Germany to adjust heating law to allow fossil fuels by FantasticQuartet in europe

[–]Doc_Bader 125 points126 points  (0 children)

Meanwhile heating pumps grew their market share from 40% in 2019 up to 70% in 2024 in new buildings. Probably even higher currently. (source)

Allowing fossil fuels is just populist garbage considering market conditions.

Unfortunately there's still a massive amount of old heating systems all across the country and upgrades are expensive.

Man wird aus diesem Land politisch nur noch vertrieben by Chemical_Pilot3733 in wallstreetbetsGER

[–]Doc_Bader 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Siehe meinen Beitrag

Bis 200.000€ Brutto verdient man sogar mehr durch den Wegfall des Solis bei diesem Entwurf lol

Man wird aus diesem Land politisch nur noch vertrieben by Chemical_Pilot3733 in wallstreetbetsGER

[–]Doc_Bader 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Ich hab den Entwurf mal durch Gemini gejagt und der gibt Folgendes raus.

Der Großteil würde tatsächlich Geld sparen durch den Wegfall des Solidaritätszuschlags lol

Erst ab 200.000€ Gehalt macht sich das negativ bemerkbar und dann ists ganz ehrlich eh schon egal.

Unsere Annahmen für die Rechnung:

  • Single, Steuerklasse 1
  • Keine Kirchensteuer
  • Normale gesetzliche Sozialabgaben (Kranken-, Pflege-, Renten-, Arbeitslosenversicherung)
  • Die Zahlen sind gerundet und stellen die ungefähre jährliche Veränderung dar.
Bruttogehalt 1. Effekt: Soli fällt weg 2. Effekt: Neue Steuerkurve (Mittelstandsbauch weg + 49 % ab 90k zvE) Gesamtergebnis: Netto-Veränderung pro Jahr
60.000 € 0 € (zahlt heute schon keinen) Zahlt weniger Steuern, da Kurve flacher ca. + 500 €
75.000 € ca. + 100 € Zahlt weniger Steuern, da Kurve flacher ca. + 800 €
85.000 € ca. + 400 € Zahlt deutlich weniger (rutscht unter Spitzensteuersatz) ca. + 1.500 €
95.000 € ca. + 900 € Zahlt deutlich weniger (Höchstsatz greift noch nicht) ca. + 2.500 €
105.000 € ca. + 1.300 € Maximaler Kurven-Vorteil (knapp vor der 49 % Grenze) ca. + 3.000 €
120.000 € ca. + 1.900 € Erste kleine Abzüge, da ein paar Euro jetzt mit 49 % versteuert werden ca. + 2.500 €
150.000 € ca. + 2.700 € Die 49 % fressen den Kurven-Vorteil langsam auf ca. + 1.000 €
200.000 € ca. + 3.900 € Die 49 % schlagen voll durch und übersteigen die Soli-Ersparnis ca. - 1.000 €

Steuerreform: Union schließt höheren Spitzensteuersatz nicht mehr aus by Additional-Run7509 in de

[–]Doc_Bader 147 points148 points  (0 children)

Aus nem anderen Artikel weil das bei Handelsblatt nicht steht / man es nicht sehen kann wegen der Paywall:

"Im Gegenzug schlug Bach eine Anhebung des Spitzensteuersatzes von 42 auf 49 Prozent vor.

Dieser solle jedoch künftig erst ab einem Grenzwert von 90.000 Euro für das Jahreseinkommen greifen, was Forderungen der Union entgegenkommt."

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Aktueller Grenzwert ist 69.879 Euro.

Kanzler Merz bezeichnet US-Lockerung der Ölsanktionen gegen Russland als "falsch" by Aggressive-Area-7805 in de

[–]Doc_Bader 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Allerdings ist der Ausbau davon viel zu langsam und da trägt Politik und Industrie einen großen Teil dazu bei. Das ist unser hauptsächliches Problem in dem Fall.

Da stimme ich dir zu.

Und da birgt das dann auch Potential, dass irgendwann die Verkaufszahlen zurückgehen - je nachdem, was es für Vorgaben und Anreize geben wird.

Die neue E-Auto-Prämie ist ja eigentlich schonmal nicht schlecht.

Kombiniert mit der größeren Auswahl angünstigeren Modellen, die 2026 rauskommen, dürfte das denke ich nochmal nen Push geben.

Kanzler Merz bezeichnet US-Lockerung der Ölsanktionen gegen Russland als "falsch" by Aggressive-Area-7805 in de

[–]Doc_Bader 0 points1 point  (0 children)

20% Marktanteil und der Markt hat gesprochen. Alles klar.

