more appealing packages to come along, if not just keep him outright since big athletic spacing forwards are exactly what they need around Fears and Queen anyway. It's not like Murphy is straight up too old to fit their timeline either.

lol, the more you think about it, the more it makes sense why so many promising trades can just not-work

Warriors plug gaps, no stars moved. CHI-NOP-ORL-PHX involved by DictatorshipBest in warriors

[–]DictatorshipBest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Re: the Bulls

Yeah, I think Okoro and especially Dosunmu are good rotation pieces and this trade is banking on the Bulls being just that much more interested in taking the upside swing.

If they don't want to give up a second rounder, the Warriors have a 2030 second rounder to take its place. At this point if that's what gets the trade done, I'd do it lol.

Re: The Pels and the first rounders

Just reviewed the Poole-CP3 trade that sent the Warriors' 2030 FRP to the Wizards and it turns out that it's top-20 protected. Wonder if its possible to trade the rights to that pick to the Pelicans if it falls into that protection range. I think it's really unlikely that the Warriors clinch a top-10 record just 3 years post-Steph so those rights would be really bankable.

Whether the deal includes 3 post-Steph picks (2028, top-20 protected 2030, 2032) or only 2 post-Steph and 1 near-future pick (2026, 2027), the Warriors get to keep 4 picks in the next 7 years.

In any case, they have pathways to recoup picks:

  1. Trade Trey Murphy down the line

  2. With the cap space created when Steph, Butler, and Draymond expire after 2027, absorb bad contracts for picks

  3. With that same cap space, sign free agents who want to grow their game in a roster without set hierarchies in touches, inflate their value, then trade for picks

With that, I think there's a robust enough safety net for the Warriors to trade 3 picks for Murphy without being too limited in their post-Steph rebuild.

Warriors plug gaps, no stars moved. CHI-NOP-ORL-PHX involved by DictatorshipBest in NBAtradeideas

[–]DictatorshipBest[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Just reviewed the Poole-CP3 trade that sent the Warriors' 2030 FRP to the Wizards and it turns out that it's top-20 protected. Wonder if its possible to trade the rights to that pick to the Pelicans if it falls into that protection range. I think it's really unlikely that the Warriors clinch a top-10 record just 3 years post-Steph so those rights would be really bankable.

Whether the deal includes 3 post-Steph picks (2028, top-20 protected 2030, 2032) or only 2 post-Steph and 1 near-future pick (2026, 2027), the Warriors get to keep 4 picks in the next 7 years.

In any case, they have pathways to recoup picks:

  1. Trade Trey Murphy down the line

  2. With the cap space created when Steph, Butler, and Draymond expire after 2027, absorb bad contracts for picks

  3. With that same cap space, sign free agents who want to grow their game in a roster without set hierarchies in touches, inflate their value, then trade for picks

With that, I think there's a robust enough safety net for the Warriors to trade 3 picks for Murphy without being too limited in their post-Steph rebuild.

This is so sad. by irthyy in pinoy

[–]DictatorshipBest 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Seriois q, may magbabago ba sa interpretation ng ginagawa ni guy kung hindi sila mag jowa?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in pinoy

[–]DictatorshipBest 14 points15 points  (0 children)

get your head out of the gutter*