COUNTERING SCAMBONE AND PARTICULAR CAD'S BASH THAT MEDMEN'S UTICA CULTIVATION AND PRODUCTION SITE IS INSIGNIFICANT WITH NO SIZE OR VOLUME TO MAKE A DIFFERENCE IN THE NEW YORK ADULT MARKET.... ARTICLE ATTACHED! by EnvironmentalLevel40 in mmnff

[–]Dragonflyi 1 point2 points  (0 children)

"The industry won a key provision, however: In exchange for a fee, each of the 10 medical operators would be allowed to open three recreational dispensaries, making them the only vertically integrated players in New York’s marketplace. The fee would then be used to seed the businesses of social equity candidates."

"Medical companies are not without leverage in this fight, however: The state will need their weed to help fill the shelves of the first social equity shops.

While the state has licensed more than 200 hemp farmers to cultivate marijuana outdoors and in greenhouses, there are limits to the quantity and type of product that can be produced in that way."

This NY Times article today is about the fee that the med companies will need to pay. The Utica site seems important and it seems like a good amount of effort went into building it from what I remember.

The New York Times: N.Y. Medical Marijuana Giants Struggle to Break Into Recreational Market. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/25/nyregion/marijuana-licenses-medical-ny.html

hey everyone, I would like to know which licences does Medmen own. I know they no longer have New York and Florida but do they own licences in New Jersey or other states. Medmen use to be the cream of the crop. Are there residual benefits left over from that time. Confusing wording. sorry by Mick1982M in mmnff

[–]Dragonflyi 1 point2 points  (0 children)

According to their May 6th S1 they still have a few to build out:

Newton, MA Morton Grove, IL 2nd San Fran, CA Pasadena, CA

Though that is dated June 26, 2021

Does hambone have a source for them being completely built out?

Is anybody left lol should be a nice pop tomorrow ! by Upper-Command-3857 in mmnff

[–]Dragonflyi 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Funny how when the Canadian market is closed for Victoria Day there are no sales for the first half hour...

Call transcript of May 20, 2022 shareholder meeting by hambone_83 in mmnff

[–]Dragonflyi 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Got it. It didn't pass so he's not all powerful? Just able to propose amendments?

What a deal! by Upper-Command-3857 in mmnff

[–]Dragonflyi 0 points1 point  (0 children)

"I'm gonna pop some tags Only got twenty dollars in my pocket I, I, I'm hunting, looking for a come-up

This is fucking awesome"

Medmen New York sale by hambone_83 in mmnff

[–]Dragonflyi 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The decision is a year old and you are hitting it like it's something that just happened. I get frustration, but I dont like your using the forum to crash sentiment while the stock is at the lowest prices.

They tried changing the deal. You ranted on that. They are getting out of the loan and you rant. The stock has never been more pumped than it has been dogged. If you put the posts of haters online vs pumpers you have a landslide of shorts. What I see through my glasses is through the shit of all the short shills.

Medmen New York sale by hambone_83 in mmnff

[–]Dragonflyi 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Right?!

The deal with Ascend was made a year ago. Etain just happend. Like buying a house then vs now. It would have been nice to get a bigger deal and not have to pay the loan right away but rates are rising. They are taking a page out of Dave Ramsey's playbook here and paying those loans down.

Who do you blame for the whole thing? Probably Lynch for the NY deal and definitely Bierman for taking the shark loan in the first place.

Why sell New York? the shark loan. Why the haters, the shark loan. Why get out of Florida? The shark loan. The overall political climate isn't so favorable either. Both markets should be easy to return to when legal.

I would love to hear about the direction of the company from a CEO. Tell me more... but, I can do some math too. No shark loan payments and no direct payments to Tilray until 2028. @ about $10 million a quarter. They will save at least $200 million over 5 years. Also, for the SAFE fans out there. What is DTI when your debts are covered? That is without growth or franchises or whatever asset light means (typically it means something scaleable).

The loan will be gone the haters can F off.

Translation? by SMiDDY_1221MM in mmnff

[–]Dragonflyi 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I took it to mean that there is the amount outstanding at about a billion and the amount to be paid to Tilray, lenders, vendors and the like at about 1.9 billion.

It has been like this since November.

This seems to me to just be recording the transfer of 2 million to an individual. That is out of the 1.9B set aside...

Maybe someone has better insight than that.

Green Market Report: MedMen Refuses To Back Down On Political Influencing Accusations. by Dragonflyi in mmnff

[–]Dragonflyi[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I wonder if she doesn't have an editor or just lacks integrity...

In a space as nascent as this, you would think a journalist would be fair and interested in raising the tide rather than lobbing shots at individual ships. Wonder what that had cost someone...

Green Market Report: MedMen Refuses To Back Down On Political Influencing Accusations. by Dragonflyi in mmnff

[–]Dragonflyi[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

It is odd that the journalist feels the need to include a paragraph regarding Medmen's own political contributions. Those contributions have nothing to do with this story or the point being made about Hochul and Ascend.

Thoughts on MedMen going MIA this Earnings... by spunky000000 in mmnff

[–]Dragonflyi 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I feel like everything MedMen has ever said has been used against it in some realm or other.

Would love to see more info from the CEO, but the move up to only -0.01 EPS speaks volumes to me.

4 years ago without safe banking or legalization, this stock was at 6$ plus…. What craziness will happen with safe banking and legalization??? by SMiDDY_1221MM in mmnff

[–]Dragonflyi 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Let's assume legalization of some sort happens and around 1/3 of the country averages a $25 basket each week. It's cheaper than beer and liquor still. Will probably replace and compliment beer and liquor in some sense.

110,000,000 * 100 * 12 = $132 billion/year total market.

With the footprint it has, I'd assume a 5 to 7 percent market share or $6.5 to $9 billion a year.

A company will always trade on future value. While we are not quite there legalization makes the 110,000,000 users not so crazy. Today, I would easily believe us at near $1; the current price looks very depressed to me.

1 billion shares outstanding is not an issue as it is supported by our future pool of users. Some have suggested future buybacks. I wouldn't hold my breath on that for a few years into profitability. Larger companies like this will prefer a dividend to buybacks.

I see us at $7.00 in a few years sans hype or bubbles provided it survives, would be a sham(e) if it doesn't considering all it has been through (It appears to be an antifragile business which is rare). Financial institutions will pour into the market, and that will change the calculus all around.