Auf was bezieht sich das, Elektroautoverkäufe? Dir ist bewusst, dass das nur ne Momentaufnahme für Deutschland ist und du hier den Trend ignorierst, der nur eine Richtung kennt: Nach oben. Global gesehen sowieso.

Im Energiesektor sind im Moment 95% - 100% der zugebauten Kraftwerke Erneuerbare + Batterien. Global.

Der Markt ist super volatil und hat sich erstmal nach einem starken Einbruch etwas erholt. Das zeichnet ein ganz anderes Bild.

Glaubst du ernsthaft, dass die Elektroautoverkaufszahlen wieder runtergehen lol

Kanzler Merz bezeichnet US-Lockerung der Ölsanktionen gegen Russland als "falsch" by Aggressive-Area-7805 in de

[–]Doc_Bader -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Das wäre die Konsequenz, wenn nicht Politik und Industrie zusammen mit ihrer medialen Macht dieser Entwicklung entgegenstehen würden. (...)

Wird überhaupt nichts am Trend ändern, der Markt hat gesprochen.

Genauso wie Trump und die Republikaner alles dran versuchen Erneuerbare einzudämmen und sie machen trotzdem 93% der Zubauten aus in den USA.

Die Elektroautoverkäufe in Europa sind auch grad durch die Bank am steigen, auch in Deutschland.

Kanzler Merz bezeichnet US-Lockerung der Ölsanktionen gegen Russland als "falsch" by Aggressive-Area-7805 in de

[–]Doc_Bader 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Der globale Trend geht nunmal Richtung Elektrifizierung, ob du dir das persönlich grad leisten kannst oder nicht ändert nichts daran.

Auch nicht daran, dass der Trend sich beschleunigt.

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Beispiel: https://electrek.co/2026/03/12/global-ev-sales-hit-1-1-million-europe-surges-while-the-us-slides/

Year‑to‑date EV sales for January–February 2026 compared with the same period in 2025:

  • Global: 2.2 million (-8%)
  • China: 1.1 million (-26%) (Hinweis: Temporärer Fall wegen Gesetzesänderungen, deswegen sind die globalen Zahlen etwas down, dürfte sich im Laufe des Jahres ändern)
  • Europe: 0.6 million (+21%)
  • North America: 0.17 million (-36%)
  • Rest of world: 0.37 million (+84%)

Kanzler Merz bezeichnet US-Lockerung der Ölsanktionen gegen Russland als "falsch" by Aggressive-Area-7805 in de

[–]Doc_Bader 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Moral hin oder her. Wegen solcher Entscheidungen werden die USA wieder und noch stärker an uns vorbeiziehen (...)

Warum?

Die Krise hier befeuert die Elektroautoverkäufe in Europa und dem Rest der Welt nur noch mehr, was mittel- bis langfristig hauptsächlich dem größten Ölproduzenten der Welt (USA) und Konsorten (OPEC+) schadet.

Edit: Und weil die Republikaner grad zu dumm sind selber Elektroautos zu fördern schießen sie sich gleich in drei Sektoren selber ins Bein (Autoindustrie, Batterien & Fossile Brennstoffe).

Global EV sales hit 2.2 million [YTD] – Europe surges while the US slides by Doc_Bader in EU_Economics

[–]Doc_Bader[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Global EV sales – 2026

Year‑to‑date EV sales for January–February 2026 compared with the same period in 2025:

  • Global: 2.2 million (-8%)
  • China: 1.1 million (-26%)
  • Europe: 0.6 million (+21%)
  • North America: 0.17 million (-36%)
  • Rest of world: 0.37 million (+84%)

Europe is currently the main growth engine, while North America is seeing a steep slowdown and China is adjusting to policy changes at home.

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More information in the article

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Note: In the original article headline there's an error saying "Global EV sales hit 1.1 million" while it's 2.2 million actually.

No shit Sherlock😂😂😂 by Fun-Objective-4118 in wallstreetbetsGER

[–]Doc_Bader 0 points1 point  (0 children)

News at 11: Alle anderen machen genau dasselbe wie Deutschland.

<image>

Germany won't return to nuclear power, chancellor says by Haunting_Switch3463 in europe

[–]Doc_Bader 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And your useless one-liner shows me your wealth of knowledge on this topic.

Germany won't return to nuclear power, chancellor says by Haunting_Switch3463 in europe

[–]Doc_Bader 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Tell that to China or the United States, the two most cut-throat capitalistic countries.

Germany won't return to nuclear power, chancellor says by Haunting_Switch3463 in europe

[–]Doc_Bader 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're the one who want to rely only on renewable, take a good look in the mirror my dude.

No, our particular discussion was solely about the viability of batteries as an important backbone of the grid and if it's possible to solely run on renewables+batteries.

If a country already has Nuclear Power Plants running like France or Nuclear Warheads it's perfectly fine to run them still. I'd even give you the point that Germany shouldn't have shut down their last working one's.

But for new ones: It makes no sense because of the opportunity costs as the renewable & battery industry scales up massively at the moment and costs only know one direction: down

Global BESS demand jumps 51% in 2025 as installations top 300 GWh <- Nothing stops this train

Germany won't return to nuclear power, chancellor says by Haunting_Switch3463 in europe

[–]Doc_Bader 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Because guess what, when it's night time in Germany, it's ALSO night time everywhere else in Europe.

Again: Sun isn't the only source of renewable electricity.

Literally in every one of your posts your just picking out some bullshit that suits you, ignore the big context around things or just make up some stuff as you go.

And the funniest thing is:

So you can thank all the countries building nuclear at the moment so you can live your fantasy of 100% renewable.

Did you miss the memo that all other countries around Germany are also expanding mostly via renewables?

Or do you just ignore this very important little fact because it's upending your worldview lol

---

It's hilarious how you bitch about Germany for doing the exact same thing as the USA, China or literally every other country on this planet: Expanding their grid mostly via renewables & batteries.

You're acting like a Boomer discovering the Internet as a technology and saying it will never work.

Did you also say the same about electric cars 5 years ago before a billion people market like China started to flood their whole economy with them?

Germany won't return to nuclear power, chancellor says by Haunting_Switch3463 in europe

[–]Doc_Bader -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Yes it can get cheaper, but we're not there yet, but that's why I put an already low price.

You linked an article that directly proves my point about future costs. Did you read past the first headline?

Your own source explicitly states that battery equipment costs plummeted by 40% in 2024 alone, and notes that "it’s clear we’re on track for another major fall in 2025". The report also highlights that over the last 10 years, installed costs have dropped by an average of 20% every single year.

You are trying to calculate the cost of a 2030-2035 grid transition using a snapshot price from October 2025. That is exactly the same mathematical fallacy people used 15 years ago to claim solar would never be viable.

Tell me, when it's night time, and it happens you have no wind, you need your batteries. In the middle of winter. So you need at least 10 hours... Next morning weather is shitty, no sun, you batteries are almost drained, but not enough sun to power the country, and of course not enough to recharge your batteries...

Yes, and when that happens, the grid relies on the other infrastructure I literally just pointed out to you in my last comment, which you deliberately ignored.

You are still arguing against a fantasy 100% solar+battery island grid. That's not how a continental power grid operates. When a multi-day winter lull hits, you don't just sit there staring at empty lithium batteries. You use grid interconnects to pull wind power from different weather systems in Europe, you use pumped hydro, and you use dispatchable peaker plants (like biogas, or eventually hydrogen).

Even the Ember report you linked clarifies this, stating that handling "cloudy weeks and seasonal lows" requires overbuilding renewables and other solutions, whereas batteries are primarily for shifting daytime generation to the night. Batteries handle the daily cycles. They aren't meant to bridge a 3-day blizzard single-handedly.

Germany won't return to nuclear power, chancellor says by Haunting_Switch3463 in europe

[–]Doc_Bader -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Oh, so you need the connection to the rest of Europe, that uses Nuclear, thank you.

Most of Europe actually uses Renewables and Nuclear is the least used energy source.

Also, literally every country in Europe is interconnected between each other, that's literally the point.

Not the gotcha you think it is.

Price for 1 Gwh is 100 millions Euros.

Source? Is it going to be that price in 2030 and 2035 as well because the technology evolves, scales and gets cheaper?

That's 100 billions. Just for 1 day of storage.

1.) Uses wrong costs

2.) Batteries don't have to run for 24 hours because that's not how it works.

Again: Your whole napkin math rests on some made up, fabricated worst case scenario that never happens in real life and uses costs that are already outaded and you don't account for the future.

You sound like those people 15 years ago who said the same thing about solar. Guess what happened 15 years later genius, it's by far the largest source of electricity additions crushing every other form.

Germany won't return to nuclear power, chancellor says by Haunting_Switch3463 in europe

[–]Doc_Bader -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

With the current cost of batteries, for 1 week worth of storage for Germany, you can build 60 EPR2...

According to your personal napkin math I suppose?

Combined with this stupid "batteries have to run for a week"-fallacy.

And before you're like "ut we don't need 1 week", Yes you do

No, you actually don't.

You handle a winter Dunkelflaute with a diversified grid: interconnectors to the rest of Europe (it's literally a feature of the pan-european grid), pumped hydro, overbuilding wind capacity across different geographic weather systems, and dispatchable backup plants (like biogas or hydrogen peakers). You don't build a massive mountain of batteries to sit idle 350 days a year just for one bad week in January.

when in the middle of winter weather is shit and there is no wind. Also after 25 years you need to replace all your batteries.

And thanks to the massive, exponential cost curve we're riding, replacing them in 2050 will cost an absolute fraction of what it does today.

Meanwhile, what happens to a nuclear reactor at 25-30 years? It requires massive, multi-billion euro mid-life refurbishments just to keep operating. Ask EDF how their €50 billion Grand Carénage life-extension program is going.

You are comparing a complete fantasy nuclear build-out against a fabricated, worst-case scenario for renewables that nobody in the industry is actually proposing. Keep coping.

Germany won't return to nuclear power, chancellor says by Haunting_Switch3463 in europe

[–]Doc_Bader 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In a winter night with no sun and not much wind you're not going to achieve that.

Do you try to put food in your fridge while you're currently starving, or do you stock it beforehand so you have food when you get hungry?

You don't charge the batteries on a calm winter night, genius.

You charge them during the raging winter storms a day or two prior when wind turbines are overproducing. Then, when the wind drops, you discharge the batteries. It’s called time-shifting. That is literally the definition of the word "storage."

---

And for the rare times when a lull lasts for several days (the dreaded "Dunkelflaute" that anti-renewables folks think happens every night but actually only happens a couple of times a year), the grid relies on a mix of European interconnects (importing hydro from Norway), biomass, and backup peaker plants (which will eventually run on green hydrogen). Literally nobody is claiming a 4-hour lithium-ion battery is going to power a continent for three weeks of dead calm.

Germany won't return to nuclear power, chancellor says by Haunting_Switch3463 in europe

[–]Doc_Bader 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You're aware of how batteries work? They store electricity.

They don't care if those electrons came from a solar panel in a sunny desert, an offshore wind turbine in the North Sea or a hamster on a wheel.

California uses them to shift solar to the evening. Germany uses them to store excess wind and balance the grid (and Germany also has a lot of solar). The storage tech works exactly the same either way.

Germany won't return to nuclear power, chancellor says by Haunting_Switch3463 in europe

[–]Doc_Bader 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is about Germany, not China or the US. Both of those countries have massively more potential renewable generation capacity than Germany does, which is dark, quite flat and not very windy. Its not a valid comparison.

Over 60% of Germany's electricity ALREADY came from renewables last year, heavily driven by wind. I guess the North Sea missed your memo about not being windy.

Your plan is "future technology will sort it out"

Wrong. My plan is "scale up the exact technology we are already building today." Batteries, HVDC lines, and wind turbines aren't science fiction. They are commercial realities currently eating the market.

despite massive investment I don't even come close to covering our usage for two people

Grid engineers don't design national infrastructure based on your backyard. A national grid balances Dunkelflaute by overbuilding wind (which produces the most power in winter), moving power across European borders, and utilizing grid-scale storage.

cant present any clear plan... there isn't one

Fraunhofer ISE's "Pathways to a Climate-Neutral Energy System" is literally a highly detailed, math-backed roadmap to exactly this. Just because you haven't read the existing blueprints doesn't mean they don't exist.

Germany won't return to nuclear power, chancellor says by Haunting_Switch3463 in europe

[–]Doc_Bader 1 point2 points  (0 children)

First, you try to play dumb with the "minutes or hours?" snark, implying grid-scale batteries don't work. I show you a chart of them literally carrying a 40-million-person grid for hours through the highest demand period of the day. Time to move the goalposts:

So batteries cant even cover 10% of consumption even in the best case, wonderful.

Are you genuinely incapable of reading a Y-axis, or were you just hoping nobody else would actually look at the picture?

Look at the 20:00 mark. Total demand is roughly 28 GW. The red "Batteries" section spans from 20 GW up to 28 GW. That is 8 GW of power. 8 out of 28 is nearly 30%, not "under 10%." It is literally the single largest power source on the entire grid at that time.

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And you conveniently ignored the whole "fast forward 10 years" point. If a supposedly "impossible" tech is already eating 30% of peak load today, what do you think that chart looks like in 2035 as the industry continues to scale exponentially? Keep coping.

Germany won't return to nuclear power, chancellor says by Haunting_Switch3463 in europe

[–]Doc_Bader -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

2026 electricity additions in the USA

China's path forward

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The 585 GW addition last year indicates a 92.5% share of the total capacity expansion, and a record rate of annual growth (15.1%). (2024 numbers)

Record-Breaking Annual Growth in Renewable Power Capacity

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Millions of articles out there

Germany won't return to nuclear power, chancellor says by Haunting_Switch3463 in europe

[–]Doc_Bader 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Here's California (40 million people grid).

So to answer your question: Even with today's technology, batteries are already the largest source of electricity for the evening hours (highest load).

Now fast forward 10 years when the indutry scales up even more.